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Posts posted by AKProdigy

  1. raising 25% of your stack and folding is pretty bad... if i were the BB and u opened to 3k i would shove a wide range because we are on the bubble and i think i can get u to fold a lot. open shoving > folding > raise/folding
    The point is: the majority of hands their reraising you with have you dominated. I'm going to assume any hands they reraise here with, they would call with. So instead of bubbling, you lose 3000. Obviously most of the time, I'm assuming I take the pot down uncontested, making the raise to 3000 still an +EV play.
  2. i think you might have one more fold in you if you raise something like 3k and get moved in on. the other option is smooth calling the button and using your position after the flop. A lot of people are very suspicious of the smooth call and min raise on the bubble...because you are inviting action and you wouldn't be inviting action unless you had a big hand would you ? :club: its not something i do often but its a play you can use to get chips and bail from with more of your stack intact if something goes wrong.
    That pretty much sums up my thoughts on playing this after I played it lol. Just curious if anyone advocates folding here?
  3. PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t1200 (7 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FCP)MP1 (t9138)MP2 (t17851)CO (t10165)Hero (t12069)SB (t13621)BB (t14656)UTG (t16746)Preflop: Hero is Button with A :D , 3 :club: . 4 folds, Hero ?SB and BB are both TAG. I believe I was 11th out of 20 at this point, with about 11 - 12 people left in the tourney at or about my stack level. 18 Pay, real money is top 3 though.

  4. Preflop: If this is a turbo, I probably shovel here. Otherwise... its tough. I might actually just flat call to avoid committing myself to the pot. As for postflop.. ugh. It depends a lot on what range I'd put villain on. This is either a shovel or c/f for me.

  5. Just wondering what you guys feel is an acceptable bubble:ITM ratio for both the 9 man's and 18 man's. I just feel like I've been bubbling the 18 mans too much lately, even though my ratio is still above 4:1 (the end-game average). Any PT stats would be appreciated, thanks in advance.

  6. I'd probably shove here as well. As played, I call here as well. He could be shoving with anything, although some of those outs your counting (Q's and A's) might not be clean since he might have a pair with an A or Q kicker. It balances out though with the likelyhood this is complete air.

  7. I check to a passive player to see if he has anything before I make a move at the pot. Then when he bets you can shove and he's obligated to call w/ anything but complete air (which passive players don't bet with). But I think the shove is ok, too. He's calling w/ any K, maybe a T as well.
    I think its an autopush. Why would you check to a calling station? The blinds are so high compared to the stacks, you just want to get it in there immediately with the best hand, especially if he's prone to calling.I'm assuming that he hit his flush on the turn or river?
  8. I flat call at that price. The only hands your REALLY worry about from the PFR are QQ, JJ, and AcKc. The second one could also be drawing, but its just as likely that he hit a jack and is slowplaying trips.. we're really only worried about a made full house or the three hands that dominate us: AcKc, KcJc, KcTc. I think its less likely that AcXc is in here.. but I guess its possible since the button has position and had the price preflop. IMO, your hand is live against a majority of both of their ranges to not advocate calling. I think pushing is likely to get called, so might as well peel off a turn and see if you improve.

  9. I think the play in the 1.75's are being kind of underestimated here lol. Agreed, the play is much looser than the higher-stake sng's, and yes, as a result the preflop raise should have been more. I think that sometimes we overestimate the other players' willing to play hands like ace-rag etc. There are quite a few donks, yes, but there's also considerably quite a few tight players. I think our REAL advantage in these turbo sng's are our ability to compensate for the increasing blind levels in late-game play, and using the principles of ICM. I'm not saying that the play isn't fairly bad, I'm just saying it's not as horrible as we tend to make it sound. Some people overplay their draws, some people (usually the same as the first group) play too loose preflop, but its not like everyone at the table is a complete donkey.As for the actual hand, 890 to call with 2210 in the pot. True, it could be a set. But I honestly think we're at least 40 - 50% here with this kind of board to advocate calling.

    If you dont discount the other players' ability because of the stakes level its an easy fold. 5 players seeing a coordinated flop youre either behind to a set or made stra8, or up against an 8 to 10 out draw that you give the proper odds to by calling.
    As for the bolded statement, I disagree with that thinking. All that matter is whether we are getting the correct odds. If we call, we might give the draw odds, but we're calling because we're 1 to 2 against the straight draw, and we're drawing equity from the third player in the pot.Side note: Some people advocate having a better than pot-odd advantage when making decisions like these where you're definitely better than the field, but I feel like getting a stack is so advantageous since it prevents us from being forced into push-fold poker, that I'll take even-pot-odd situations in a sng where I'm a favourite overall in order to maximize my chances to play when it gets down to 9.
  10. how to donk 101PokerStars Game #12361228081: Tournament #61826019, $10+$1 Hold'em No Limit - Level V (75/150) - 2007/09/30 - 16:16:52 (ET)Table '61826019 823' 9-max Seat #2 is the buttonSeat 1: tsalagi (3195 in chips) Seat 2: mainzelmaus (8805 in chips) Seat 3: jimboftw5 (4935 in chips) Seat 4: raise-fifty (4850 in chips) Seat 5: Achilles26 (5100 in chips) Seat 6: hector187 (2050 in chips) Seat 7: Tonic13 (3310 in chips) Seat 8: morsio (2665 in chips) is sitting outSeat 9: rakenkjake (2375 in chips) is sitting outjimboftw5: posts small blind 75raise-fifty: posts big blind 150*** HOLE CARDS ***Dealt to raise-fifty [2s Ts]Achilles26: folds hector187: folds Tonic13: folds morsio: folds rakenkjake: folds tsalagi: raises 300 to 450mainzelmaus: folds jimboftw5: folds raise-fifty: raises 800 to 1250tsalagi: calls 800*** FLOP *** [Js 7h Ah]raise-fifty: bets 3600 and is all-intsalagi: calls 1945 and is all-in*** TURN *** [Js 7h Ah] [4s]*** RIVER *** [Js 7h Ah 4s] [As]*** SHOW DOWN ***raise-fifty: shows [2s Ts] (a flush, Ace high)tsalagi: shows [9d Ad] (three of a kind, Aces)raise-fifty collected 6465 from pot*** SUMMARY ***Total pot 6465 | Rake 0 Board [Js 7h Ah 4s As]Seat 1: tsalagi showed [9d Ad] and lost with three of a kind, AcesSeat 2: mainzelmaus (button) folded before Flop (didn't bet)Seat 3: jimboftw5 (small blind) folded before FlopSeat 4: raise-fifty (big blind) showed [2s Ts] and won (6465) with a flush, Ace highSeat 5: Achilles26 folded before Flop (didn't bet)Seat 6: hector187 folded before Flop (didn't bet)Seat 7: Tonic13 folded before Flop (didn't bet)Seat 8: morsio folded before Flop (didn't bet)Seat 9: rakenkjake folded before Flop (didn't bet)
    thats pretty sick. i wouldn't have the courage to post that lol.
  11. if i was on the other side of this id have been so so pissed bc I played it like a donkPokerStars Game #12360816571: Tournament #61826019, $10+$1 Hold'em No Limit - Level III (25/50) - 2007/09/30 - 15:55:06 (ET)Table '61826019 1624' 9-max Seat #3 is the buttonSeat 1: LADEEKAY (3150 in chips) Seat 2: Lnino79 (2780 in chips) Seat 3: rip32raptors (2585 in chips) Seat 4: cruzman3 (8330 in chips) Seat 5: LivnTooLarge (2915 in chips) Seat 6: eYank (2340 in chips) Seat 7: Ventura_RJ (3000 in chips) Seat 8: AnnieFanny (2685 in chips) Seat 9: Z1Framer (2535 in chips) cruzman3: posts small blind 25LivnTooLarge: posts big blind 50*** HOLE CARDS ***Dealt to eYank [6c 6h]eYank: raises 100 to 150Ventura_RJ: folds AnnieFanny: raises 100 to 250Z1Framer: folds LADEEKAY: folds Lnino79: folds rip32raptors: folds cruzman3: calls 225LivnTooLarge: folds eYank: calls 100*** FLOP *** [6s Qd 9h]cruzman3: checks eYank: checks AnnieFanny: bets 350cruzman3: calls 350eYank: raises 1740 to 2090 and is all-inAnnieFanny: calls 1740cruzman3: folds *** TURN *** [6s Qd 9h] [Kc]Z1Framer said, "nh"*** RIVER *** [6s Qd 9h Kc] [2c]*** SHOW DOWN ***eYank: shows [6c 6h] (three of a kind, Sixes)AnnieFanny: shows [Ah Ac] (a pair of Aces)eYank collected 5330 from pot*** SUMMARY ***Total pot 5330 | Rake 0 Board [6s Qd 9h Kc 2c]Seat 1: LADEEKAY folded before Flop (didn't bet)Seat 2: Lnino79 folded before Flop (didn't bet)Seat 3: rip32raptors (button) folded before Flop (didn't bet)Seat 4: cruzman3 (small blind) folded on the FlopSeat 5: LivnTooLarge (big blind) folded before FlopSeat 6: eYank showed [6c 6h] and won (5330) with three of a kind, SixesSeat 7: Ventura_RJ folded before Flop (didn't bet)Seat 8: AnnieFanny showed [Ah Ac] and lost with a pair of AcesSeat 9: Z1Framer folded before Flop (didn't bet)
    She minreraised you preflop... her own fault.
  12. PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t600 (6 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FCP)MP (t2390)CO (t4060)Button (t2490)SB (t4605)Hero (t7585)UTG (t5870)Preflop: Hero is BB with A :club: , 9 :D . 4 folds, SB raises to t4605, Hero ?Top 4 get paid: standard 40 30 20 10. No reads at this point other than I don't recall him being too involved in any pots at this pot (about ~12 hands into final table). What range do you put villain on here?

  13. This early (first hand of a 5 table SNG), you can disregard ICM since +EV is close enough to +cEV. That being said... preflop play is so loose on the first hand of these things.. I definitely advocate going all in here and hoping you get callers. Hands like A 4 are willing to go all in preflop.. but will fold post flop if they don't hit. Get it in here and get a stack to work with. (This is only for the 1 dollar, 3 dollar ones... complete nonsense for anything with decent players).

  14. No reads.PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t30 (9 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FCP)SB (t1360)BB (t1470)UTG (t1410)UTG+1 (t1785)MP1 (t1660)MP2 (t1600)MP3 (t2215)CO (t595)Hero (t1405)Preflop: Hero is Button with T :D , K :D . 3 folds, MP2 calls t30, MP3 calls t30, CO calls t30, Hero calls t30, SB completes, BB checks.Flop: (t180) 9 :club: , T :D , 2 :)(6 players)SB bets t30, BB folds, MP2 calls t30, MP3 calls t30, CO calls t30, Hero raises to t240, SB folds, MP2 folds, MP3 calls t210, CO calls t210.Turn: (t960) A :D(3 players)MP3 checks, CO checks, Hero checks?

  15. A8 cc 55%aa 45%vs. other pairs it's even better.call it up.
    Ignores ICM.Assuming 40,30,20,10 payout....Fold:0.27290.2258 (You)0.29220.18140.0278Call and Win:0.28340.3214 (You)0.16390.19670.0347Call and Lose:0 (You)Percentage favourite you need to be vs. his range:Fold: 0.2258Win: 0.2258/0.3214 = 70.26%I think your maybe 60 - 65% at best. Fold.
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