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iggymcfly

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Everything posted by iggymcfly

  1. OK, so I was wrong about Colorado.However, I guarantee that Iowa State will cover on Saturday. Honestly, they should win by at least 3 TDs, and they're only favored by three and a half points.If you bet on Iowa State on Saturday, it's like going all-in with pocket aces against A-Ko, where in this case the Q-J-10 is Stevie Hicks getting injured. If that doesn't happen, it's free money.
  2. All right, given the board (4 to the straight, flush draw, and a pair), and the strong bet on the river, I'd say your opponent pretty much has to have one of four things:1) A total bluff.2) A full house/quads3) A straight3) A flushNow of these four, the fourth is the least likely. If he's firing out a semi-bluff on the flop, he's certainly going to throw another shell out there when the four card straight comes to scare off an overpair. That leaves 1, 2, and 3. If he's on a bluff, it doesn't matter whether you call or raise, you'll win the pot either way, so we'll just ignore that possibility
  3. Well, according to Caro, players usually make extravagant gestures like that when they're relaxed with a big hand, so I'd probably figure him for the flush there and let it go. It's definitely not an automatic fold here though. I remember I was playing a NL cash game heads up last summer, and someone made a large bet on the river when four to the flush came up. I don't remember exactly what he said, but whatever it was, it made me think he didn't have the flush. However, there was an overcard to my pocket pair on board. I had enough confidence in my read to make the call with pot odds, but I s
  4. Actually, there's no reason to fold in a cash game if you think you have an advantage. Assuming that you're not playing out of your bankroll, you should theoretically be able to call with a 53% edge all day, and still make money as the variance evens out. Again, you don't want him to sucker you in by showing one weak hand, but if he's really consistently pushing any ace or pocket pair, you definitely want to call with decent sized pocket pairs and solid aces.
  5. If you're playing a reasonable player, I'd never reraise a check-raise with just top pair. When they jam all-in after showing this much strength, I think you pretty much have to fold. Your best-case scenario is something like 10-9 of diamonds that leaves you in a virtual coinflip, and you're likely drawing to two outs against an overpair. Basically, you hold the weakest hand you could possibly be raising that hard with, so I think if he goes all-in at this point, you have to drop it.
  6. OK, here's the pertinent information. Maniac's been running over the table and his PT stats are 50/35/3 over 250 hands. However, he is up $2300 and you haven't seen him do anything real crazy post-flop.Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $ BB (6 max, 6 handed) FTR converter on zerodivide.cxManiac ($3354.50)BB ($1588.50)UTG ($1250.50)MP ($1137)You ($997)Button ($401.50)Preflop: You are CO with Q:spade:, A:spade:. Maniac posts a blind of $5. UTG calls $10, 1 fold, UTG folds.Flop: ($110) 6:club:, 4:club:, A:diamond: (2 players)Maniac checks, You bet $75, Maniac calls $75.Turn: ($260) Q:heart: (2 pl
  7. Sorry to be so bothersome, but is there an easy way to find that statistic? The only way I can find it right now is by auto-rating players, and then if someone's icon is set, then I can't find it when I look again.When you're looking through the main ring game statistics, there are about 800 different options there, but I can't find the simple post-flop raise rate.
  8. Hey, I just bought PT today so excuse me if I'm a little behind the times, but when people say a player is X/Y/Z, what's the Z statistic? I've looked through them, and I haven't seen any statistic where people oscillate between .5 and 5. I get the VP$IP and PFR stats fine, but what's the third one?The closest thing I could find was RFI, but that one looks way too high to be the stat people are quoting.
  9. Should be looser actually. In a tournament you can get knocked out and not be able to play again, but in a cash game, you should be pushing any edge you can get.As for what you should actually call with, I'd say it depends on position. If you're reasonably sure that you're going to isolate the raiser, than call with any decent ace (maybe a-10 or better), plus any decent pocket pair (i'd say maybe 8-8 or better). However, if there's still three or four people to act after you, you might want to tighten that up to something like a-q and 10-10. However, that's a rough guideline, assuming a total
  10. So, this was a bad beat for the "idiot" with the straight, but it wasn't really for you, since you weren't ahead on any street. Cold-decked, sure, but not a bad beat at all.
  11. Never mind, just got all-in preflop with pocket tens against the big stack who just had to defend his blind with J-6 offsuit. He somehow made a full house and knocked me out.
  12. Anyone else playing? It's down to 16 people (out of 340) after the 3rd break. I've got an average stack as iggymcfly if anybody's bored and wants to watch.
  13. Williamson definitely. You can tell that she's got the IQ of a dense rock just by looking at her, but she acts like she's got brilliant insight into everything.
  14. Actually, I've decided that posting about how "soft" a game is angers the poker gods. I did it once before with a 15/30 game and now with the 30/60 game and both times, I went on big losing streaks immediately after and lost all my profits at the table, plus most of my buy-in. From now on, if some donk calls me down with a crap pair, I'm keeping it to myself.
  15. One time, playing in a home game, I beat quads with a straight flush. The guy I was playing with wouldn't even believe me that a straight flush beat quads until I got other people to back me up.Online though, I don't know that I've ever seen a hand that would qualify.
  16. That's not really very impressive. You bet at the pot after it was checked around twice, and then got a fold when a scare card came on the river. I'd say that barely even counts as a bluff. A real bluff is when you can tell the other guy's betting defensively because he's scared, and you have nothing, but you raise the size of the pot to get him off the hand.This one? Pretty standard. I'm not impressed.
  17. That was me by the way with the OP, I don't know why it logged me in as a guest.
  18. You really think there's a chance this guy folded an overpair for $11? I'm guessing that he just tried to get aggressive with something like A-Q or A-J. Really, with only $11 left in your stack, there's absolutely no reason not to go all-in. The likelihood that you chase off A-X or even make A-X call by not letting them find out their ace isn't coming on the turn far outweighs any missed value.
  19. I have a Bodog account just for sports betting, and I tried downloading their poker software, but I didn't like it. You have to actually look at the chips to see what people are betting, and it takes way too much focus just to follow the action. Also, when I was on there, the players weren't any worse than on Party and it was a lot tougher to find a game.Just my two cents.
  20. Well, I think the real question is why are you buying in short?If it's because you can't afford to risk a full buy-in, then you should quit when the amount on the table exceeds what you feel comfortable gambling with.If you're buying in short because you think your edge is greater that way, than go ahead and stay at the table as long as your edge remains relatively strong.
  21. Agreed. There are a ton of players out there that can beat their game for a couple bets when they're playing their best game, but tilt off their whole stack whenever they lose a couple tough pots.I'd say that the top skills for a poker player are:1. Mental control (the ability to avoid and control tilt, as well as exercise general discipline)2. The ability to read opponents (yes, this includes picking up tells in a live game, but online it can be as simple as recognizing betting patterns)3. The confidence to trust the reads one makes on their opponents4. The ability to bet deceptively (this do
  22. Oh, that's fine. I think the games would be great for a kid. I mean poker is fun, and there's nothing wrong with corrupting the young ones. My mom and my uncle started betting horse races for me at the county fair when I was 12 years old.I was just wondering where all the interest was coming from other sources with the beta testing thread, other threads, etc., etc.I'd say go with Stacked just out of loyalty to DN if it ever actually comes out. Otherwise, just go with whatever's on the market, and I'm sure it will at least be decent.
  23. That's a silly NL rule. I mean sure bet somewhere between half the pot and the whole pot, but if you have a strong holding, I don't see any reason to intentionally scare people off. I'd a lot rather win 50 big blinds 90% of the time than win 30 big blinds 100% of the time.Besides, if you do start overbetting the pot just to scare out weak draws, you're eventually going to get burned when you run into the nuts.
  24. Poker video games are -EV.Seriously, why would anyone want to pay money to pretend to play poker, when they could just do the real thing and actually have money on the line. I get bored to death whenever I have less than $100 in a game, but it seems like even playing .01/.02 would be more fun than playing pretend poker. I really can't imagine these games having any appeal whatsoever for anyone who actually plays poker.Really, I think the only reason this game even has a market is the under-18 crowd that's not allowed to deposit $50 into a poker account.
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