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Everything posted by copernicus
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Rick Tocchet Experience..the Playoffs Are Here
copernicus replied to serge's topic in Sports- Hockey
Everybody else must be hungover! -
Rick Tocchet Experience..the Playoffs Are Here
copernicus replied to serge's topic in Sports- Hockey
They have played high scoring games in Carolina, so I could ride that trend too, though if it gets much worse than -105 I'd pass. I still love the Rangers under at the Garden. -
Rick Tocchet Experience..the Playoffs Are Here
copernicus replied to serge's topic in Sports- Hockey
All I like (other than the Pennsylvania over, easy to say now lol) is Chicago at +185. Tomorrow I love the Rangers under at even money again. -
\when they pay him his royalties for posing in the dictionary next to "scumbag lawyer"
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Rick Tocchet Experience..the Playoffs Are Here
copernicus replied to serge's topic in Sports- Hockey
A good college education will teach you how to think, how to approach problems in your given field, and how to find the resources you need. After that you should be able to do most anything. -
Rick Tocchet Experience..the Playoffs Are Here
copernicus replied to serge's topic in Sports- Hockey
thanks. -
Rick Tocchet Experience..the Playoffs Are Here
copernicus replied to serge's topic in Sports- Hockey
not sure what the phrase in parenthesis means, but the right math is to remove the vig, convert to probabilities, parlay them, convert back to odds and add the vig. Maybe what you are doing is a good approximation (and what the bent noses originally did). Using your three numbers Id get 3.25:1 -
Rick Tocchet Experience..the Playoffs Are Here
copernicus replied to serge's topic in Sports- Hockey
Youre not wrong...except maybe that the Caps were the better team during the season....they were in the middle of the season, but that changed after the Rangers coaching and player acquisitions. -
Rick Tocchet Experience..the Playoffs Are Here
copernicus replied to serge's topic in Sports- Hockey
Hope you bet the whole roll! And how the hell is Jason Blake eligible for the US team? -
Rick Tocchet Experience..the Playoffs Are Here
copernicus replied to serge's topic in Sports- Hockey
Makes sense though. they think the Sharks and Caps are about 2:1 favorites to win each game (way off imo), or 30% to win 3 straight. Even at coin flips to win each of two games the Canes and Flyers would only be 25% to comeback,and they really think they are dogs in each game. -
Rick Tocchet Experience..the Playoffs Are Here
copernicus replied to serge's topic in Sports- Hockey
Overall historical comebacks at 8.6% is a meaningless statistic for this prop, since that includes series where the team thats down was a dog to start with. Here the Caps were a huge favorite in the series (I was the only one out of 17 to pick the Rangers in the bracket pool), and they are still (based on the current line) a 2:1 favorite to win each game.That makes the Caps only about a 3:1 dog to come back. (Just saw the Greeks line, confirming I wasnt far off)I'll give you 4:1. Transfer 25 now, Ill send back 125 if the Caps win. vbnautilus just got paid $75 on a bet we had (albeit delayed si -
Rick Tocchet Experience..the Playoffs Are Here
copernicus replied to serge's topic in Sports- Hockey
Ahhhh...so its really a "one way bet" with three choices.You can increase your money line but restricting it to regulation? It seems like if you like the favorite in you can cover yourself vs an OT loss pretty cheap. -
Rick Tocchet Experience..the Playoffs Are Here
copernicus replied to serge's topic in Sports- Hockey
give me an example of the 3 way....i dont get it still. Rangers +280, Caps -130, Tie +320 +180 now. Its one of those lines that is so bizarre it scares me. Id buy Caps +180 lol. -
Rick Tocchet Experience..the Playoffs Are Here
copernicus replied to serge's topic in Sports- Hockey
I like the Rangers/Caps under at even money. -120 for the over seems insane to me!I still havent figured out what the "money line 3 way" is all about. -
Rick Tocchet Experience..the Playoffs Are Here
copernicus replied to serge's topic in Sports- Hockey
If we want a big score to build up the roll, its a way to go for sure. As long as it doesnt have the Rangers losing or a Rangers game going over, I wont protest anything else! -
I wasnt talking Phoenix in particular, just a new franchise in the area. The Leafs are going to sell out every game no matter who they bring in. A 20% premium on the value of a new big market franchise paid to MLSE should be plenty, and if theres any market around right than can support a second (+) team its TO. Hell, the Ducks sold out every game for their first 2-3 seasons.
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Rick Tocchet Experience..the Playoffs Are Here
copernicus replied to serge's topic in Sports- Hockey
Philly to win is a much better bet than the over (if its still at +180 to win). Do you really think Pitt wins this game 2 out of 3 times? -
And he has to bleed before he gets a call.
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It may happen sooner than you think.
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Rick Tocchet Experience..the Playoffs Are Here
copernicus replied to serge's topic in Sports- Hockey
I doubt we'll get consensus on either of these but: I love Phi at +180. The series was an inch away from being 2-2 at this point, and Philly isn't rolling over. Those odds are too good to pass up.I like Car at +130 almost as much. Carolina can get Brodeur off his game pretty easily...he doesn't get over things like the last game as easily as he pretends to, and if he's roughed up a little he will lose focus. -
Rick Tocchet Experience..the Playoffs Are Here
copernicus replied to serge's topic in Sports- Hockey
your dress is nice. Great wig too. How are the injections going? -
Rick Tocchet Experience..the Playoffs Are Here
copernicus replied to serge's topic in Sports- Hockey
Offsetting that was a statement from the league (Colin Campbell maybe?) that the refs need to let the players determine the outcome of games. They flashed it on the screen during the Ranger/Caps game, dont remember the exact wording. btw I agree that the after whistle activity has gotten out of hand, I just dont think it will lead to signficantly more penalties. The players will adjust to that except in flagrant runs on the goalie or Avery getting cross checked from behind! -
Rick Tocchet Experience..the Playoffs Are Here
copernicus replied to serge's topic in Sports- Hockey
I'll join the haters on Montreal winning. Price is toast right now, and until he proves he can win a playoff game they are much bigger dogs than that.All of the O/Us have moved to 5.5 although the overs are getting +120. On the Rangers, as I said before, if any game is going over its this one. Rangers could be a little overconfident going back to the Garden and Lundqvist let in 2-3. Still, until he's shown to be beatable I dont think its worth a bet.Both Chi/Calgary games have been 5 goals. They are moving back to Calgary which means that the first 10 minutes are likely to be hard hitting and -
Rick Tocchet Experience..the Playoffs Are Here
copernicus replied to serge's topic in Sports- Hockey
3 5 goal games today, lol. Ive been assuming all along that a tie with the line is no bet..you dont pay the vig?