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Banner17

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Everything posted by Banner17

  1. Wang,Got any thoughts floating about for MLB win total futures this year? Banner17
  2. I am a big believer that the cream rises to the top of the poker world. I don't claim to be good. Never have and probably never will. I work at it, but I'm honest with myself, that being said, to say that one plays 1-2 NL because he can't afford the swings of 2-5 NL just doesn't seem right to me. If this guy is skilled, he should just win his way to 2-5 NL and play there. If he can't do that, he isn't good enough to play there. Pretty simple. Not bashing you. Just saying it......it is what it is, no?
  3. If this is the case, and I believe it to be so, why would anyone play online unless they physically couldn't go to the cardroom?
  4. Villian is playing in late position. He can have popped it up small with a 67, 75, 64 type hand here as well. I wouldn't dismiss that from his range here. I mean, he went from 100 to 1,000 in 5 hours -- he had to have played some weird hands and hit them hard vs guys who will stack off with one pair.I like the idea of check-call flop even though most likely this is a great flop for us. Kind of a tough spot because if we lead out and he raises us good, we don't like our hand much. If we check raise and he 3 bets us, we don't like our hand much. Then, if we take the course of action that I
  5. Always punt when it's 4th and 2 from your own 28 with 2:08 to go up 6 pts!! I don't care what some computer program decides is mathematically more correct. Thoughts?
  6. Yea Pacquaio really nutted up last night. Showed a lot of toughness and heart to just stand there and pick apart Cotto. I thought Cotto may have a shot to beat him too if he worked his body and broke him down. Haha, Pacman just didn't let him. Oh well, I've lost worse bets than that at +250.I'm wicked excited for a Pacquaio vs Mayweather fight. Those two will probably take it over $100 million between the two of them for that fight. Sick!!
  7. Makes you wonder. Read Super System, and I feel like a main goal of the book was to sell the "honor amongst gamblers" theme. Why go on so much about how much integrity you have? If the bullshit alarm goes off, trust your gut.
  8. Didn't read anything but the title of the post.....Of course, you bet again. When in doubt bet or raise, become World Champion.
  9. Why can't we just chalk Ivey's Jacks hand up to a great play by Sauot??? He got the best player in the world to lay down a big pair for all his chips on the biggest stage in the world -- nice play, man! The final table was very disappointing for me as I wanted Ivey to win badly. I didn't bet on it or anything, just really wanted Ivey to win. I wonder if Ivey even made any money of this Main Event cash considering all the heavy side action he was trying to get down on himself. I mean, he cashed for like $1.9 million, and rumors were speculated that he was trying to get down over 6 million in
  10. Exactly. That was the point I was trying to make. I don't think you can let this opportunity slide. You can get HEALTHY fast, and you're most likely going busto anyway. I'd take a 20% chance to have a fighting shot at the tourney here. I didn't mean to be offensive with the "how could you let yourself get in this spot" comment. I'm new to forums and try to be as helpful with the limited poker knowledge I have. I understand things happen. Whenever I bust out of SNGs early it's always b/c crap hit the fan. I could be wicked low stacked trying to find a spot to get it all in and chip up.
  11. I would feel fairly confident that the 3 bettor felt like his raise would most likely result in a heads up match up him vs the original raiser who has stack size of 9.25. His raise was to 5.50 so it pretty much forces the original raiser to make a commitment to the hand preflop. That being said I feel like his range could be 99-AA, AK, AQ, and maybe KQs. I feel like we'd fair pretty well versus this range so I'd stick the 4th bet in there. The problem is we are out of position, but I feel as though we have to give the 3 bettor a chance to fold his hand here. Same token, I never play no li
  12. I'd call here. Your getting 3.5 to 1 on your money here. You need to find a spot to get some chips quickly and as you said you have no fold equity considering you got a stack of 1050 at 200/400 blinds. Nobody will fold to your shove getting 2 to 1 on a call considering your desperation mode. Call and hope to get healthy.The real problem is being at this stage in the tourney with this short a stack. Either you just came off a disaster pot, or your playing way too tight and not chopping away at pots to pick up chips along the way.
  13. Sounds like you have some very serious issues with steaming if you can lose two weeks worth of work in one night. I'm not a tournament guy very much, but my rule for cash games is to never lose more than I can make in the next session or easily make in two winning sessions. You'll never lose half your roll following this advice. Secondly, there is no such thing as a bad beat. The cards do not care who wins, so why should you? Just make the best decisions you're capable of, and play poker. If you have hard bankroll rules, and stick to them, you should make money if you play well. Poker is
  14. How atrocious would it be if Steve Beglieter won the WSOP Main Event?? He was a 24 year employee of Bear Stearns. If there is any justice in the world, he'll go broke to Phil Ivey on 2 consecutive hands and bust out 9th.
  15. Haven't seen it, but have always thought it was be nice if they would put a icon in the corner of the screen that showed where the button was, and who was in the blinds so you could tell what position these hands where being played from. Also, if we had an idea of stack sizes it'd be a plus. Could be easily done on a show like High Stakes Poker.
  16. Uncooper, thank you very much. This breaks Wang's theory down very well. The problem I had was indentifying line movement. It requires you to eyeball the lines from 11pm EST the night before up to gametime. I just can't be by the computer that much. I'm not wagering enough to justify it. As for the advanced statisitics, the only one I looked at was a pitchers ERA vs FIP. I'm not sure what else to look for. I would suspect there would be stuff for hitter like batting average and runs scored vs OPS % and %age of runs scored in scoring opportunities or something like that. I dunno. As fo
  17. Yea, I was not picky at all. If it had more than 2/3rds public on one side, I took the anti-public side. I agree with you in that one needs to bet more units on their stronger plays. However, I guess it goes to show you that Wang may have been on to something. I believe I bet about 400 games (like I said I posted my record somewhere in this thread) and was only down 7 units. I'm not lying to you. I kept records on it. I believe that Wang's theory may be on to something, but one needs to refine it. Screen down the number of games, and bet more units on your stronger plays. I'm just no
  18. I read The Odds and it was a great read. The main guy in the book is Alan Boston who is a Full Tilt pro, and can be seen on youtube if you search for alien poker player. He's the crazy bald headed guy. You can play stud with him usually on Sunday nights at Full Tilt. He plays like 1-2 to 3-6 stud. Sometimes, I'll sit with him and chat. He's very nice to the players and will answer just about anyting you ask him. I can tell you one thing -- he hates his life as a gambler. He can still win at college hoops, but he says it's the worst thing that has ever happened to him. Makes sense. He
  19. I agree, but it's a 9 handed SNG. I'm folding here without a 2nd thought about and moving on to next hand. No big deal. You missed. I never try to make hero type moves early on in SNG. There is just no need.
  20. I too don't use any of these poker trackers or HUD. I'm not even sure I know what a HUD is. Is that all those funky numbers you see over the players name's on 2 months 2 million? I used to have PT on one of my computers b/c I cleared some deposit bonus, but that was years ago when Neteller was still kosher. I never figured out how to import the hand histories or whatever you have to do. I tried paying someone to show me, but they ended up moving to Philly and I'm in Boston so it didn't go down. Can you explain it easily to me?
  21. I agree with everyone in the crowd. It costs nothing to smile and be nice to people. Costs a lot when these people (donks) stop showing up to your games, or decide to read books or sites like fullcontactpoker.com to improve their play. Would anyone agree with me that we are very happy he will call with everything? Just raise behind him to isolate him if we have position on him, then value town him to death when we hit, and check when we miss. He rarely outplay us. That would be my strategy. Thoughts?
  22. I unemployeed haere in Boston. Just got out of college, and thinking about moving to Las Vegas. I'd like to get a job, and just play recreationally (I do NOT plan nor do I WANT to play for a living), what kind of job could I get out in Las Vegas? Is anyone a local? Any ideas?
  23. An easy way to not get emotional is just to quit. I always buy into a live game for 20 bets. If I happen to lose the 20 bets, for whatever reasons, I quit. Even if I was playing perfectly and my opponent were terrible -- I will still quit. I know myself, I am honest with myself and I am just not as good a player when I am losing as I am when I am winning. I never want to lose more in one session than I can get back in the next session or definetely get back in the next two sessions. You just have to know yourself, and be honest with yourself.The cards don't care who wins the pot. If the
  24. I play about 90% limit holdem, so I hear where you are coming from. I saw that your favorite game is stud which is a limit game. In limit games, it is vitally important to remember that it is NOT easy to make money back if you make mistakes or play badly. In no-limit, you can make a few small mistakes early on in the hand, and make it for it on later streets because the bets are so much bigger. Not so in limit poker. You have to remember that every decision is of the same importance. You have to fight to win and protect every dollar at the table.It sounds as though your problem is that y
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