KK,TT: 6/33(0.182*70k-0.818*30k) = -2.15kQQ,JJ: 12/33(0.75*40k+0.25(0.307*70k-0.693*30k)) = +10.97kAA,AK: 15/33(0.25*70-0.75*30) = -2.27kTotal EV = +6.55Even if I lower my opponent's folding chance with QQ/JJ to 50%, I still get an EV of +2.98k. So he would need to call more often than fold to my push with QQ/JJ to make it a -EV play, which I do not think is realistic.Is my analysis of this hand correct? If I should have played it differently, can you suggest how? I have been told by most people that I bring this hand up to that they would fold preflop rather than play it for a raise. That is certainly the very tight way to play, but I am more of an aggressive player and I have A7s in my top 15% of hands, although barely, but I think it is very playable in this situation when 8 handed in mid position and the blinds and antes are getting relatively high.
Please Give Your Opinion On This Hand.
Posted 02 April 2012 - 06:57 AM
Posted 02 April 2012 - 10:12 AM
TT: 3/35(0.04*70k-0.96*30k) = -2.23kJJ: 6/35(0.25*40k+0.75(0.242*70k-0.758*30k)) = +0.97kQQ,KK: 12/35(0.242*70k-0.758*30k) = -1.99kAA: 3/35(0.131*70k-0.869*30k) = -1.45kAK: 14/35(40k) = +16kTotal EV = +11.3kI guess that answers it, not that it would have changed the outcome any.
Posted 03 April 2012 - 08:08 AM
My First Poker Blog, please read and help me get better!
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"Those are brave men knocking at the door. Let's go and kill them!" - Tyrion Lannister
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Posted 03 May 2012 - 05:57 AM
I love the game of poker for the competition, the psychology, the never-ending quest to improve, the advanced and sometimes minute complexities not everyone sees when they play, and the enjoyment of succeeding after giving all your energy to reach a goal that may at first seem unattainable but that you find a way to make it possible.
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