BetItAll33

Without any statistical evidence, I'm going to guess that this one change should not account for such a significant change in your overall VP$IP.how about sample sizes...You might also find this thread relevant and/or interesting:http://fullcontactpoker.com/poker-forums/v...pic.php?t=28120

Well, I probably do leave some money on the table in these situations. I think that I subconsiously make the low-variance play sometimes rather than calling in a capped pot and folding 7/8 times. Calling is probably +EV.The whole semantics debate over drawing dead or "nearly" drawing dead is silly. The fact is, you have a 1/8 shot of hitting a set and you expect to win when you do and lose otherwise. this doesn't matter much since:

i think an approximately 8-to-1 chance of flopping a set is a little better than drawing dead. you know, just a little.Well, drawing dead would be zero outs. In this case you have two. So, yeah, it is a little better. That's why I said "nearly". Clearly, you don't have a good chance of winning here and would be calling on the basis of implied odds when you hit a set. translation: If you don't hit a set, it will be nearly impossible to continue post flop. Sorry, I was unclear. I didn't mean that there would be tough decisions.not really.low/mid pocket pairs have a huge postflop strateg

actually, you only need to make 6 BB when you flop a set to make this call profitable. 10 BB if it ends up being capped.you're numbers were calculated, I assume, by the odds of calling 4-cold, which is not the case here.You're right, I quickly based my assumption on the fact that you're losing 4 small bets, 7 out of 8 times.

put it this way, when you do hit a set, can you make 14BB off of it? If you can't, then you probably can't call profitably here since you'll be folding almost every other time.

I fold here. If you have the best hand, it's unlikely to hold up. If you don't have the best hand, you're drawing nearly dead. Not to mention, if you don't hit a set this will be nearly impossible to play post flop. If they're maniacs, you can find a better spot to bust them.

Having the same problem. No response from UB yet.

It's just a front end for a huge pokertracker database.

iits not that unlikely.OK, upon further review it's about 20%, so not terribly unlikely.

Easy there killer... I said I was just kidding. Anyways, 2k hands still isn't a big enough sample, but PFR of 6% isn't enough, and AF 1.5 isn't high enough. You can get by with 22% VPIP, but it's on the high side if you're playing full ring games. So, I guess I stand by my original comments.

http://www.pokeromics.com/psearch.aspx?p=mattnxtc&l=1You're too loose, you don't raise enough PF, and you arent aggressive enough postflop.j/k man... I know this is a small sample, but if you have some PT stats you'd like to share, maybe we can help you plug the leaks. If you're a winning player (around 2BB/100) it's still possible to lose 140BB, but it's quite unlikely. It might be time to re-evaluate your game.

Well, 4500 is obviously too small, and AA is obviously the biggest winner. At the beginning of small stakes hold 'em, Ed Miller says that 60,000 hands is far too small a sample to approximate the relative value of starting hands. Anyways, after about 25k, mine looks like this:AA KKQQAKAKsJJKQOdd, huh? /sw

Pretty sure it was Al Bernstein, not Al Michaels.

As Stephen A. Smith would say, "You've read Hellmuth's book, and quite frankly, that's all you need."/sw

OK, let me change my stance. Since the CO is the one that came alive after the flop, I think you need to slow down. Most low-limit players aren't capping the flop here with a hand like AT, let alone QT. If he's in there with T5, more power to him. I just hope he doesn't leave my table soon.I would have to agree that 55 is a real possibility.Also, I really don't think that the 3 on the river changes that much. If you were ahead before, you're still ahead. If you were behind before, you're still behind.Check/call.

BB isn't in the hand anymore. The most aggressive player is the CO, who posted a blind and could have anything.The reason I considered betting the river is the 3 actually improves my hand by giving me the best two pairs.edit: oh, I did completely confuse this. I thought the CO was the preflop 3 bettor.

Given the reads, this is an easier call. Getting 19 to 1, we only need to find a couple of outs, and I think Kent found them for you.

Seems unlikely that the BB would be 3 betting PF with QT or T5, huh? I'd put him on KK, QQ, or TT, in that order.Since you're beat by two of the three, I don't mind check/calling. If you're thinking about leading out on the river, then why did you slow down on the turn? I'd probably check call the river, but I'm sure somebody will tell you to bet/call. I'm guessing the other straggler had a draw that missed, and he's just gonna' muck on the end anyways.

Why do you hate checking the river? Are you worried about missing a bet against a worse hand? What sort of worse hands would he raise with UTG, then call down with? I'd probably check call the river and expect to see A9s or something like that. There is also the off chance that you get him to bluff a worse hand.

I'd rather spend my 2 bucks at taco bell than call on the river here. I suppose you might be good 1 in 12 times, but if you're looking for info, just wait 25 hands and look at the wonder that is GameTime+. I put him on a pair of 7's.

The pot is big, but it's not inconceivable that you're drawing to 1 or 2 effective outs. If you figure the SB for an over pair, and account for the fact that either the BB or UTG could have you dominated, you're in a pretty bad spot. That said, I probably peel one off here looking for a club, an eight, or an ace to keep me in the hand. The fact that you are closing the action is big here.I almost never play short handed, so take this with a grain of salt.

Looks like you're beat after the flop, but I've certainly seen fishier play at these limits. Perhaps a diamond draw with the K of diamonds? Otherwise, I assume that he has a set, and I just call down after the flop gets capped. Hmm, maybe a K7 offsuit? It's fun to speculate since the fish are completely unpredictable.

There's no argument for folding a 9Ts UTG+1? I'm folding this most of the time. Explain to me why I'm wrong so I can fix it.edit: let me explain my reasoning for folding1. out of position2. little high card strength3. fair chance I'm dominated4. speculative hand against unknown number of opponents which I might end up playing for a raise.OK, now you can rip my logic apart.

You might be a winning player who just happens to be grammatically challenged. You might also be a 7th grader with a poker dream. Until proven otherwise, I'll assume the latter.Do you play on Party? If so, what's your ID?

Roddy, do you use PokerTracker? Can you say what your win rate is and how many hands you've played at 3/6 and 5/10?In my experience, winning 5/10 players who have trouble forming sentences are a rarity. (unless you're dyslexic)