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Posts posted by AKProdigy

  1. I would have probably reraised preflop unless you have a decent read on the UTG raiser. The fact that his range is so big on the flop really makes it awkward postflop. On the turn as played, I call, and then probably call a river bet. If checked to, I might value bet it just because I don't believe a hand that beats you (other than MAYBE AA/KK, and even then that's a huge maybe) would check to you on the river.

  2. Yeah their fairly good. The key to them is just playing to make it past the bubble when you get to a certain point instead of continuing to take risks. That's the problem most people have in those things, and WHY they're so lucrative. I find that any of the micro-limit rebuy satellites are fairly soft. The $5+R to the daily hundred grands come with a $162 reward, and the $3+r into the million comes with a $215 reward. The amount of people that get in versus. the total field ratio is smaller than the sunday hundred grands sats tho, so you need somewhat of a bankroll to absorb the variance.

  3. If an ace comes out, I check/fold. Otherwise I'm leading out most flops and playing accordingly. I think you're really undervaluing TT here if your strictly playing it for set value.

    Depends on the texture of the flop, but I'm probably playing for set value. The fact that this guy has been limping and playing weakly, and now comes out firing with a raise to 4BB, tells me he's probably holding a strong hand (probably QQ-AA, AK, AKs, maybe JJ and AQs).In hindsight, I may just throw this away PF. You don't have position postflop, which means you can't respond to his reaction to the flop, and I don't like the idea of throwing out another 200-300 chips on the flop to test his hand. If we can put him on the range above, calling a 4BB raise OOP with TT is just asking for trouble (and so is pushing PF).
    I put him on a range much bigger than that.
  4. Good points, although a delay that goes into the bank I'd be more likely to credit to a bad connection than a delay that doesn't. But you're right, there are lots of reasons for delays that have nothing to do with a player's depth of thought. I caused several delays myself tonight when I had to tuck my 5-year old back into bed for the hundredth time...
    Kind of off topic, but I tend to delay calls/raises with AA/KK at times just to encourage callers who think I'm weak since I took a bit of time. It's a wonder how much this works.
  5. I flat call. 20 hands isn't a large enough sample to determine that the villain's range is strong enough to fold here. That being said, raising is pretty much committing yourself to a push, and he's only calling with hands that either beat you, or a coinflip at best.

  6. Out of position against a raise and re-raise, best case scenario its a coin flip. Easy fold here in my opinion. Although AK is a strong hand especially suited, in this situation you dont want to risk your tourney this early by pushing all in and being called with KK or AA and being completely dominated. I would say the MP1 has a medium strength A like AT or AJ, and the button as at least a pr of 9's or higher. I fold. If i had position i would call and see a flop.
    You can't "guess" at the holding of MP... imo his range is fairly wide here. It's more of a question of what range we put the button on. But I agree, being oop here is a disadvantage. As for the other responses, I was considering shoving as a first inclination (AQ, AJ, even AT are horribly overplayed in these). But realistically... the button's range has to be fairly tight. And a shove is realistically only being called by a range of hands which we are an underdog to (I believe so anyways). Considering this, I believe this is a call or fold right here. Position is definitely a consideration, but I believe it's not as much of a disability with a hand like AKs... especially with heavy preflop action. If I make a decision to go in with this hand, I'm likely getting it in if I hit, and getting out if I miss. The postflop play will pretty much play itself.Any thoughts on any of this would be appreciated.
  7. I know its mid-october, but figured I'd get this in writing somewhere.1) Play 150 additional SNG's by end of month ($6.50 /18 Turbos on Stars)2) Get bankroll upto 1k ($250 profit off of $975 invested... ~25% ROI, running at about 50% through today..common sense says this is a good run, but just thinking back on hands... I think the SNG's are just that soft?)3) Move up from 6-tabling to 8-tabling.I don't really get much time to play poker since I'm always either in school or working fulltime. It's initially why I started playing cash games for a bit trying out 10NL.. and while I was fairly successful I felt that it became more of a task rather than a hobby and went back to SNG's. That small stint into cash games really helped out my SNG game though, probably because I was playing 6-max 4 tables, which improved my shorthanded play and as a result, my SNG end-game. So nowadays, whenever I have an hour of time where I'm sitting on my computer, I'll just fire up 6 tables right after another, and play what I call a mini-session of poker. Right now its been more of a hobby than anything.. but it would be nice to start making some decent cash for living expenses on the side once I get a decent bankroll. I spend quite a bit of time studying the game and reading strategy when I'm just on my computer talking on MSN, etc., and even though I play the low limits, I feel like I have a fairly genuine understanding of the game.Seems like this was mentioned earlier in this thread: for those who are building a bankroll off the $6 SNG's... is there really much difference to the softness of the games between the /9's, /18's, /45's? And once you move up to the next level (the $12, $16)... is there that much of an increase in skill level?

  8. You rang, sir?TT, AA: 2 * 3 = 6 handsJJ-KK: 3 * 6 = 18 handsAQ, AK: 2 * 12 = 24 handsTotal: 48 handsTotal possible hands: 50*49/2 = 1225Chance of one player having one of these hands: 48/1225 = rougly 3,9%Chance of at least one of three players having such a hand: 1-(1-0,039)^3 = approximately 11,3%(5AM warning: I may not be as sharp as I think, so feel free to check my numbers :club: )
    Math looks good (well slightly higher if you discount 1 possible hand from each subsequent person, but that's just being picky lol), didn't think it would be that high. Nice to know for the future, never actually tried working out these numbers myself.I flat call here. Your way ahead of his range. I think that 1400 is still a large enough amount that the people behind you would not get involved in this hand considering your action without a hand, a large portion of which dominates your AT. I don't think an isolation play here really does much other than trap your still fairly sizable stack against a possible monster. If you had ~3000 behind you, I'd isolate, but here I just flat call.
  9. What I sometimes do when variance gets the best of me is just firing up a 1 dollar sit n go and blowing off steam, or just getting off the computer for a while and coming back when I'm less pissed. Which hasn't been much lately, I just accept that Stars likes to rape me in the ass for stretches that seem overly cruel, and continue to play until my 60 40s and 70 30s hold up.

  10. Agreed. I'm saying from a sorely cEV point of view, if I'm shoved against, I'd need to be about 40% to call against his range, which I figure I wouldn't be if he does shove. It's basically just a back door in case I'm up against a strong hand in the blinds. I'm risking 25% of my stack in order to add about 15% on to my stack, which I assume will happen most of the time. The odd time I'm shoved against, I'll let go of the hand because I'd figure I'd be way behind. Overall its a +EV play, and I THINK moreso than just shoving and hoping for the best. I'm assuming both plays are +EV, just the raise to 3000 and fold to a shove might be slightly moreso. I'd appreciate thoughts on this thinking though.

  11. I was under the impression that bubbling is the worst possible thing you could do, and in my experience that seems to be supported by ICM. I'll need to go over some stats to be sure, but I think that I do tend to get more of my share of 1sts and 2nds when im in the cash, but I think that was always my ability to play push or fold poker when im ITM. Most of the material I've read though seems to reflect a priority of:1) Cash first2) Go for the winAny arguments for or against this would be appreciated. Thanks for the responses so far.

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