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saw this paper that suggests the terrorists bought a bunch of puts on AMR and UAL just before 9/11. the source on dailyspec went so far as to say "the options market forecast the 9/11 event."

A measure of abnormal long put volume was also examined and seen to be at abnormally high levels in the days leading up to the attacks. Consequently, the paper concludes that there is evidence of unusual option market activity in the days leading up to September 11 that is consistent with investors trading on advance knowledge of the attacks.
http://www.milkingtheherd.com/images/Potes...ing%20Paper.pdf
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I'm officially sad that I sold my EWZ in the low 60's. It went over 70 on Friday.

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  • 3 weeks later...
hope someone took advantage of McAfee today
I mean, intel's retarded for doing it. anyone in mcafee before this news broke needed a few firm slaps in the face. sure, it looks good now, but all antivirus/security companies are totally hosed from a reputation and long-term outlook standpoint, IMO.
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What happened with McAfee?
intel bought them.I think it's stupid because microsoft has basically signaled intent to kill that market with MSE. and even if they hadn't, mcafee basically ruined whatever credibility they had with a few generations of security suites that made your computer unacceptably slower.obviously the latter part there is something you are well aware of.
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  • 5 weeks later...
Stocks rally to 4-month highs after economists report recession ended in June 2009. Dow finishes up 145 points. Weeee?
Probably not.
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Probably not.
I really hope it's weeee.
I have been listening to a couple of technical analysts conference calls the last couple weeks and they are signaling to a moderate bull run for the end of this year, and possibly the majority of next year.I am a little more cautious than that, but, it would be nice.
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My silver is making a killing!I have SLV and SLWAlso, I had about 3k in Oracle, so that was nice. I'm probably going to sell it this week though.

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Traders are betting on no rate hikes until the end of 2011.http://finance.yahoo.com/news/Traders-see-...set=&ccode=I think this was inevitable and I am curious as to how the equity markets will respond. Hopefully we get some housing stabilization and if rates for mortgages stay low it will spurn people to purchase again. If we can get some of the inventory off the shelf and people slowly get back to work we will start to see a modest recovery, the market will be able to handle an increase in rates. However, if mortgage rates go back to the 6's with unstable housing, it will halt growth and possible cause another decrease.

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I just keep on sitting on 75% high yield bonds and 25% equities. Crushing for 1.5 years and counting. Multiyear highs and 8-10% yields for Junk Bonds. Delicious.But I do think this run up is too far too fast...valuations are getting out of hand. I have been selling equities and moving into VXX (Long volatility).

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  • 2 weeks later...
Short gold then. When the economy finally turns gold will plummet back to the levels it was just a year ago
Gold scares the hell out of me right now. I can see and believe the arguments on both sides. Although history says when its front page news its time to sell.
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Gold scares the hell out of me right now. I can see and believe the arguments on both sides. Although history says when its front page news its time to sell.
I don't know a lot but it seems like gold has had its run? I mean seriously, how much more upside can there reasonably be? I get the feeling that if it starts to drop watch out....the dominoes would likely tumble quickly imo (albeit via irrational panic ...but quickly none the less).I honestly thought the continued horseshit economy and uncertainty and the upcoming elections would have kept the markets lower, at least until November. Surprised to see it over 11,000, but have heard the recent rise is rather shaky, unsubstantiated, bank driven and/or misleading? Be nice to see a pause and a pull back, an opportunity to get involved, perhaps post election. Feels like I missed the boat here for sure. Historically there have been downswings towards the end of the year followed by the classic 'Santa rally' but things are no longer as they once were, so who knows anymore, right?blah blah blah
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  • 4 months later...
Gives new meaning to the phrase sell in May go away.I just went long on AMZN and Netflix about a month ago.Oops. I agree with you Nut. US economy was brutal with cutting jobs and overhead.Europe tried to solve the problem differently.Fooled by Randomness.
Whoo! Hoo!
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so when steve jobs dies and apple stock goes back down to 100 or whatever, is that going to be a good time to snatch a bunch of it up? or is he really the main thing making the company good?man, I remember a bunch of years ago looking at buying apple stock when it was between 90 and 100 and thinking "nah, that's too expensive." sweet move bro.

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so when steve jobs dies and apple stock goes back down to 100 or whatever, is that going to be a good time to snatch a bunch of it up? or is he really the main thing making the company good?man, I remember a bunch of years ago looking at buying apple stock when it was between 90 and 100 and thinking "nah, that's too expensive." sweet move bro.
Apple forced Jobs out in the 80's and he started a new computer company (NeXT) that was coming on strong. Apple was on the verge of bankruptcy until Apple bought his startup company for 500 million in the 90's and rehired him. Mac's OS is based on the OS that Jobs created for NeXT computers. Under his command they started branching into other areas, like editing and music. He oversaw the release of the IMac, Ipod, Itunes, and the Iphone.If Jobs dies, Apple is in serious trouble.
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  • 2 weeks later...
so when steve jobs dies and apple stock goes back down to 100 or whatever, is that going to be a good time to snatch a bunch of it up? or is he really the main thing making the company good?man, I remember a bunch of years ago looking at buying apple stock when it was between 90 and 100 and thinking "nah, that's too expensive." sweet move bro.
Id definitely sell and not be buying again. He basically is the company or the driving force behind new technology.
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