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2-4nl Deep Stack, Nuts On Turn


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Villain is a tight regular. He's playing on a few tables. He seems to know what he's doing, but I don't have much experience.No Limit Holdem Ring gameBlinds: $2/$46 playersConverterStack sizes:UTG: $487.80UTG+1: $237.50CO: $1519.60Hero: $2350.40SB: $196BB: $804Pre-flop: (6 players) Hero is Button with J :) T :) UTG folds, UTG+1 calls, CO raises to $24, Hero calls, 3 folds.Flop: 9 :D A :D 8 :club: ($58, 2 players)CO bets $40, Hero calls.Turn: 7 :D ($138, 2 players)CO checks, Hero bets $120, CO calls.River: 9 :D ($378, 2 players)CO bets $135, Hero...?

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I really want to raise here but if he is a good player he is just going to push on you with a boat and fold if he has an pair sort of hand since the paired board would counterfeit any two pair type of hands you have the straight and 56 for a lower straight is probably not in a tight players opening range.I dunno call me weak sauce but I don't really see value in a raise, if you do raise you have to fold if he pushes, so don't make it to big.

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Villain is a tight regular. He's playing on a few tables. He seems to know what he's doing, but I don't have much experience.No Limit Holdem Ring gameBlinds: $2/$46 playersConverterStack sizes:UTG: $487.80UTG+1: $237.50CO: $1519.60Hero: $2350.40SB: $196BB: $804Pre-flop: (6 players) Hero is Button with J :) T :) UTG folds, UTG+1 calls, CO raises to $24, Hero calls, 3 folds.Flop: 9 :D A :D 8 :club: ($58, 2 players)CO bets $40, Hero calls.Turn: 7 :D ($138, 2 players)CO checks, Hero bets $120, CO calls.River: 9 :D ($378, 2 players)CO bets $135, Hero...?
Blocking bet?Raise to $350. Fold to a reraise.
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blocking raise interesting thought
I meant the villain is apparently making a blocking bet.
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This seems like a weird bet on the river. I think he might have hit a 9 which could possibly be a full house with A 9. Or just have A x, from the raise preflop.I would just call, but I also understand a small reraise. The only problem is with me, I would have a hard time letting it go if he re-raised you back.

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What hands are going to call a raise? Is a naked Ace going to call a reasonable raise? Probably not.Any hand that he is playing that has a 9 has made a full house other than T9.This may be too tight but I'm just calling the river, I can't see too many hands that will pay off a value raise.

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and what is he going to call you with?
With Naismith's maniacal image and the weird betting pattern in this hand, he could get called by T9, by AK/AQ/AJ/AT thinking that the 9 counterfitted something like A8 or A7. I mean, I know he's tight, but Naismith is really loose and if they both had this many buyins on the table, you bet your ass that they were playing for a while together and he knew how crazy he was playing.He basically NEEDS a fullhouse to raise us, and we're both deep, so raising here will likely fold out some hands like AT or something, but the guy might also call with them becuase he thinks Jay's a donk. Our hand is too strong and his bet is too weak not to put in a value raise here. Until someone's shown me that they can make an inducement bet like this one, then I'm not gonig to give him credit for a boat here.
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Why does he check the turn, does he know you well enough as a player to know you are LAG and will bet into him?I don't know, I call and expect 9T/AT
The betting pattern is really weird if he had a made hand on the turn of two pair or a set. Most players bet those hands.
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In reviewing this hand now that I have some distance from it...At the time, when he checked the turn, I thought it was a fairly common line you see with sets/trips where the player leads, gets the call and then checks the turn. When he checked it to me, I certainly didn't discount AA. In retrospect, while I think AA checks the turn here at times, I don't think it ever doesn't check-raise when I bet and I don't think it check-calls turn and leads river.The other thing is, I clearly misread the bet size on the river. I remember thinking he bet half the pot, but his 1/3 bet size seems to be a fairly obvious blocker bet. Agreed?

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his 1/3 bet size seems to be a fairly obvious blocker bet. Agreed?
I'm pretty sure every poster commented on that.I agree with you totally about sets taking that line, but it's almost always to C/R the turn.
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This whole hand looks fairlu standard, and coming from you Nais?I guess i only have one thing left to say (brag post??) :club:
Totally standard as in "standard raise, obviously" or "standard call, obviously"? :D
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Totally standard as in "standard raise, obviously" or "standard call, obviously"? :club:
well.... for the forums sake, its standard raise. If he is scared you're going to be potting the river, and he wants to see a cheap showdown, however most people might opt to c/c most bets instead. so i still raise.
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Yeah, I think I screwed this one up pretty badly.I called and he showed AK. I totally misread his river bet, but there's no way he's leading 1/3 pot with aces full and I doubt he's check-calling the turn with top set. Really stupid mistake on my part.What do we think AK pays off here? Raise to 350?

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Yeah, I think I screwed this one up pretty badly.I called and he showed AK. I totally misread his river bet, but there's no way he's leading 1/3 pot with aces full and I doubt he's check-calling the turn with top set. Really stupid mistake on my part.What do we think AK pays off here? Raise to 350?
Against you, 350 is an instacall. I wouldn't raise more than that though, but you're def getting called there. 450 is pushing it.
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I don't think Jay's online image is the same as his live image, to be honest. He's certainly not a nit, by any means, but I don't think he comes off as an ultra lag. I could be wrong, this is just from talking to him.

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I don't think Jay's online image is the same as his live image, to be honest. He's certainly not a nit, by any means, but I don't think he comes off as an ultra lag. I could be wrong, this is just from talking to him.
Other than a session where I played 61/45 or something like that, I play at an extremely, extremely nitty 31/24 or something ridiculously tight like that.That said, I reraise people so much, I think I get called a little lighter than a lot of people. I can show you a hand where I reraised a guy preflop and he called off over 200 BBs with Q9 on an A9x board.
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