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Kk No Ace On Flop I Wanna Fold


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I am not seeing anybody cap with anything except aces, kings, and aks in this game at this limit. the player in question has played 15 hands and not raised preflop once yet. there is also a timing thing here, he is hitting the button as fast as he can, his actions are normally a little paused. i really want to fold this turn. Full Tilt PokerLimit Holdem Ring gameLimit: $2/$46 playersConverterPre-flop: (6 players) Hero is BB with K :ts K :club: UTG folds, UTG+1 raises, CO folds, Button calls, SB folds, Hero 3-bets, UTG+1 caps, Button calls, Hero calls.Flop: 2 :D 5 :D T :4h (12.5SB, 3 players)Hero checks, UTG+1 bets, Button calls, Hero raises, UTG+1 3-bets, Button folds, Hero calls.Turn: 9 :5c (9.75BB, 2 players)Hero checks, UTG+1 bets, Hero??

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I am not seeing anybody cap with anything except aces, kings, and aks in this game at this limit. the player in question has played 15 hands and not raised preflop once yet. there is also a timing thing here, he is hitting the button as fast as he can, his actions are normally a little paused. i really want to fold this turn. Full Tilt PokerLimit Holdem Ring gameLimit: $2/$46 playersConverterPre-flop: (6 players) Hero is BB with K :ts K :club: UTG folds, UTG+1 raises, CO folds, Button calls, SB folds, Hero 3-bets, UTG+1 caps, Button calls, Hero calls.Flop: 2 :D 5 :D T :4h (12.5SB, 3 players)Hero checks, UTG+1 bets, Button calls, Hero raises, UTG+1 3-bets, Button folds, Hero calls.Turn: 9 :5c (9.75BB, 2 players)Hero checks, UTG+1 bets, Hero??
Very possible you are up against AA, I slow way down here with all the possibilities out there, but I think fold would be the best move here. I put villian on AA or trips. If you can't see laying it down then call, and c/c the river. Only hands you can beat is QQ or JJ
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Well, at this point, there's $42 in the pot, and you're putting in $4. Whether you put him on two pair, pocket aces, or trips, the math doesn't change. You'd need a king, and there are two left. You're about 8% to hit, and you'd have to put in what amounts to 9% of the pot, so on direct numbers. Implied odds if you do hit would take the pot over the amount neccesary to call. In no limit, you would fold, I think, but here I'd have to call.

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Well, at this point, there's $42 in the pot, and you're putting in $4. Whether you put him on two pair, pocket aces, or trips, the math doesn't change. You'd need a king, and there are two left. You're about 8% to hit, and you'd have to put in what amounts to 9% of the pot, so on direct numbers. Implied odds if you do hit would take the pot over the amount neccesary to call.
It's not about drawing to a king, it's about our equity against his range. There are hands in it we beat.
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if he is SO tight that he is ONLY capping AA or KK then why is he leading out when the flush hits on the turn leaving himself open for a check raise when he is drawing slim or dead?

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if he is SO tight that he is ONLY capping AA or KK then why is he leading out when the flush hits on the turn leaving himself open for a check raise when he is drawing slim or dead?
its HU and he has the ace of clubs so there is no way i could have a flush?
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its HU and he has the ace of clubs so there is no way i could have a flush?
Not that I think this is particularly relevant to the question at hand, but even if he has the Ac, QcJc and KcQc are almost always in my range here, and KcJc at least half the time.
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Not that I think this is particularly relevant to the question at hand, but even if has the Ac, QcJc and KcQc are almost always in my range here, and KcJc at least half the time.
i had a brain fart, you are absolutly correct.
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It's not about drawing to a king, it's about our equity against his range. There are hands in it we beat.
I'm thinking about what I need to win this hand under the worst circumstances as a method of showing him that there is NO reason to fold. He felt like he was against aces, and based on that read, you do the math with the worst in mind, and that means drawing to the king. And as it turned out, that's exactly what was happening.
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I'm thinking about what I need to win this hand under the worst circumstances as a method of showing him that there is NO reason to fold. He felt like he was against aces, and based on that read, you do the math with the worst in mind, and that means drawing to the king. And as it turned out, that's exactly what was happening.
if he is sure the guy has aces, he should fold his kings. the argument we're making is that he can't have enough info on the guy to do that over his sample size, even if it does lean very, very close to it.
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I'm thinking about what I need to win this hand under the worst circumstances as a method of showing him that there is NO reason to fold. He felt like he was against aces, and based on that read, you do the math with the worst in mind, and that means drawing to the king. And as it turned out, that's exactly what was happening.
You don't do the math vs. the one hand you "put him on." You calculate your equity vs. his entire range. We do not have enough information to say AA is his entire range (and probably never will.) This is a calldown every time given this situation/information. We aren't expecting to win very often, but folding can be a gigantic mistake. Calling down is pretty much never a very big mistake. Make your marginal laydowns with the bottom of your range. Don't try to be a hero.
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