LJB723 0 Posted March 27, 2009 Share Posted March 27, 2009 You posting this over on 2+2? We're more a family here and wouldn't like to see you fail. Meanwhile over there they all hate each other so you could probably book some high action!GL sir. Link to post Share on other sites
Pivvy2001 0 Posted March 27, 2009 Share Posted March 27, 2009 If anyone wants to give me 15-1 on all the events I will do some serious wagering.fwiw, I think that 15-1 is too generous to you TJ, but I assume that is what you think is fair since you responded to this and passed on the earlier 6-1 and 8-1either way, I wish you the best of luck at the tournament Link to post Share on other sites
aucu 3 Posted March 27, 2009 Share Posted March 27, 2009 If you played that many events for 10 years no way are you not making a final table.6:1 sounds about right Link to post Share on other sites
TheWanderer 0 Posted March 27, 2009 Share Posted March 27, 2009 10 to 1!!! i wish you the best op. if you end up winning a bracelet, dont' forget about me!! Link to post Share on other sites
savagerebel 0 Posted March 27, 2009 Share Posted March 27, 2009 10 to 1!!! i wish you the best op. if you end up winning a bracelet, dont' forget about me!!How could we forget about someone we don't know? Link to post Share on other sites
Gallo 1 Posted March 27, 2009 Share Posted March 27, 2009 How could we forget about someone we don't know?loooooooool Link to post Share on other sites
mk 11 Posted March 27, 2009 Share Posted March 27, 2009 i love when threads that clearly call for math contain no math at all.let's assume average # of entries for these events is 2k (reasonable based on last year's numbers)let's also be generous and assume tj is 2x as likely to ft as the average playerhe'd be a 111.1:1 dog to make any individual ftgiven 15 samples, he's around 7.41:1 to ft something.adjust field size/skill level as you see fit to get better numbers Link to post Share on other sites
rocketpoker828 0 Posted March 27, 2009 Share Posted March 27, 2009 i love when threads that clearly call for math contain no math at all.let's assume average # of entries for these events is 2k (reasonable based on last year's numbers)let's also be generous and assume tj is 2x as likely to ft as the average playerhe'd be a 111.1:1 dog to make any individual ftgiven 15 samples, he's around 7.41:1 to ft something.adjust field size/skill level as you see fit to get better numberspshhh, why use math when people can just pull numbers out of their asses? Link to post Share on other sites
WhatArunAA 0 Posted March 27, 2009 Author Share Posted March 27, 2009 i love when threads that clearly call for math contain no math at all.let's assume average # of entries for these events is 2k (reasonable based on last year's numbers)let's also be generous and assume tj is 2x as likely to ft as the average playerhe'd be a 111.1:1 dog to make any individual ftgiven 15 samples, he's around 7.41:1 to ft something.adjust field size/skill level as you see fit to get better numbersId book action at 7:1:) Link to post Share on other sites
chgocubs99 0 Posted March 28, 2009 Share Posted March 28, 2009 Id book action at 7:1:)I'll book this with you or anyone else looking to do something small...like $100/$700 Link to post Share on other sites
GetSprung 0 Posted March 28, 2009 Share Posted March 28, 2009 10 to 1!!! i wish you the best op. if you end up winning a bracelet, dont' forget about me!!Insert GrinderMJ pay it forward reference from Lunarphase Link to post Share on other sites
dscoot 0 Posted March 29, 2009 Share Posted March 29, 2009 i love when threads that clearly call for math contain no math at all.let's assume average # of entries for these events is 2k (reasonable based on last year's numbers)let's also be generous and assume tj is 2x as likely to ft as the average playerhe'd be a 111.1:1 dog to make any individual ftgiven 15 samples, he's around 7.41:1 to ft something.adjust field size/skill level as you see fit to get better numberswould negrauna at 7-1 for a 15tourny span be a rediculous price? especially since your only playing NLH which means a few or your tournies might be final table of 6. i think u deserve a better price.plus anyshootouts have to be a bit harder to ft, right? Link to post Share on other sites
GeneralGeeWhiz 0 Posted March 29, 2009 Share Posted March 29, 2009 If I heard that JT made a final table at this years WSOP, I wouldn't be surprised. :)just don't nit it up. Link to post Share on other sites
WhatArunAA 0 Posted March 29, 2009 Author Share Posted March 29, 2009 would negrauna at 7-1 for a 15tourny span be a rediculous price? especially since your only playing NLH which means a few or your tournies might be final table of 6. i think u deserve a better price.plus anyshootouts have to be a bit harder to ft, right?I think the shootouts are probably easier to FT, considering I have a good amount of sng experience in the past. Link to post Share on other sites
chgocubs99 0 Posted March 29, 2009 Share Posted March 29, 2009 I'll book this with you or anyone else looking to do something small...like $100/$700Any interest? Link to post Share on other sites
WhatArunAA 0 Posted March 29, 2009 Author Share Posted March 29, 2009 Any interest?Yes.. lets confirm as WSOP nears though. Link to post Share on other sites
no not baxter 0 Posted March 29, 2009 Share Posted March 29, 2009 geeeeee ellllll Link to post Share on other sites
antistuff 0 Posted March 29, 2009 Share Posted March 29, 2009 i would play but i like you and don't want to bet against you. i would have money on the line but secretly rooting for you its just too much of a conflict of interest in my head. Link to post Share on other sites
CobaltBlue 662 Posted March 31, 2009 Share Posted March 31, 2009 i love when threads that clearly call for math contain no math at all.let's assume average # of entries for these events is 2k (reasonable based on last year's numbers)let's also be generous and assume tj is 2x as likely to ft as the average playerhe'd be a 111.1:1 dog to make any individual ftgiven 15 samples, he's around 7.41:1 to ft something.adjust field size/skill level as you see fit to get better numbersYou realize that I basically did those calculations and just didn't show my work, right? Link to post Share on other sites
mk 11 Posted March 31, 2009 Share Posted March 31, 2009 You realize that I basically did those calculations and just didn't show my work, right?apologies, i flipped through the thread quickly looking for any kind of numbers and didn't see many <3 Link to post Share on other sites
chgocubs99 0 Posted March 31, 2009 Share Posted March 31, 2009 You realize that I basically did those calculations and just didn't show my work, right?It's only half credit at best then Link to post Share on other sites
Jam-Fly 8 Posted March 31, 2009 Share Posted March 31, 2009 I would say there is a 85% chance TJ does not make a final table. Therefore, odds on making a final table, 15%so 5.6667-1 or 17-3 Link to post Share on other sites
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