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Can We Get Away From This?


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Sorry fellas, but the FTR converter doesn't seem to be working right now, so you're gonna have to make due with the original HH. Stage #521630687: Holdem No Limit $1 - 2006-12-19 19:37:38 (ET)Table: CINNAMON DR. (Real Money) Seat #6 is the dealerSeat 6 - VIVALT ($91.40 in chips)Seat 7 - IQCRASH ($91.10 in chips)Seat 8 - JAMMYBASTARD ($137.80 in chips)Seat 9 - YODADARKSIDE ($205.90 in chips)Seat 1 - CALIJENN ($43.05 in chips)Seat 2 - MSNAKE ($52.80 in chips)Seat 3 - KARDONOFF ($49.45 in chips)Seat 4 - MERLINDAN33 ($92.92 in chips)Seat 5 - ZILVER ($53.60 in chips)IQCRASH - Posts small blind $0.50JAMMYBASTARD - Posts big blind $1*** POCKET CARDS ***Dealt to IQCRASH [6h 5h] YODADARKSIDE - FoldsCALIJENN - FoldsMSNAKE - Calls $1KARDONOFF - FoldsMERLINDAN33 - Calls $1ZILVER - FoldsVIVALT - Calls $1IQCRASH - Calls $0.50JAMMYBASTARD - Checks*** FLOP *** [4h Jc 3h]IQCRASH - Bets $3JAMMYBASTARD - Calls $3MSNAKE - Calls $3MERLINDAN33 - Raises $8 to $8VIVALT - FoldsIQCRASH - Raises $30 to $33JAMMYBASTARD - All-In(Raise) $133.80 to $136.80MSNAKE - FoldsMERLINDAN33 - FoldsIQCRASH...

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Looks like he has a set, but I call. Can't be bothered to add it all up, but you'll be getting about 2-1 which is good enough against any hand.I like how you played this, but I would reraise a little smaller (~$25). Not sure it makes any real difference though.

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Note: This is my first real attempt to analyze a hand using math so please correct me if I'm wrong.Noway. Only possible hands are a set or AhJh.This is strictly a math question. It looks like you have to call $57.1 to win $109.1If that's right you are getting about 1.9 to 1, which means you have to win roughly 34% of the time.Against a set you are a little better than 40%. Against AhJh you are still 31%. Therefore, if you could put him on exactly Jhxh, then you could fold. Seeing as that's impossible, its a call.

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I didn't think anyone could come up with a reason to fold here (as I didn't at the time). Unfortunately, it's one of the rare situations I've run across going into the hand as a 75/25 dog with an OESFD.He held Jh2h.

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