If you read DN's updates from yesterday, you'll see the swings can be huge. You have to be lucky.An big pair overpair vs a flush draw, for example, with no semi-bluffing typically costs the loser 2 1/2 big bets. With semi-bluffing it can (and usually does in limit) cost even more.Daniel has 16% of the chips in play, so if skill levels were all equal, he'd have about a 16% chance to win. He's quite confident in limit (that is, he rules), and is probably way better than everyone else, so maybe he has a 33% chance to win. GL Daniel!-Tom