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Week 9 bets:

 

Dallas PK $9,700

Seattle -7.5 $100

New Orleans -7 $100

Rams -3.5 $100

 

 

I liked Dallas as a pick'em before the Zeke news. I was debating between them and the Seahawks for my all-in bet. Since the lines lock for this pool on Friday morning, I'm getting them at a pick'em when the vegas line is dallas -2.5 now. I don't actually think any running back is worth more than maybe 1 point on a spread, but 1 point in this case is a good tie breaker between 2 bets I liked equally. Plus, if I'm going to go out, I may as well go down swinging on my boys.

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Not clutch.

Glad you won! I'll probably be scalin back the volume for the playoffs, since I never feel too confident on short slates, but we'll see how I feel about my lineup once the weekend rolls around.   Af

At the Pens practice facility and Rick Tochett ends up standing next to me. It took every ounce of self control to not engage him in a conversation about the Rick Tochett Experience.

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nice. I had been on a good run, just trying to run up a freeroll win on my own account. won $7 on a freeroll in week 2. doubled up to $14 in week 3, then $28 in week 4, then $56 in week 5, then up to $110 in week 6.

 

My double up lineup lost this week though. Luckily I didn't go for the full double again as I wasn't feeling great about my lineup. Back down to $50 now.

 

Forgot to post. I doubled up again last week to get back to $100, and I'm all in this week (purely double ups), looking to double up again.

 

this is my cash lineup (currently)

 

QB Jared Goff $5,500

RB Zeke Elliot $9,000

RB Mark Ingram $7,600

WR Dez Bryant $6,400

WR TY Hilton $4,900

WR M. Sanu $5,300

TE Jack Doyle $4,300

FLEX Vernon Davis $4,100

DST Broncos $2,600

 

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Forgot to post. I doubled up again last week to get back to $100, and I'm all in this week (purely double ups), looking to double up again.

 

this is my cash lineup (currently)

 

QB Jared Goff $5,500

RB Zeke Elliot $9,000

RB Mark Ingram $7,600

WR Dez Bryant $6,400

WR TY Hilton $4,900

WR M. Sanu $5,300

TE Jack Doyle $4,300

FLEX Vernon Davis $4,100

DST Broncos $2,600

 

Made some changes:

 

Out:

Sanu

Broncos D

Goff

 

In:

Curtis Samuel

Dak Prescott

Jags D

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Lots of money on the Rams and Cowboys this week. Books have more liability on the Rams than any other game.

 

I have this feeling Denver D has a big game, I took the under as its dropped from 44 to 41.5.

 

My picks this week are Giants +6, Philly under 41.5, Indy under 45.

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There use to be a time when fading the public and following line moves were golden.

 

 

I wonder sometimes when sportsbooks drop the line like that, does it entice more bets to the over or the under. If that game stays at 44 I don't even look at it.

 

I would love to see each sportsbooks numbers when they drop an o/u by 1, 2, and 3 points.

 

Do you guys follow the line move or see value on taking the over when the line drops like that?

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Made some changes:

 

Out:

Sanu

Broncos D

Goff

 

In:

Curtis Samuel

Dak Prescott

Jags D

 

Whew. Haven't crunched the numbers but I'm pretty sure my swaps cost me a few points.

 

 

Barely hung on for nearly a full double up. Dropped out of the money in 1 tourney but won $180.

 

Also, my GPP lineup won $1500 on my brothers account. I haven't done the math but if Baldwin came down with that Hail Mary we would have been close to the top of the milly maker. Finished with 184 points, I think first place was around 210 and we had Baldwin and Russ. I think t would have been worth 25ish points. Obviously first place would probably change with that play so we wouldn't have won or anything but could have been a 5-6 figure score I think

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Week 9 bets:

 

Dallas PK $9,700 WIN

Seattle -7.5 $100 LOSS

New Orleans -7 $100 WIN

Rams -3.5 $100 WIN

 

new balance: $19,800 (18th place)

 

JT Miller is unstoppable and is up to $170,000. Looks like the entire pool had a good week. I might have to start setting my sights on 2nd place. (Still pays about $3,000)

 

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My cash lineup for this week, putting it in $160 of double ups on DK

 

QB Matt Stafford $6800

RB Leveon Bell $9800

RB Bilall Powell $4000

WR Chris Godwin $3000

WR AJ Green $7700

WR Golden Tate $6800

TE Garrett Celek $2500

Flex Marvin Jones Jr $6200

DEF Bears $3000

 

 

 

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Here's what I got after a quick look at some stats...

 

QB T. Brady NE

RB L. Fournette JAC

RB A. Morris DAL

WR TY Hilton IND

WR M. Jones Jr. DET

WR P. Dorsett NE

TE Gronk NE

K G. Zuerlein LAR

D Jaguars

 

 

Anything absolutely stupid?

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Bilall Powell

Garrett celek

 

Celek getting a start against a defense who rewards TEs....if I replace Gronk with Celek which position should I upgrade?

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QB T. Brady NE

RB L. Fournette JAC

RB A. Morris DAL

WR TY Hilton IND

WR M. Jones Jr. DET

WR D. Hopkins HOU

TE Celek

K G. Zuerlein LAR

D Jaguars

 

 

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My cash lineup for this week, putting it in $160 of double ups on DK

 

QB Matt Stafford $6800

RB Leveon Bell $9800

RB Bilall Powell $4000

WR Chris Godwin $3000

WR AJ Green $7700

WR Golden Tate $6800

TE Garrett Celek $2500

Flex Marvin Jones Jr $6200

DEF Bears $3000

 

things were looking grim after the first half of the morning games. But 3 TDs in the second half for Stafford, and a long TD for AJ Green and Golden Tate saved the day. Billal Powell was a huge bust but it didn't really matter as he was 75-90% owned in most of the double ups.

 

Ended up with 124 points, which was good for almost a full double. Just barely fell out of the money in 1 $25 double up late in the 4th quarter, but returned $270 from my $160 buyins. Account is up to $285 now, all off a $7 freeroll win in week 2. cashed 7 out of 8 weeks with my cash lineups.

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Week 10 bets:

 

Dallas +3 $7,000

Washington +1.5 $6,000

NY Giants -2.5 $6,000

Indianapolis +10.5 $800

 

 

yuck.

 

Should have gotten off Dallas with Tyron Smith out of the lineup. Never seen a single player (non QB) alter an entire offense so much. Dallas is pretty much done if Tyron Smith and/or Sean Lee miss any time. They will not beat Philadelphia with swinging door Chaz Green playing LT next week.

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