copernicus

push with the 55, 44. While you hope that the limpers are duplicating at least one of their cards they may not be, and you still have some counterfeiting risk. Later I will run the pairs against some typical limping hand combinations and see where the cutoff is.Suited or not is irrelevant here. The extra edge they give you may be the basis of an implied odds decision, but here you are pushing with the power hands no matter what.there may also be a cutoff on the Ax hands, though my gut is that they all are pushable against two limpers, asssuming they have you covered and your M is in the 0-5 r

Im folding hands 2 and 3.Hand 1 I think the bet is a bit steep here. I would bet about 400, which looks like you are preserving your odds for a draw at the flush. Yes you are risking giving CO an unsuited Ah a draw with close to the proper odds , but given he only called with hand folded to him, even a naked A would be a tempting raise, so I doubt that its there, unless you know him to be very tight. The flop is favorable to straight draws, and he doesnt have the current odds for filling the boat even if he has a set or two pair. Does he have the correct implied odds? Probably yes, since your

and expanded on your "increasing blinds are meaningless" to say (maybe in too few words?) :"they arent meaningless, in fact they (in combination with late position) are not a reason to go all in now (because they will eat in to your stack faster) but a reason to fold (because the higher blinds make your next steal attempt more valuable without any additional risk)."So you and I wind up with the same conclusion, I just tried to reinforce what you were saying.I always try and be aware of blind changes when either I or someone else at the table is short stacked.....Delaying otherwise routine acti

Not bad as rules of thumb, imo, but you should follow up the calculation with two questions ... What am I trying to accomplish and does this bet amount do it? and How does this bet size compare to my stack and the other active players stacks?The small initial stack compared to the blinds make 3-4x BB plus a huge amount to commit preflop, the justification being that there are rebuys, so go on..gamble a little early. If there are gamblers like Cowboy at your table they will go all in during the rebuy period against any bet size, so you arent going to affect their play by what you do. Even i

LOL...yes, the key is "try to", in the cases where they react negatively...but they don't always succeed. Usually, though, it has positive impact when the crowd is against them. Its impossible to ignore at the higher levels, especially junior hockey, where the small arenas and rather vocal locals allow every word to be heard. So the successful goalies channel that into better concentration and a determination not to get beaten.

"and I think I would opt to play here and not simply push here"Play and not simply push..sounds like betting something less than pushing, which you are now saying you wouldnt do.

"and I think I would opt to play here and not simply push here"Play and not simply push..sounds like betting something less than pushing, which you are now saying you wouldnt do.

Great fights between Roy and Osgood, but a bit of revisionist history on his last game...it didn't get him thrown out, he quit. He walked up to Houle and said "I just played my last game as a Canadien".He did have one idisosyncracy though...My son got to meet him outside the Avs locker room at the Pond, and he signed a picture, a mask I had painted in (sorta) Avs design, and then Paul reached toward him with a puck. Patrick flinched and almost turned white, and said "Pocks? I don' sign no pocks!" and he walked away, wouldnt sign anything for anybody else!

here it is:http://ter.air0day.com/?script=rounders

was writing her own book, she was helping with his autobiography which became "One of a Kind", which is very well written. Makes "High Roller" look even worse than the Grade B movie it is. I was playing backgammon regularly at the Mayfair when Stu was tearing up the gin games. It would take an awesome actor to do justice playing him because he was so over the top, almost any actor would be hard pressed to make it look real....kind of like Johnny Depp in Fear and Loathing...HST was such a wild man, that Johnny Depp looked like he was going too far when in fact he was cool calm and collected co

because the Center Ice package will now pick up more CBC feeds.

quit saying that folks!Editted for less tired now:How do we measure "Variance" in poker. Is it taking independent groups of 100 hands and using BB/100 to get a mean and variance? Or you could take the BB/hand..anyway..its based on a set of independent variables. Variance is additive, and when the 4 tables are independent (as they are), there is no Covariance. Thus, mathematically, the Var has to increase with more Data. over the long term....4-Tabling vs 1-Tabling:Var in my discussion is population Var, not the sample variance you get from actual data...but the Var you would get over the

The Feds still maintain the Wire Act applies, and though they didnt appeal the La decision (since it went against the players in this case), that doesnt mean they never will.

It is rare for a goalie to take a team more than one round past where he took them before.

Maybe this should be a different thread, but where do you think the tourneys are tougher than Stars (except maybe Full Tilt, I dont play there but heard it is tough). Party and Doyle's Room are far softer than Stars, which are the only other sites I play regularly. I used to play Paradise and Pacific, but they werent very big on tourneys at the time, though the ones they did have were very soft.

my minimum pair to push with goes up, but then being on the button brings it down a bit...probably right around 5s. My answer here would depend on how tight the table is. If its a tight table then I would fold here. While the blinds are going up and eating into your stack faster, a steal also is more valuable, and your stack is still serious enough to hurt someone for at least a couple of cycles.If the table is playing loose or there is a huge stack that can call with almost any two cards, then I'd make a stand with 5s.

If there are a ton of people to wade through then it might be difficult to lay down 10s against a player you know to be loose and a stranger. If its a fairly small tourney (30-40 players) I'd be more comfortable laying down and waiting for better hands.Even though you knew the min-raise was loose, was 1/3 of your stack necessary for a raise? What would say $300 do...you still limit calling odds for those behind you pretty well, it makes an outright steal less attractive, and its easier to lay down.

I played my first stud tourney today (a WCOOP limit satellite that I registered for thinking it was hold em, lol), and did fine until it got short handed, when I felt a little lost. The final three stacks started out with one big one and me and the other player about even. The big stack put a lot of pressure on both of us, nearly knocked me out spiking a full house vs my flush. I built 11k back up to chip leader at close to 80, but two more river beats (flush vs top two pair and full house vs a set of As) and I was crippled again, and this time the big stacks aggression (along with some good

The only rule change that might be impacted by home ice is the shootout, but you wont be able to see it from gross statistics. Some away goalies are going to thrive on the negativity from the home crowd, and others will wither under it, offsetting any noticeable effect in the big picture.

for almost any of your other outs. You also didnt leave room for Crosby who imo is no worse than 50/50.

What kind of move can a 97k all-in be, against a raise from a bigger stack and a bigger stack behind him? If he has less than a premium hand, all he can be doing is hoping to squeeze you out and isolate against what he thinks is a move. But he doesnt need to bet all of his chips do that. A raise to 50k puts you under the same kind of squeeze, tests whether the original raiser has a hand or not, and looks like he is inviting a call which may be scarier than the all in. I just cant see someone making a play with that big a stack second in.

Could be and could be. Actuary's play is the kind of move you have to be willing to make now and then, and if youre not willing to make it there is no reason to be playing suited connectors in the first place.BTW..I'm an actuary also, so maybe we just think too much alike.

and unless you know that the 97k raise is from a total rube, I fold. He sees the same things that you do, and knows he's risking a comfortable position against two others in the pot already. If he has anything but AA, KK he's a gambler with AK, and Im not risking my position on a race.

than other sites. Expect good aggressive play, don't limp early, you'll just be wasting chips, if you have a playable hand, raise with it. Its a marathon, not a sprint, chip and a chair...what other cliches are there lol.

if it were folded to you, push, with any limpers before you, fold