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AlanBostick

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Everything posted by AlanBostick

  1. I've noticed that if I'm up early enough in the morning to see the sun come up, if I watch the sunrise I find I'm facing east.I've also noticed that every time the Pope dies and the College of Cardinals chooses a replacement, the new Pope is almost always Catholic.Anyone else notice this?
  2. When getting you to fold increases my equity in the main pot.
  3. For me, from the players on that list, it's a toss-up between Cindy Violette and Kathy Liebert. I've been rooting for Kathy for longer, though, so on balance she gets my vote.FWIW, the only ones on the list I've played with are Kathy, Marsha Waggoner, and Karina Jett.
  4. With two chuckleheads each with a jack in the door calling the bring-in for the full amount, and with three wheel cards in my own hand, including a completely live ace, I'm raising this hand on third street. Stud/8 starting hands get better than this, but not much better.Fourth street is a marginal call, what with the three-flush. You don't give up very much by folding. (It would have been an easy call if you had raised and the chuckleheads and low draws had called.)Fifth street on, play cautiously. Your sorry *ss is being freerolled by the made low.
  5. 7 Card Stud: The Complete Course in Winning by Roy West
  6. Second prize is EIGHT seats for the next Camp Hellmuth.<rimshot!>
  7. Moderator: Shouldn't this thread be moved to the Poker Player Profiles forum?
  8. Of course there is. All limit HE is different from all NLHE; small-stakes limit HE is different from high-stakes limit HE; and small-stakes NLHE is different from high-stakes NLHE.The general difference between small-stakes games and high-stakes games is that by and large the players are simpler in the small-stakes games than in the high-stakes games. In the small-stakes games you generally win by showing down the best hand. In the high-stakes games you have more opportunities to win by forcing better hands than yours to fold.There are bad players at all levels, of course. But a bad playe
  9. Cry me a river.No, dont bother. Don't even bother crying me a flop. Cry me a preflop fold.
  10. I'm not an intellectual property professional, I just live with one. But I am AIM-chatting with her as I write this post.Leaving aside the "would nots" and "shoulds", you are quite wrong about what the WPT "CANNOT" do. At least under the version of the release posted on the Foxwoods site for the World Poker Finals, they very much can create player avatars in video games, Or a WPT line of bobblehead dolls, or WPT trading cards, or WPT-branded sportswear featuring player likenesses, or just about anything anyone can imagine to sell that would carry both the WPT brand and player likenesse
  11. Then stop speaking for them.I am not saying that the WPT should negotiate the release with every player, although from the players' point of view that's a better alternative than doing nothing. I'm saying that the WPT's release, as it stands, outrageously exploits the players, and all the honey-tongued assurances that the WPT has the players' best interests at heart cannot change the fact that the release as it stands outrageously exploits the players. If you aren't willing to negotiate individually away from this boilerplate, change the basic boilerplate.As I've said before, Harrah's gran
  12. Assurances about how the WPT manaagement "cares" about the players have no legal standing. Neither does a claim that "the WPT has never tried to exploit players for financial gain." What does have legal standing is that damned release, if anyone is fool enough to sign it.Forgive my French, but your release sucks. The grant of rights is intolerably broad and open-ended. I simply won't sign it. I'm not "boycotting", I'm just not willing to sign away those rights in order to play in your tournament at full price including vig.You say that the TV business is complicated. I'm sure it is. I
  13. I haven't been able to confirm this, but the rumor mill is saying that none of the Full Tilt pros can play in WPT events under he current release language. That includes Matusow and Ivey.It probably isn't correct to call it a boycott. The poker blog Card Squad quotes Chris Ferguson as saying that were Chris to sign the WPT release he would be in breach of contract: If it is true that the entire Full Tilt team of pros is not playing in WPT events, it might simply be because their contracts with Fulll Tilt don't allow it.My own opinion of the WPT release language is that it's terrible for t
  14. Let's do the math:The probability of an individual suckout is 4.5% , (NB: I misspoke the odds of a runner-runner flush suckout; it is 21:1, not 22:1. The probability of 4.5% is correct.)Suppose a player puts herself in ten successive situations where her opponent has to make a runner runner flush to win. The number of times she will actually be sucked out upon is governed by the binomial distribution.The probability that no suckouts (0% rate) will occur in the ten trials is P(0) = 62.8%The probability that one suckout (10% rate) will occur is P(1) = 29.9%The probability that two suckout
  15. Who does the "recognizing" of the "recognized pros" ... the IRS?
  16. For a long time, I used a round black rock I'd found on the seashore. At the unveiling of my mother-in-law's tombstone, I left it as a memory offering.Now I use a polished piece of jasper.
  17. I wouldn't want to be "Dan Negreanu's Poker Protege"; it would be embarassing. I'm not quite twenty years older than he is. The reason I don't already play at his level is simple: there are enough other important things in my life that I'm not willing to devote myself to poker that completely. I'm happy being a winning mid-limit recreational player.
  18. Face it, when you get the money in as a 22:1 favorite, you're going to get beat 4.5% of the time.
  19. If you look at your PokerTracker results[1], a lot more of your hands are going to be profitable than just AA, KK, and QQ.If you wanted to, you could pick and choose from among those to select the hands that are "responsible" for your win. Some thing like (pulling examples out of my butt) "All of my profit comes from suited connectors down to 98s plus A4s through A7s."What makes a claim like Matt Matros's interesting is that AA, KK, and QQ are by near-universal agreement the very best hands.[1] I play B&M games, and thus don't have this sort of information available to me
  20. Stuck! I was already back up to even at that point....
  21. The turn bet is pretty much mandatory. The river bet is definitely mandatory given that you dogged the turn.Even seven-handed, raising a UTG limper with A9o seems rather LAGgy. to me. But then, in the games I usually play, my opponents' single biggest leak is cold-calling preflop raises much more than they should.
  22. $15-$30 hold'em at the Oaks. Very loose table, three quarters passive, one quarter aggressive. I'm in the small blind,in seat 9, with about $1500 in chips. (I busted out of my first $500, rebought for $1K because I thought the game would be high-variance.)Three players limp in, including Bob B. in seat 5. I had thought of Bob as being borderline weak-tight, but he's been real loose tonight, cold-calling lots of raises with hands I think of as marginal. I think he's called every preflop raise I've made so far this evening. I squeeze my cards and see A:club:3:heart:, and toss in one more
  23. That was Matt Matros in the 11/25/05 issue of Card Player:
  24. Who the fsck cares? The Big Dance at the WSOP isn't about the TV cameras.But then, I'm the sort of guy who is irritated by TV poker in the first place. A week or so ago, I sat down at a poker table, looked up at the video monitors on the walls, and saw that it was WSOP coverage. I told the player next to me, "That makes me feel like we should be playing basketball right now."At the 2003 WSOP, I took a break from the poker action to take a night off by hanging out and chasing hotties at the outdoor bar at the Flamingo. I was having a great time until the monitors over the bar, which were tu
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