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Random Fluke

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Posts posted by Random Fluke

  1. predictions are kind of fun, I was further off than I suspected on round one, see how we do for round 2::) Chris Moneymaker Mimi Tran *Chris Ferguson *Gus Hansen Mike Sexton Erick Lindgren * Sammy Farha *Hasan Habib :D Barry Greenstein *Billy Baxter John Juanda *Amir Vahedi TJ Cloutier *Mike Caro John Hennigan *Henry Orenstein :) Lyle Berman Jennifer Harman* Evelyn Ng Carlos Mortenson *Greg Raymer Huck Seed *Paul Phillips *(would love to watch this match. If Paul loses he will probably punch himself in the face repeatedly until he loses conciousness)Phil Hellmuth :) Josh Arieh *Ted Forrest Daniel Negreanu *Antonio Esfandiari David SklanskyJohnny Chan *Scott Fischman * Dennis WagnerEveryone must be breathing a sigh of relief that Ivey got knocked out by Sklansky. One of the strongest replaced with one of the (relatively)weaker

  2. Most pros would probably tell you that Ivey is the best player in the world. Sklansky is the epitome of aby the books player, and as such it makes him a little more predictable to the greatest players.That said, Sklansky is a smart guy, I dont think it will be anywhere close to 2:1 for Ivey to win in a heads up match. Sklansky will have prepared for Ivey's style. I expect Ivey to win, but wouldn't be surprised to see Sklansky win. In heads up poker anyone can win. I wouldn't be surprised to see James Woods beat Chan, though he is prob the biggest underdog of the day.

  3. Guess I'll give my predictions, looks like fun. Given, I understand that my 3 year old niece would have a decent chance of beating anyone on the field simply by pushing on every hand.My four favourites to win:Phil Ivey, Daniel, Prahlad, Howard :) Eli ElezraChris MoneymakerMy bet is on EliTom McEvoyMimi TranGoing with Mimi hereCindy VioletteChris FergusonChrisGus HansenCurtis BibbsGusYosh NakanoMike SextonNot really familiar with these two's play, but I'll say YoshTodd BrunsonErick LindgrenErickPrahlad FriedmanSammy FarhaPrahlad :D Barry GreensteinLee SalemGreensteinDoyle BrunsonBilly BaxterThe man, the myth, the legend Doyle ;)John JuandaChau GiangJohnAmir VahediJohn MyungAmirNick FrangosTJ CloutierTJScotty NguyenMike CaroScottyJohn HenniganLayne FlackFlackChip Reese Henry OrensteinReese :) Lyle BermanFreddie DeebDon't really know these two, I'll go with LyleDavid GreyJennifer HarmanMs HarmanBobby BaldwinEvelyn NgBobbyDavid WilliamsCarlos Mortensonerg, too close to call. Guess I'll go with CarlosGreg RaymerKathy LiebertLiebertDavid PhamHuck SeedPhamDewey TomkoPaul PhillipsTomkoPhil HellmuthMen NguyenNguyen :) Josh AriehReneJoshTed ForrestJohn CernuttoJohnJerry BussDaniel NegreanuOf course DanielHoward LedererAntonio EsfandiariHowardPhil IveyDavid SklanskyWould love to see this matchup, Ivey ftwJames Woods Johnny ChanOh man, cake walk for ChanScott FischmanAnnie DukeDukeDennis WagnerErik SeidelSeidel

  4. I would make that call at any point in any tournament, and for all my chips.  The only way I could fold that hand on that flop is if I'm more than 50% sure that my opponent has a set, and the action didn't indicate that at all.  I think you played this hand very well postflop.  I wouldn't have called preflop but it's not necessarilly a bad call either.
    Well, I disagree with this. Most of the time I would call this too, but to go so far as to say you would always call here at any point in a tournament seems silly to me. When he went all in here he had a relatively small amount in the pot. Now if he were second in chips with 20 people left out of 1000 who entered a tournament, and the person who was putting him all in was the only person who had him covered, I think he'd be a fool to call this on a coin flip. In that particular situation you want to look for a better spot to get your money in. Now if it were someone he had easily covered in chips he would of course call. Anyway, just my opinion.
  5. full tilt is probably the worst bonus out there.Fastest to clear is probably party poker.I recently did freecasinogear.com's offer for a poker chip set if you play 250 raked hands on pacific poker. took me 2-3 hours to clear it, but I havent received my gift yet so I dont know if it is legit. I hear it isn't a scam but I'll let you know for sure whe(if) my poker set arrives. Seemed really really easy to clear 250 raked hands at the low stakes NL game.I'll say this about full tilt though, you get to see a lot of pros play and they even play in some of the low limit games. Got to play some hands with lederer and clonie gowens. And I watched Clonie Gowens one night when she must have been really bored play 5 heads up $50 sit n goes in a row. I watched them all as she destroyed all challengers and felt like I learned a lot about heads up play from that.

  6. Heh, I posted this like 5 minutes after I lost the hand. The tourney had been going close to 3 hours. I'm fairly new to poker and I've been doing great in sit n goes with 9 and 18 players so I started trying big tournies lately. My problem, which is what got me here, is after it gets to around 3 hours I start to burn out and lose my discipline. I was very happy with my play up until this hand. I did indeed check the flop, thinking I had the chip leader right where I wanted him. I knew he would bet, and sure enough he bet 3XBB 1800. I reraised to 3600 and expected him to fold. When he reraised to 7200 I should have folded. I had folded in situations like this throughout the tourney when I was playing a player who's play I respected and who had me covered. But here my discipline cracked and I decided he was making a move on me with mid-pair. I got greedy. I should have straight up bet the flop with the chip leader, when he reraised I could have gotten away from it easier. Thanks for the input all. Oh almost forgot, he had QTo.

  7. When I make a flush on the flop with two people behind me I usually check. I am hoping someone with 1 spade in their hand is going to make a semi-bluff at it and commit themself to the pot. I will then gladly go all in. At that point if he has the nut flush draw he is drawing to 7 outs giving him roughly a 28% chance to hit his flush and beat you. You will lose doing this sometimes, and when you do it sucks, but imo it is an effective move. This works best versus agressive opponents, but I find, at the limits I play (smaller than yours) it is effective.

  8. Hi all, was hoping to get some feedback on what you would have done in this situation.Some background:It is late tournament, and everyone left has just hit the money. I am second in chips at this table with 22000, the chip leader has 25000 and everyone else has between 2000 and 12000. I am small blind, chip leader is big blind. Everyone folds to me and I limp with Q8o. Against another player in this situation I would probably raise, but I've been playing the chip leader for a while now and we both prefer to see cheap flops, I am confident he won't raise me unless he has a big hand. He checks and we see the flop: Q 2 7. The chip leader is a solid agressive player who's play I respect. My notes say 'when you have the goods, check it to him. He will raise.' Seeing this flop, and knowing since he is the BB he has a random 2 cards, I feel confident I have the best hand. Would you feel confident in this spot? Curious to know how you all would play this one, thanks

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