Jump to content

kkot

Members
  • Content Count

    1,368
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Posts posted by kkot

  1. Just giving the math. I'm quite nitty when it comes to the SB and rarely complete. Although in this spot with such a deep stack, suited cards and a couple limpers I would consider it. Then kick myself when the BB raises and I have just wasted 25 chips.
    I completely misread the hand history and thought it was offsuit. Completing here is definitely fine the first time it gets to us.
  2. We might have that equity if we get to showdown, but that includes a ton of one pair hands that we'd have to play oop...too many times we will never see that equity b/c we can't make it to a SD.There is nothing wrong with never getting yourself into trouble playing shitty hands from the blinds.
    This. Hot/cold Equity isn't totally useful here because we don't get to auto-showdown. Even if we gin the flop like this, it's going to be hard to get max value for our hands because we're OOP. And as SwolyswoND said, our 1 pair hands are going to be a nightmare to play. These are all reasons why I don't like completing. Calling the raise is really really bad.
  3. I'm so confused.Yes, first off, this is like the world's easiest fold PF. KJo is the nut-low against a 3bet, absent a read. Think about what you listed his range as, and then figure out your equity against that range holding KJo, then also remember you will be OOP. It's not pretty.As played to the flop, how on God's green Earth are you considering a c/f? What more did you want to see when you called PF? I'm sorry you didnt hit KJJ, but good lord man...I don't understand how you intended to c/f but then decided to c/RAI because he bet. How were you planning to c/f without him betting? And why did you want him to fold if he had QQ or a draw? Why did you want him to fold ANYTHING here? You're behind exactly TWO combinations of hands here. Just remember that. 2 combos out of 2500 or so.
    I completely agree with all of this.I could argue for an open fold preflop, but I think opening it is fine. Calling the 3bet is really bad. I like a 4bet way more than a call.
  4. 1) As pointed out above, 26% is too wide here anyway, but even if it's true, 2) the call might be +cEV (I haven't done the ranges but I can't even imagine how this is true - what are you even ahead of besides like K9-KJ and Q9-QJ? Those can't be a big part of his range, KQ/KJ maybe. Against A2-A5 you will most likely chop anyway) but it's definitely not +$EV. You're on the bubble and the 2nd lowest stack, if you call this and lose you're basically out. I give UTG shovers far more credit in shove/fold situations, even when they are the shortest stack.
    1) How wide do you shove here? If we assume he is a total nit, it's a snap fold. But if UTG has any clue we have to call this. It depends on the table, but I would typically shoving a lot wider than 26% here as this is our last shot at any fold equity. 2) The call is definitely +cEV, assuming a competent villain. It's also +$EV at 26%.a6o.jpg
  5. We are 5 handed. Top four pay. He open shoves under the gun. I'm in the big blind. Since he's the short stack, I'm putting him on a pretty large range.
    What range do we think he is pushing 4bb from UTG?I think it has to be pretty wide.If he pushes at least 26% it makes this a +EV call. I think this is a pretty easy call if he is pushing even reasonably wide.
  6. well truth be told i am getting quite suprised at the amount of people that will do this with JJ and worse in these tourneys, this whole power winning poker poker craze is messing with my calling requirements
    FYPBeing too aggressive usually isn't as bad as being too weak tight. Try posting some more marginal situations. If you're playing too weak tight, post a few random spots where you think you could resteal, but maybe you think it's too risky.
  7. Raise pre - I'd make it like 400 or so.As played to the flop, raise when you get your first chance to act. As played the 2nd time around, snap call. Your hand is very under-repped and you have fantastic equity in this pot.
    This.Seriously, what is your question? We can't hope for a better flop than this. We have a hand that will play great against any number of players with any range of hands. Just get the money in and fire up another if you lose.
  8. just started playing SnGs on Full Tilt a bit more. I've had decent success in the past and I figure they are easy enough money to add them in now that I'm trying to play more seriously. anyway...FT has $10+$1 normal SnGs and $11+$1 turbos. obviously, the $12 should have more value, as the rake is the same but the prize pool is bigger. so my question is do you guys think turbos have about the same ROI expectation as normal SnGs? so far the things i've seen are that of course, we go into push/fold mode earlier but that also means there's almost 0 room for raise/folding in later stages (say on pure steals or something). there's not too much of this in a normal SnG anyway, so maybe that's a bit negligible. the biggest difference I've really seen is that once is gets to 3 handed and esp. heads up there's very little room for play, which i feel is one of my strong points in SnGs: outplaying my opponents short handed. I still feel my push/fold game is better than most at this level so I still have an edge, but not as great. so anyway, i get variance will be higher, but b/c of the speed i should be able to play maybe twice a many, does that even out our ROI?
    It won't do anything to your ROI, but it will add to your hourly, which is what we actually care about anyways.
    My ROI is much higher in 10+1 or 20+2s. than it is in 11+1 or 22+2s. I think it's b/c if you play a TAG style like I do, you're more likely to get blinded down faster in the turbos before you can accumulate any chips, and might have to make a move before you'd like to. LAGs would probably find the turbos better situated to their play style.
    I just don't like this first sentence. We make moves because based on calling ranges of our opponents and the equity from our hand against that range and fold equity we decide that these moves will make us money. Making moves because we would like to doesn't seem mathematically sound.-----------------------------------------Other things to consider about turbos vs regulars would be that most of the better players play the turbos. This is to maximize games per hour, which maximizes their hourly. Personally, I can't stand that the regulars take over an hour, so I only play turbos and super turbos.
  9. Even so, I think folding is terrible in that situation. Your primary goal in a SNG is cashing, to be sure. But once you've cracked the bubble, you immediately play for 1st place, not to move up money spots. (This differs from a MTT where you don't play to cash first.) Since the players were already in the money of this 18 man SNG, folding AA there is god-awful. If she calls she is a favorite to quadruple up and take 1st place most likely.
    Now necessarily. We play to win the most money, not for the most 1sts. Sometimes situations come up where you fold +cEV spots ITM because they are -$EV. In 18 man SNGs the bubble from 5 to 4 is the same as the bubble from 4 to 3, 3 to 2, and 2 to 1. This should make all of these 'bubbles' more similar than in an STT.
  10. 3 handed i'm not laying down KTs unless button raises and SB 3bets. button's range is pretty wide, and SB probably knows this and so his range is pretty wide, too. in fact, if SB had anything decent, he probably reraises. actually, i can make a good case for BB shoving preflop.
    That was my immediate reaction. I think a shove is really good here with KTs. Actually, I'm shoving quite a bit wider if I am the BB.
  11. How are you getting 4:1?There's 1710 in the pot, and you have to call 810. That's a bit better than 2:1. You're 3:1 to make your flush. Fold.
    Our overs are never clean?We never have the best hand here?Sure, it's a fold if we know he has a 5 or boat. Without a read though, his range has to be much wider.
  12. I raise a little more preflop and cbet a little more.But with that flop I don't see how we aren't shipping it every time. We can't bet/fold with so much equity in the pot and such a low stack to pot ratio.

  13. the final 4 or 5 of any low stake sng always includes that one shovetard who is spew raising/shoving and running hot.
    Sometimes raising nearly every hand is correct on the bubble in an STT.
    good players don't run hot[/b]
    This is just wrong.
    stick to your game and work on your own style/plug your own leaks.
    Paying attention to other players and their leaks is still very important.
×
×
  • Create New...