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Should I Value-bet This River?


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PokerStars Game #16161399220: Tournament #81021436, $15+$1 Hold'em No Limit - Match Round I, Level II (15/30) - 2008/03/22 - 09:02:34 (ET)Table '81021436 3' 10-max Seat #8 is the buttonSeat 1: munga35 (1500 in chips) Seat 6: pahol (1470 in chips) Seat 7: delois (1440 in chips) Seat 8: kadi100 (1710 in chips) Seat 10: schadenfreude (1380 in chips) schadenfreude: posts small blind 15munga35: posts big blind 30*** HOLE CARDS ***Dealt to schadenfreude [2h 6d]pahol: calls 30delois: folds kadi100: folds schadenfreude: calls 15munga35: checks *** FLOP *** [3s Jh 9h]schadenfreude: checks munga35: checks pahol: checks *** TURN *** [3s Jh 9h] [4c]schadenfreude: checks munga35: bets 30pahol: folds schadenfreude: calls 30*** RIVER *** [3s Jh 9h 4c] [9s]schadenfreude: checks munga35: checks *** SHOW DOWN ***schadenfreude: shows [2h 6d] (a pair of Nines)munga35: mucks hand schadenfreude collected 150 from pot*** SUMMARY ***Total pot 150 | Rake 0 Board [3s Jh 9h 4c 9s]Seat 1: munga35 (big blind) mucked [5d 2c]Seat 6: pahol folded on the TurnSeat 7: delois folded before Flop (didn't bet)Seat 8: kadi100 (button) folded before Flop (didn't bet)Seat 10: schadenfreude (small blind) showed [2h 6d] and won (150) with a pair of Nines

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No, I don't think it's +EV to value bet this river. You have 62o, and your 2 doesn't even play. If you bet, you are really only getting called by hands that beat you. If you put his hand ranges into pokerstove the only hand you are beating is 25, and tbh, I don't think he will call you with that on this board. I think on balance the best play is to check-fold.

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Am I the only one who is three betting the flop, floating the flop, semibluffing the turn, and promptly shoving into the nuts on the river?Cause I think that's the proper way to play it.

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