Can I Make A Thin Value Bet Here?

[NonZeroPossibility 0]

So Ocean's 11 here in San Diego started up a little 5/5 PLO lately.Villain ~ $1,800Hero ~ $500Villain is a pretty tight player, I haven't seen him do anything out of line or out of the ordinary. He bets when he has it, folds when he doesn't and smooth calls when he has a monster draw. I've just sat down about an hour ago and may be seen as a little aggro. The count on raising pf: Me=15 out of about 30 hands..... The rest of the table=2 out of 30 (I don't think they understand why I'm raising every other hand pf and I'm also not sure if they realize how solid I am playing after the flop (Simo told me to do it))Villain is on my direct right and limps in UTG+1 for $5Hero picks up and bets pot $30Folds around to Villain who calls $25 moreFlop comes :D Villain checks, Hero bets $50, Villain calls $50Turn is Villain checks, Hero checksRiver is Villain checks, Hero?............. Should I bet here?

[bdc30 0]

why are you checking the turn??yes, bet the river....

[NonZeroPossibility 0]

Well I figured him for a big draw on the flop and Q T just got there.

[bdc30 0]

hands that beat usQTxxhands that we beatevery other combination of 4 cardsBet 70% of pot on the turn, his "monster draw" can be clubs too.If he raises, you have a decision to make

[NonZeroPossibility 0]

OK, so I bet $75 trying to get a call out of 2-pair or a smaller set. He raises $150 more.wtf do I do now?

[simo_8ball 0]

OK, so I bet $75 trying to get a call out of 2-pair or a smaller set. He raises $150 more.wtf do I do now?

Fold? Instafold? Snapfold?edit: Did you mean on the turn or on the river?

[NonZeroPossibility 0]

This was a little Asian guy btw if that makes any difference.

[NonZeroPossibility 0]

Fold? Instafold? Snapfold?edit: Did you mean on the turn or on the river?

Hey Simo, you start drinking a little early today? Why in the hell would I fold the turn? lolSorry, had to be a smartass.

[bdc30 0]

This was a little Asian guy btw if that makes any difference.

In that case open fold the river when it doesn't pair the board.

[antistuff 0]

why are you checking the turn??yes, bet the river....

if you bet the turn you often bet yourself off the hand. i don't think the risk outweighs the reward. plus, checking the turn gets him to bet into on the river with nothing sometimes.

[Killrus 0]

plo? damn I wish they had that here.

[ROBBBIGG 0]

i'm hoping there is more talk about this hand because i usually call the river raise pretty often, but i'm pretty new to plo

[NonZeroPossibility 0]

i'm hoping there is more talk about this hand because i usually call the river raise pretty often, but i'm pretty new to plo

Forgot about this hand. This guy played it so weird I honestly didn't know what to do on the river when he checked. I guess was just a little mad at myself when I posted this hand because I was so close to checking the river behind. The turn I checked behind for the exact reason anti said.(OK, cat's out of the bag, I called river, he showed QTxx)If I put him on clubs, and I bet the turn, I'm potting it but I just had this sinking feeling when the Ace hit and Villain checked. The ONLY thing that should be calling a psb on the turn is QTxx. I think I like my check here.So then the river blanks and he checks again. Obv I must be good with the set right? Why would he check check with the nuts? I mean, if you were Villain, would you check the turn after hitting your gin card? Then check a blank river too?Such a sick spot.

[iggymcfly 0]

So then the river blanks and he checks again. Obv I must be good with the set right? Why would he check check with the nuts? I mean, if you were Villain, would you check the turn after hitting your gin card? Then check a blank river too?

Because he's a live player and most live players care more about "tricking people" than they do about making money. Fold to the river raise BTW.

[thebenCA 0]

I say check behind on the river. You're seriously doubt a weaker hand will. But you could easily find yourself getting reraised on that board though. Little upside to betting-huge downside. I like what antistuff said earlier in the thread-it's easy to bet yourself out of the pot here. I vote for checking behind.