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dunkirk

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About dunkirk

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    Poker Forum Newbie

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    Sammamish, Washington
  1. I like the idea it reminds me a little of a horse race with money being paid out for Win, Place and Show. Could this be the name of the game?Win - Place - ShowI think I'll try this at my next home game. Its less goofy than some of the stupid games we play.
  2. I am suggesting that CashGameDonk is proposing that OP collude with him to chop up pot which puts the rest of the players at a disadvantage in this game. I think it is obvious collusion and I'm surprised that others don't agree. I believe that Stars considers it collusion if someone is sitting out in a tourney and a player verbalizes in chat "let's blind this guy out". Splitting up his blinds till he is gone.
  3. It was misclick I meant to hit EDIT don't flame and I'll ship you 50 Skalansky bucks.
  4. Isn't any kind of offer like this (I'll ship back some money to you - don't call etc.) blatant collusion? I've seen this kind of post many times and not understood why it is allowed or even remotely acceptable. Even in a pot that has become heads up there were originally other players in the pot. Say player A limps and player B makes a large raise which player C calls upon which player A folds. Player B and Player C now make any kind of "deal" I say they are colluding and stealing A's money. I think any kind of agreement like this is collusion.Relating this to OP's situation - When
  5. The only on-line play I do is pokerstars play money tournies partly because I live in Washington and on-line play is explicitly illegal here. I have played regularly for about 2 years and consider myself a solid recreational player but obviously no all-star. My belief is that there are a fair number of decent play-money tourney players in the higher buy-in tournies (50 k and 80k ). Admittedly it is a pretty easy game to beat but I think it is mostly because 1/3 - 1/2 of the field is very bad. By the time you get down to the final 1/4 of the field there is usually at least a couple of very s
  6. Absolutely cheating. You should have confronted them when it was obvious. Splitting blinds - come on. If one of the guys is a regular he should know better. After the fact I would confront the regular, tell him never to do that again under penalty of a being banned and ask for your 1/3 cut of the payout that they worked you over for. What a jerk.
  7. For those who enjoy long and detailed trip reports. Some cool WSOP and mid-high stakes action is described here by a guy who really loves poker. I liked it.http://www.markhope.com/blogger/blogger.html
  8. Good story - I like to hear how low-rollers fare because I'm definitely one and I can relate better.I have a question about the the 6 4 offsuit call in the tourney. If we ignore what you could have had to push with there (which should have been a part of his thinking) and just look at the probabilities pre flop given the cards as they lay - it is not that bad of a call.Cardplayer calculator makes says 6 4 off beats AK suited about .343. If he has a 100 in the pot and the small blind has folded (50) and you have pushed for 500 it is 400 for him to call. This makes a $1050 pot that he wins
  9. I've got to agree with don't mention it all. Very small upside, very large downside. -EV all the way.
  10. Assuming this is a running bet and you play it regardless of what is in your hand and in your competitors hand it is easier to calculate how you lose. The only way you lose is if he hits 3 consecutive of "his" cards.= 40/52 * 39/51 *38/50= approximately .447so you win approximately .553Take this bet at even money all night long.
  11. If you're planning on winning 25 buy-ins in 50 tournaments I think you will fail. If the PP tourneys are $5+1 tourneys you have to beat the "game" for 20% to break even. Then you'll need an additional 50% to amass a net of 25 buy-ins in 50 tournies. This looks to me to an ROI of 70% which is running super hot. Low limit SNGs are a mine field of suck-outs and bad beats. I think it will be very difficult to do it in 50 tourneys. I would suggest that you would have a much better chance at trying to win 25 buy-ins in 100 or a 150 tourneys. Not saying it can't be done - but what you are p
  12. I don't know if this helps but I ran your numbers on my analysis spreadsheet and a couple of significant things came out. What I did was measured the natural variance of SNGs for a 50 tourney run (our initial sample where your scored an impressive 28% ROI). I estimate the natural variance as follows. I assume an average player (equal number of 1sts, 2nds, 3rds, 4ths, ... 9th ) place finishes. Against a no-rake game we would expect his ROI to be 0 %. Then I ran a 1000, randomized 50 tourney stretches of our average player and record the ROI for each run and then I compute the standard dev
  13. I'm going to run your numbers as follows:9 player tourneys (50%, 30%, 20% ) payout structureand I'm going to say that in the previous 50 tournaments you are plus 14 buy-ins (which is very good a solid 28% ROI). I'll let you know what I find out.
  14. Are these all single table SNGs with 9 or 10 players or are they larger fields? I've developed a spreadsheet that gives me some insight into the expected variance of SNGs and if you give me the number of players I can give you some insight into the the likelhood of failing to cash in N tourneys etc. Also if you could include your ROI for these tourneys if you have it (or an estimate) I may be able to provide some insight or at least attempt it.
  15. Play-money only and I got 114 so I guess I establish a new low.
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