Balloon guy 158 Posted September 29, 2010 Share Posted September 29, 2010 this means I would probably have to become a Republican, not sure if it's worth it Contributions are tax deductible Link to post Share on other sites
dna4ever 2 Posted September 29, 2010 Author Share Posted September 29, 2010 Contributions are tax deductibleI only feel obligated to return your joke with the ....Recall Joke of the Day ....Why does Obama not like having sex with Michelle?Cause every time she spreads her legs he sees Bush! HAHHAHAHAHAHAHHAHAHAHAHAHA WOOOOWEEEEE! Link to post Share on other sites
Bearded in Absentia 0 Posted September 29, 2010 Share Posted September 29, 2010 Thanks for your input on the teaser info, I know I got a bad price on colts, it opened at 8, moved to 7.5 this morning and already moved to 9 on BetUS within 15 minutes of placing my bet. Most books still have this at 7.5 but even a few Vegas Casinos already have it at 9 as well. JaX Def is allowing the #1 most points to QBs and #2 most points to WRs through Week 3. If this line moves, it will not move down, I feel pretty sure about that. I absolutely LOVE the Colts in the game, even if it is in Jax and they are division rivals. Colts win this game big imo. I feel the Atlanta line is good enough, most places its -7 or -6.5.1) I understand what you're trying to say, but the market is definitely of the opinion, right now, that the fair price for this game is Colts-7.5 or so. Everything else is just noise. It's been a while since I've looked, but I think BET US is a pretty square shop, and they shade sides a bit to take advantage of retail action. That's a fancy way of saying: "Favorites and overs will be expensive." 2) I have no idea what this Indy line is going to do -- it got steamed up to 9, then right back down to 7.5/8 -- but I'm guessing it closes somewhere below 9 and above 7. I'd be way more surprised if the market closed at 9 than 7, however. 3) Indy = good. Jax = bad. No argument from me. But does anyone think Jax is really as bad as they've been the first three weeks? Their value can't be any lower, and Indy just won by 2TDs in Denver, covering both the spread AND the teaser number. In one of my contest pools, my only move on the openers was Jax +9. 4) As far as the Atlanta line: there's a huge difference between 7 and 6.5. Huge. Do not underestimate the value of that half-point. In fact, google "half point calculator" if you don't believe me. 5) Good luck. Want to see something cool? Change the vig in your example from -110 to -105 -- a common reduced-juice option that many outlets offer -- and take a look at the bottom line. There is nothing more important than playing at reduced vig. Link to post Share on other sites
dna4ever 2 Posted September 29, 2010 Author Share Posted September 29, 2010 1) I understand what you're trying to say, but the market is definitely of the opinion, right now, that the fair price for this game is Colts-7.5 or so. Everything else is just noise. It's been a while since I've looked, but I think BET US is a pretty square shop, and they shade sides a bit to take advantage of retail action. That's a fancy way of saying: "Favorites and overs will be expensive." 2) I have no idea what this Indy line is going to do -- it got steamed up to 9, then right back down to 7.5/8 -- but I'm guessing it closes somewhere below 9 and above 7. I'd be way more surprised if the market closed at 9 than 7, however. 3) Indy = good. Jax = bad. No argument from me. But does anyone think Jax is really as bad as they've been the first three weeks? Their value can't be any lower, and Indy just won by 2TDs in Denver, covering both the spread AND the teaser number. In one of my contest pools, my only move on the openers was Jax +9. 4) As far as the Atlanta line: there's a huge difference between 7 and 6.5. Huge. Do not underestimate the value of that half-point. In fact, google "half point calculator" if you don't believe me. 5) Good luck. Want to see something cool? Change the vig in your example from -110 to -105 -- a common reduced-juice option that many outlets offer -- and take a look at the bottom line. There is nothing more important than playing at reduced vig.You = SmartMe = Dumb Link to post Share on other sites
Bearded in Absentia 0 Posted September 29, 2010 Share Posted September 29, 2010 You = SmartMe = DumbNah. Me = Informed, Passionate. You = Around, Conscious. Link to post Share on other sites
grocery_mony 8 Posted September 29, 2010 Share Posted September 29, 2010 If you were to run it up to 5 figures is there any place that will take a bet of that size? Link to post Share on other sites
Skeleton Jelly 2 Posted September 29, 2010 Share Posted September 29, 2010 Contributions are tax deductibleContributions to PAC's aren't. Link to post Share on other sites
dna4ever 2 Posted September 29, 2010 Author Share Posted September 29, 2010 If you were to run it up to 5 figures is there any place that will take a bet of that size?BetUS Max Bet is $100K Link to post Share on other sites
dna4ever 2 Posted October 4, 2010 Author Share Posted October 4, 2010 well we had a great run! fun while it lasted loooooolReally, Colts< Jags? Never would have thunk it! Link to post Share on other sites
Bearded in Absentia 0 Posted October 4, 2010 Share Posted October 4, 2010 well we had a great run! fun while it lasted loooooolReally, Colts< Jags? Never would have thunk it! 2) You've already got a bad price on the Colts. They're down to 8 across the board, which is a huge move for you if you insist on playing teasers. I'm pretty sure they'll get as low as 7.5 today, and might even drop to 7 before sharp money buys back. 3) Indy = good. Jax = bad. No argument from me. But does anyone think Jax is really as bad as they've been the first three weeks? Their value can't be any lower, and Indy just won by 2TDs in Denver, covering both the spread AND the teaser number. In one of my contest pools, my only move on the openers was Jax +9. Link to post Share on other sites
rsmbox 1 Posted October 4, 2010 Share Posted October 4, 2010 well we had a great run! fun while it lasted loooooolReally, Colts< Jags? Never would have thunk it!i was rooting for you, just to see what level it was gonna take for you to crack under the pressure and collectsadness Link to post Share on other sites
antistuff 0 Posted October 4, 2010 Share Posted October 4, 2010 wana sell part of it?do this for every combination of games and then sell all your action and you can't lose. Link to post Share on other sites
SAM_Hard8 50 Posted October 4, 2010 Share Posted October 4, 2010 never bet for or against the Colts. Link to post Share on other sites
dna4ever 2 Posted October 4, 2010 Author Share Posted October 4, 2010 Pretty much no way I can lose this bet ..... Link to post Share on other sites
El Guapo 8 Posted October 4, 2010 Share Posted October 4, 2010 If Wang doesn't already hate you, this will probably lock that up for you. Link to post Share on other sites
dna4ever 2 Posted October 4, 2010 Author Share Posted October 4, 2010 If Wang doesn't already hate you, this will probably lock that up for you.well that was the real underlying main reason for making that bet and post. Link to post Share on other sites
Skeleton Jelly 2 Posted October 4, 2010 Share Posted October 4, 2010 well that was the real underlying main reason for making that bet and post. That he'll respect. Link to post Share on other sites
CaneBrain 95 Posted October 4, 2010 Share Posted October 4, 2010 quote name='El Guapo' date='Monday, October 4th, 2010, 2:47 PM' post='3400490']If Wang doesn't already hate you, this will probably lock that up for you.When I made my 3 team parlay bet this weekend, my first thought was that somewhere Wang was chuckling scornfully at my foolishness. Probably a bad sign overall for me on a few levels.But I won though so obviously parlays are great bets. Link to post Share on other sites
dna4ever 2 Posted October 4, 2010 Author Share Posted October 4, 2010 But I won though so obviously parlays are great bets.that's what I'm talking about!I hardly ever make bets on opening lines, but felt like making a few today. Hopefully when all the lines close I ended up getting in good on more than I got in bad on .....I actually paid the extra juice on the Titans game to buy 1/2 point. Looking forward to bearded completely making fun of my bets below .....yeah, the more I look at it, the more that 9 team parlay is a lock! Link to post Share on other sites
El Guapo 8 Posted October 4, 2010 Share Posted October 4, 2010 this could be fun. Link to post Share on other sites
dna4ever 2 Posted October 4, 2010 Author Share Posted October 4, 2010 this could be fun.::excited with anticipation face:: Link to post Share on other sites
wsox8 10 Posted October 4, 2010 Share Posted October 4, 2010 don't worry dna. We're all like that sometimes even though normally I avoid the parlays. Got bored so I did a teaser. Also had one on the NFL for 10 to win 80 or so but the Cards +16.5 blew it. Wager Type: Teaser tp 6½fb & 5bk Teaser (7 team) ties pushWager Status: WinRisk / To Win Amount: 50.00 / 445.00 (USD) Accepted 10/2/2010 12:15 PM - ESTWon: 445.00Amount Paid: 495.00 Item #1Wager Type: SpreadOutcome: WinSport / Period: College Football / GameLine: Texas 10/2/2010 3:30:01 PM - (EST)+10 Opponent: Oklahoma Item #2Wager Type: SpreadOutcome: WinSport / Period: College Football / GameLine: Indiana 10/2/2010 3:30:01 PM - (EST)+16½ Opponent: Michigan Item #3Wager Type: SpreadOutcome: WinSport / Period: College Football / GameLine: Virginia Tech 10/2/2010 3:30:01 PM - (EST)+3 Opponent: NC State Item #4Wager Type: SpreadOutcome: WinSport / Period: College Football / GameLine: Wake Forest 10/2/2010 7:00:01 PM - (EST)+16 Opponent: Georgia Tech Item #5Wager Type: SpreadOutcome: WinSport / Period: College Football / GameLine: Notre Dame 10/2/2010 8:00:01 PM - (EST)+3½ Opponent: Boston College Item #6Wager Type: SpreadOutcome: WinSport / Period: College Football / GameLine: Alabama 10/2/2010 8:00:01 PM - (EST)-1½ Opponent: Florida Item #7Wager Type: SpreadOutcome: WinSport / Period: College Football / GameLine: Iowa 10/2/2010 8:00:01 PM - (EST)-1 Opponent: Penn State edit: oh here's bearded now!!!!!!!! Link to post Share on other sites
dms26 3 Posted October 4, 2010 Share Posted October 4, 2010 Pretty much no way I can lose this bet .....This is a lock Link to post Share on other sites
ajs510 122 Posted October 4, 2010 Share Posted October 4, 2010 If Wang doesn't already hate you, this will probably lock that up for you.Legit LOL. Link to post Share on other sites
dna4ever 2 Posted October 5, 2010 Author Share Posted October 5, 2010 So maybe it's a sign ....Have the O/U -48.5 in last nights NE game.Score is 6-7 going into the half so loving my odds to win this bet cause what are the odds they come out and score 5 touchdowns, 5 extra points and a field goal in just two quarters, right, right?ooopsbetting is dumb Link to post Share on other sites
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