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How To Turn $100 Into 2.1 Million In One Football Season


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Thanks for your input on the teaser info, I know I got a bad price on colts, it opened at 8, moved to 7.5 this morning and already moved to 9 on BetUS within 15 minutes of placing my bet. Most books still have this at 7.5 but even a few Vegas Casinos already have it at 9 as well. JaX Def is allowing the #1 most points to QBs and #2 most points to WRs through Week 3. If this line moves, it will not move down, I feel pretty sure about that. I absolutely LOVE the Colts in the game, even if it is in Jax and they are division rivals. Colts win this game big imo. I feel the Atlanta line is good enough, most places its -7 or -6.5.
1) I understand what you're trying to say, but the market is definitely of the opinion, right now, that the fair price for this game is Colts-7.5 or so. Everything else is just noise. It's been a while since I've looked, but I think BET US is a pretty square shop, and they shade sides a bit to take advantage of retail action. That's a fancy way of saying: "Favorites and overs will be expensive." 2) I have no idea what this Indy line is going to do -- it got steamed up to 9, then right back down to 7.5/8 -- but I'm guessing it closes somewhere below 9 and above 7. I'd be way more surprised if the market closed at 9 than 7, however. 3) Indy = good. Jax = bad. No argument from me. But does anyone think Jax is really as bad as they've been the first three weeks? Their value can't be any lower, and Indy just won by 2TDs in Denver, covering both the spread AND the teaser number. In one of my contest pools, my only move on the openers was Jax +9. 4) As far as the Atlanta line: there's a huge difference between 7 and 6.5. Huge. Do not underestimate the value of that half-point. In fact, google "half point calculator" if you don't believe me. 5) Good luck. Want to see something cool? Change the vig in your example from -110 to -105 -- a common reduced-juice option that many outlets offer -- and take a look at the bottom line. There is nothing more important than playing at reduced vig.
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1) I understand what you're trying to say, but the market is definitely of the opinion, right now, that the fair price for this game is Colts-7.5 or so. Everything else is just noise. It's been a while since I've looked, but I think BET US is a pretty square shop, and they shade sides a bit to take advantage of retail action. That's a fancy way of saying: "Favorites and overs will be expensive." 2) I have no idea what this Indy line is going to do -- it got steamed up to 9, then right back down to 7.5/8 -- but I'm guessing it closes somewhere below 9 and above 7. I'd be way more surprised if the market closed at 9 than 7, however. 3) Indy = good. Jax = bad. No argument from me. But does anyone think Jax is really as bad as they've been the first three weeks? Their value can't be any lower, and Indy just won by 2TDs in Denver, covering both the spread AND the teaser number. In one of my contest pools, my only move on the openers was Jax +9. 4) As far as the Atlanta line: there's a huge difference between 7 and 6.5. Huge. Do not underestimate the value of that half-point. In fact, google "half point calculator" if you don't believe me. 5) Good luck. Want to see something cool? Change the vig in your example from -110 to -105 -- a common reduced-juice option that many outlets offer -- and take a look at the bottom line. There is nothing more important than playing at reduced vig.
You = SmartMe = Dumb
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well we had a great run! fun while it lasted loooooolReally, Colts< Jags? Never would have thunk it!
2) You've already got a bad price on the Colts. They're down to 8 across the board, which is a huge move for you if you insist on playing teasers. I'm pretty sure they'll get as low as 7.5 today, and might even drop to 7 before sharp money buys back.
3) Indy = good. Jax = bad. No argument from me. But does anyone think Jax is really as bad as they've been the first three weeks? Their value can't be any lower, and Indy just won by 2TDs in Denver, covering both the spread AND the teaser number. In one of my contest pools, my only move on the openers was Jax +9.
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well we had a great run! fun while it lasted loooooolReally, Colts< Jags? Never would have thunk it!
i was rooting for you, just to see what level it was gonna take for you to crack under the pressure and collectsadness
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If Wang doesn't already hate you, this will probably lock that up for you.
well that was the real underlying main reason for making that bet and post.
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quote name='El Guapo' date='Monday, October 4th, 2010, 2:47 PM' post='3400490']If Wang doesn't already hate you, this will probably lock that up for you.When I made my 3 team parlay bet this weekend, my first thought was that somewhere Wang was chuckling scornfully at my foolishness. Probably a bad sign overall for me on a few levels.But I won though so obviously parlays are great bets.

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But I won though so obviously parlays are great bets.
that's what I'm talking about!I hardly ever make bets on opening lines, but felt like making a few today. Hopefully when all the lines close I ended up getting in good on more than I got in bad on .....I actually paid the extra juice on the Titans game to buy 1/2 point. Looking forward to bearded completely making fun of my bets below .....3fnfYbls9WSb-GUH-e5L.pngyeah, the more I look at it, the more that 9 team parlay is a lock!
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don't worry dna. We're all like that sometimes even though normally I avoid the parlays. Got bored so I did a teaser. Also had one on the NFL for 10 to win 80 or so but the Cards +16.5 blew it. Wager Type: Teaser tp 6½fb & 5bk Teaser (7 team) ties pushWager Status: WinRisk / To Win Amount: 50.00 / 445.00 (USD) Accepted 10/2/2010 12:15 PM - ESTWon: 445.00Amount Paid: 495.00 Item #1Wager Type: SpreadOutcome: WinSport / Period: College Football / GameLine: Texas 10/2/2010 3:30:01 PM - (EST)+10 Opponent: Oklahoma Item #2Wager Type: SpreadOutcome: WinSport / Period: College Football / GameLine: Indiana 10/2/2010 3:30:01 PM - (EST)+16½ Opponent: Michigan Item #3Wager Type: SpreadOutcome: WinSport / Period: College Football / GameLine: Virginia Tech 10/2/2010 3:30:01 PM - (EST)+3 Opponent: NC State Item #4Wager Type: SpreadOutcome: WinSport / Period: College Football / GameLine: Wake Forest 10/2/2010 7:00:01 PM - (EST)+16 Opponent: Georgia Tech Item #5Wager Type: SpreadOutcome: WinSport / Period: College Football / GameLine: Notre Dame 10/2/2010 8:00:01 PM - (EST)+3½ Opponent: Boston College Item #6Wager Type: SpreadOutcome: WinSport / Period: College Football / GameLine: Alabama 10/2/2010 8:00:01 PM - (EST)-1½ Opponent: Florida Item #7Wager Type: SpreadOutcome: WinSport / Period: College Football / GameLine: Iowa 10/2/2010 8:00:01 PM - (EST)-1 Opponent: Penn State edit: oh here's bearded now!!!!!!!!

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So maybe it's a sign ....Have the O/U -48.5 in last nights NE game.Score is 6-7 going into the half so loving my odds to win this bet cause what are the odds they come out and score 5 touchdowns, 5 extra points and a field goal in just two quarters, right, right?ooopsbetting is dumb

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