doox 15 Posted November 26, 2006 Share Posted November 26, 2006 I was in a sit and go at Full Tilt and I received pocket aces...3 times in a row. I'm not real sure on the math, but isn't your chances of pocket aces 1 in 220 or so? So would the chances of that be 220 times 220 times 220?If anyone is bored and would like to figure out the specific math, I'd be obliged. I'd also love to know how rare this would be, in relation to getting a Royal. And yes - I won all 3 hands, which has to be more improbable than actually receiving them. The pocket kings I got 2 hands later failed to hold up, though. Link to post Share on other sites
MyPlayIsRAB 0 Posted November 26, 2006 Share Posted November 26, 2006 I was in a sit and go at Full Tilt and I received pocket aces...3 times in a row. I'm not real sure on the math, but isn't your chances of pocket aces 1 in 220 or so? So would the chances of that be 220 times 220 times 220?If anyone is bored and would like to figure out the specific math, I'd be obliged. I'd also love to know how rare this would be, in relation to getting a Royal. And yes - I won all 3 hands, which has to be more improbable than actually receiving them. The pocket kings I got 2 hands later failed to hold up, though.odds are 221-1so..221x221x221 = number of hands you should have to wait to get AA 3 times in a row = 10, 793, 861 handsto have AA win all 3 times depends what its up against but usually youre around 80/20.. so80x80x80 = 51.2% chance AA wins 3 times in a row Link to post Share on other sites
ChrisRichey 1 Posted November 26, 2006 Share Posted November 26, 2006 No, the odds are 220-1. You should get them once every 221 hands. Link to post Share on other sites
timwakefield 68 Posted November 26, 2006 Share Posted November 26, 2006 So, once every 10,648,000. Big whoop, I play like ten million hands a day. Seriously though, that's pretty sweet. Link to post Share on other sites
doox 15 Posted November 26, 2006 Author Share Posted November 26, 2006 odds are 221-1so..221x221x221 = number of hands you should have to wait to get AA 3 times in a row = 10, 793, 861 handsto have AA win all 3 times depends what its up against but usually youre around 80/20.. so80x80x80 = 51.2% chance AA wins 3 times in a row10 million+ hands? Nice. (and I forgot the (sw) when I mentioned that winning all 3 had to be more rare)If this guy was accurate, when talking about royals:well apparently you only get them once in every 400,000 hands......still waiting for mine lol then my 3 in a row is definitely more rare. Thanks. Link to post Share on other sites
mrdannyg 274 Posted November 26, 2006 Share Posted November 26, 2006 this is assuming you pick a specific hand to start counting.the odds of getting pocket aces three times in a row, if you start counting from the time you first receive them, is 1/(221)(221) or 1 in 44000 or so. Link to post Share on other sites
hob goblin 0 Posted November 26, 2006 Share Posted November 26, 2006 Hope you were playing a high limit because that means you will never have this happen to you again Link to post Share on other sites
doox 15 Posted November 26, 2006 Author Share Posted November 26, 2006 Unfortunately - no. These were low-stakes. I'm a wuss and anal about bankroll management. I won't lose my bankroll anytime soon, but I'm not going to get rich overnight, either. Link to post Share on other sites
MasterLJ 0 Posted November 27, 2006 Share Posted November 27, 2006 I was in a sit and go at Full Tilt and I received pocket aces...3 times in a row. I'm not real sure on the math, but isn't your chances of pocket aces 1 in 220 or so? So would the chances of that be 220 times 220 times 220?If anyone is bored and would like to figure out the specific math, I'd be obliged. I'd also love to know how rare this would be, in relation to getting a Royal. And yes - I won all 3 hands, which has to be more improbable than actually receiving them. The pocket kings I got 2 hands later failed to hold up, though.It doesn't work quite like that.It depends how you "observe" the hands.The question you are really asking is:Given that I've played X amount of hands, where X is the amount of hands you've played in your life, what is the chance that within those X hands there are three back-to-back pocket aces dealt?That's a tough question to answer.Intuitively, the chances of this happening are less than 1 in 10 million.What you calculated with the 1/ (220^3) is like saying:What are the odds that I am dealt AA back to back to back in the next 3 hands? It's predictive. Link to post Share on other sites
fatman 1 Posted November 27, 2006 Share Posted November 27, 2006 Aces three times in a row....yeah, big deal.....I got rivered in three straight sit n go's today to knock me out on the bubble......take that.akjefhaweoirjdfas;l God Damnit I hate this game. Link to post Share on other sites
try__an__hit 0 Posted November 27, 2006 Share Posted November 27, 2006 wow Link to post Share on other sites
politelycdn 0 Posted November 27, 2006 Share Posted November 27, 2006 Odd stsory to say the leaset, until this morning that is. Talking to a buddy and he tells me, "You'll never believe it..." He was playing along side his cousin last night a $1 table at P Poker with their free $15 bonus... his cousin turned it into $155 in three hands... AA, AA, AA!!!!!!!!!!Then I told him about this forum.... Full Moon maybe!!! Link to post Share on other sites
showstopper24 0 Posted November 27, 2006 Share Posted November 27, 2006 So, once every 10,648,000. Big whoop, I play like ten million hands a day. Seriously though, that's pretty sweet.well said-i only play about 5 million hands Link to post Share on other sites
Mercury69 3 Posted November 27, 2006 Share Posted November 27, 2006 Be wary of this. Every time I recall getting a big pair all in a row, it inevitably gets cracked the second time around, assuming it doesn't get cracked the first time. Link to post Share on other sites
Comatose_Soul 0 Posted November 27, 2006 Share Posted November 27, 2006 Playing a tourny at the Plaza I got aces three times -- back to back once when it was down to 7. Think I picked up the blinds every time. Link to post Share on other sites
showstopper24 0 Posted November 27, 2006 Share Posted November 27, 2006 Playing a tourny at the Plaza I got aces three times -- back to back once when it was down to 7. Think I picked up the blinds every time. i hate just picking up the blinds with aces Link to post Share on other sites
rgold79 0 Posted November 27, 2006 Share Posted November 27, 2006 I was in a sit and go at Full Tilt and I received pocket aces...3 times in a row. I'm not real sure on the math, but isn't your chances of pocket aces 1 in 220 or so? So would the chances of that be 220 times 220 times 220?If anyone is bored and would like to figure out the specific math, I'd be obliged. I'd also love to know how rare this would be, in relation to getting a Royal. And yes - I won all 3 hands, which has to be more improbable than actually receiving them. The pocket kings I got 2 hands later failed to hold up, though.It's pointless to analyze them together. Each hand is an independent entity, so each time the cards were reshuffled and dealt your odds of receiving aces were 1 in 221 as always. Now, if you could somehow place a parlay bet on what cards you would receive over a given series of hands... There's an upside, too, though, since the odds at the beginning of the hand are always 1 in 221, no matter what, you don't have to worry about not picking up aces once in your next 660 hands. Link to post Share on other sites
canadarules 0 Posted November 27, 2006 Share Posted November 27, 2006 the only thing sweeter would be if u got to show the aces 3 times in a row Link to post Share on other sites
doox 15 Posted November 28, 2006 Author Share Posted November 28, 2006 The first time I played them, I got someone to go all-in preflop. 2nd time, I reraised someone preflop and they folded. I chose not to show it. 3rd time? I think someone figured me for a momentum steal and reraised me all-in with something like AJ.2 hands after that, my KK got cracked by a10 after he reraised all-in preflop with it That's cool that your buddy had the same thing happen, Politely. I figured it was a glitch in the matrix, or something. Link to post Share on other sites
gfry11 0 Posted November 28, 2006 Share Posted November 28, 2006 I remember one time I got Pocket 5s twice in a row then Pocket 8s the next...and hit a set on the flop 3 times in a row. That must have been pretty odd. Link to post Share on other sites
smallwd 0 Posted November 28, 2006 Share Posted November 28, 2006 FullTilt is a little weird lately. This happened in the span of 13 hands yesterday.1: My hand 8-8. Opponent hand A-A Flop 8-A-8.2: Board is Q-10-Q-5-10. Player 1 shows A-Q. Player 2 has 10-10.3. Player 1 all in with 7-7. Player 2 calls with A-5. Flop is A-A-A.Quads 3 times in 13 hands and the other player always made a boat? WTF? Link to post Share on other sites
WowThats 0 Posted November 28, 2006 Share Posted November 28, 2006 This was sometime ago I did see a player at UB at my table get AA fourteen times in a row, another time I saw a player get AA 10 times in a row. Link to post Share on other sites
offset 0 Posted November 28, 2006 Share Posted November 28, 2006 This was sometime ago I did see a player at UB at my table get AA fourteen times in a row, another time I saw a player get AA 10 times in a row.Royal Holdem lol. Link to post Share on other sites
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