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Autologic

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Posts posted by Autologic

  1. 96 User(s) are reading this topic (47 Guests and 1 Anonymous Users)48 Members: rjohnny4321, revhq2646, Oneeydjaq, lilchefed, fiberpimp, BlinkersOn, Dylan777, Room812, NoxKo, ClownfishX, champsox, meservery, DrLongstack, wilheldp, chester97, 69suited, kpj222, DanielSon, Djarraway, Achamps, zatopek, BLsmoothy, chrozzo, rp_Froggy, XXEddie, Governator, Naked_Cowboy, allin1090, smirnoff, socalpoker_j, dlingdling, dfmaicher, FCP Info, skribe, TWW909, FARGOpokerND, blazerp0410, Gods Balls, Bluechip19, crowTrobot, Freshwaterau, Waffles2003, ScottK2001, DudeSurprise, ryan2323, bluff2much, GolferDan, kennyg1966Lot's of work getting done today I see.....
    Its Friday, a hour before a long weekend... what do you expect?
  2. So far DN has made me $150, and the DN hater who I was betting against wont take anymore bets.DN you only needed 150K by day 2 (for me to win the bet), nice job man you have gone way past my expectations. :club:

  3. Both of those are sucker bets at even odds. You needed at least 6:1 on Danny Boy having 50K+ to make it a sane bet, and probably 5:2 or so if you're betting on him having 180K+ by the end of day 2. Don't get me wrong - I'm a huge believer in DN's skills - there are just too many ways to lose a bet like that. Looking at yesterday's bet for instance. Only one person in five will ever have a stack over 50K, but that's by the end of the tournament. Many of the people, say 60%, will not reach that pinnacle by the end of day one, and of those who do, almost 50% will drop below 50K by the end of the day. This makes the odds of a random player having 50K+ by the end of the day at about 24:1 against. Edit: Actual results from Day 1a and 1b show it to 26:1 against No doubt, Daniel is much better than a random player, so you can maybe double, or very generously triple his odds to set the line at 8:1 against; They are still nowhere near even. A better bet you could make tomorrow would be that Daniel will reach 180K in chips at some point in time before he goes broke. This would be about 11:10 for a random player with his chip stack, but is probably 3:4 for Negreanu. If you insist on putting a time constraint on it, you should really ask for 2:1 odds or better. But if you do make this bet, I'll be rooting for you to win. Go DN!
    Well if you must know, I got 4:1 odds on the first bet.... so I would have only lost $25 bucks. My friend is a real DN hater for some reason, but I always have supported Daniel (Even though he now lives in Vegas, he still represents the T-Dot and Canada so he deserves our repect imo).We just agreeded on the final bet... $50 bucks, 2:1 odds. DN must finish 150k+ by Day 2. (I might be getting screwed over a bit, but I dont care)Go DN go!!!
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