Briguy 0 Posted November 10, 2006 Share Posted November 10, 2006 First off, I think I made a significant error in not raising preflop. Nonetheless:Pokerstars $10+$1 STT, stacks all at 1500, blinds 10/20Hero is on the button with K J Preflop: 1 fold, UTG1 calls, UTG2 calls, 2 folds, CO calls, Hero calls, SB calls, BB raises to 80, UTG1 calls, UTG2 folds, CO calls, Hero calls, SB calls.Flop (420 in pot): A 2 2 SB checks, BB bets 200, 1 fold, CO raises to 500, Hero ???I'm either up against two aces or an A and a 2. A2s and AA are remote possibilities, but I'm not too worried about it because I'm such a mellow personality. With 1120 in the pot and two characters more-or-less committed, should I just push here and try to hit gin on the first hand? The choice is sitting safe with 1420 early (and I will be able to accumulate chips later) or 1420 now to win 4680, 4040, 3540, or go busto. I doubt that I have FE against both opponents. Pokerstove informs me that I have 27% equity against an A and a 2, or 36% equity against two A's.Edited to fix flop action (UTG1 folded) Link to post Share on other sites
pokerfan1080 0 Posted November 10, 2006 Share Posted November 10, 2006 I fold, but I've recently returned to a tighter style (maybe even too tight).Too many times in this situation we are up against a boat. It's early, we have lots of time, I wait for a better spot....... but, ISAP! lol Link to post Share on other sites
BeaverStyle 1 Posted November 10, 2006 Share Posted November 10, 2006 I'd say it's an easy fold... it's early, you only have 80 invested, and you could be drawing dead.These $10 180's are just about as donkalicious as the $4.40's.... Just wait it out and you'll have the nuts against someone w/ middle pair and get it all in the middle.Fold.EDIT: Noticed it was a STT.... Meh... I think i still fold, no reason to gamble against this many people with a hand that could be dead. Link to post Share on other sites
trystero 0 Posted November 10, 2006 Share Posted November 10, 2006 bleh I like gambling with the NFD as much as anyone early, but I hate doing it on paired boards with heavy action. A 2 may be unlikely - I'd figure the CO for some ragged ace - but I don't see us having much FE, which is what we need to make this move defensible. Link to post Share on other sites
rog 0 Posted November 10, 2006 Share Posted November 10, 2006 This is an easy fold IMO. I dont think you have odds to get all in here, and I dont think you can take it down with a push. Link to post Share on other sites
gobears 0 Posted November 10, 2006 Share Posted November 10, 2006 Yeah I fold to the bet and raise. You have no FE and with the board paired, there's the slight chance you could be drawing dead. Link to post Share on other sites
Briguy 0 Posted November 10, 2006 Author Share Posted November 10, 2006 Yup. I just ran the equity based on a 36% chance of winning. The only time pushing is +cEV is when they both fold (obv) or when they both call and neither has a deuce. If just one calls with an A, it's -cEV. And realistically if one of them calls a push, he's probably got a deuce. I may have some FE if they both hold AX, but at a $10+$1 I kinda doubt it.Mark this question as being results-oriented. I folded and would've hit for the win. The two jokers got all-in behind me on the flop with AK in BB and A5(!) in CO. Link to post Share on other sites
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now