Nuts V. Nit

[trystero 0]

SB's a nit. MP's "solid" but a POW (obv). I thought about raising this turn but I'm pretty sure the nit's got T9 too and I could be freerolled. OK to just play it passively?Full Tilt Pot-Limit Omaha, $0.02 BB (9 handed) - Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.comMP2 ($2)MP3 ($1.86)Hero (CO) ($2)Button ($2)SB ($4.70)BB ($1)UTG ($3.04)UTG+1 ($6.49)MP1 ($7.82)Preflop: Hero is CO with 9 , 10 , 2 , 10 1 fold, UTG+1 calls $0.02, MP1 calls $0.02, 2 folds, Hero calls $0.02, 1 fold, SB calls $0.01, BB checksFlop: ($0.10) A , 8 , 7 (5 players)SB checks, BB checks, UTG+1 checks, MP1 bets $0.10, Hero calls $0.10, SB calls $0.10, BB calls $0.10, 1 foldTurn: ($0.50) 6 (4 players)SB bets $0.20, 1 fold, MP1 calls $0.20, Hero calls $0.20River: ($1.10) 5 (3 players)SB checks, MP1 checks, Hero checks

[looshle 6]

you are too short to worry about being freerolled, id worry more about mp filling up and just get it in.

[trystero 0]

hey man weird to see you in the plo forumyou're a big nlhe tourney winner I thinkhow deep do you have to be to flat call here and not try and get it in?

[looshle 6]

hey man weird to see you in the plo forumyou're a big nlhe tourney winner I thinkhow deep do you have to be to flat call here and not try and get it in?

idk too much about plo but id want more than 3 pots before i worried about getting freerolled.youre only losing to a freeroll like 20% of the time and thats only if he has it. he will have it a good amount of the time if he has T9 since you have 2 tens so theres prob like 40% chance he has dimes as well as if he has QT on top of it.id prob want like 3-3.5 pots before i didnt get it in, but i could be way off base

[dingas 0]

idk too much about plo but id want more than 3 pots before i worried about getting freerolled.youre only losing to a freeroll like 20% of the time and thats only if he has it. he will have it a good amount of the time if he has T9 since you have 2 tens so theres prob like 40% chance he has dimes as well as if he has QT on top of it.id prob want like 3-3.5 pots before i didnt get it in, but i could be way off base

This would be true against one opponent, but here there are two opponents, one of whom probably has the straight with a possible free roll, the other likely has a set - this puts hero's equity somewhere in the 30-40% range. Given op's read that the sb wouldn't lead the turn without the nuts, then the call on the turn is fine. I think possibly you can bet the river here when they check to you. I don't think either of them has a flush, and you may get sb to fold the same straight.

[trystero 0]

yea I thought of a bluff as I can kinda represent a BD flush, and I'd expect nit to fold some % of the time. With two opponents tho, even though I felt MP had a set on the flop, I was worried about one of them backing into a flush....and that's what happened, as SB had QdTd9xX

[dingas 0]

yea I thought of a bluff as I can kinda represent a BD flush, and I'd expect nit to fold some % of the time. With two opponents tho, even though I felt MP had a set on the flop, I was worried about one of them backing into a flush....and that's what happened, as SB had QdTd9xX

Yeah, I had this thought too. If he has T9 there's a 50% chance that he also has the Td, and he's probably checking all non-nut flushes, so betting the river is pretty marginal.

[looshle 6]

can mp really have T9 here? I assumed he almost always has a set/ 2pr/ or FD