Set On A Dirty Board

[CoranMoran 0]

PokerStars 2/4 Hold'em (6 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)Preflop: Hero is MP with 4, 4. UTG calls, Hero raises, CO calls, 2 folds, BB calls, UTG calls.Flop: (8.50 SB) 4, A, 3(4 players)BB checks, UTG checks, Hero bets, CO calls, BB folds, UTG calls.Turn: (5.75 BB) 5(3 players)UTG checks, Hero bets, CO calls, UTG raises, Hero 3-bets, CO folds, UTG calls.River: (12.75 BB) J(2 players)UTG checks, Hero bets, UTG raises, Hero calls.Final Pot: 16.75 BB================Reads:I have them.But I am curious how this should be played without them.Please advise.--CM

[Zach6668 513]

IPITS without a read. I can't imagine UTG limping with a deuce...

[simo_8ball 1]

I honestly can't see how any read would change the way this hand is played postflop.The only thing you could do different is call preflop rather than raise.

[MrNiceGuy 0]

Hmm..I think preflop is close; I would normally fold though, although (under certain conditions) I might call (soft game) or raise (tight players behind me, and both blinds are likely to fold, and the limper is a weak player). Otherwise, I'm figuring the pot is going to be at least 3-handed a lot of the time, and that's going to be rough on a small pair, not to mention there are still 4 players left to act that could wake up with monsters.As played, I think the turn is interesting after the check-raise. The most worrisome hands for the check-raiser are 76, A2, and 55 (28 hands). We're way ahead of A4, A5, A3, and 33 (23 hands, not counting Ac4c). We're also ahead of an A plus a flush draw (9 hands, not counting Ac2c). Overall, we're 54% against this range. Of course, this range in reality should be weighted, with some hands more likely than others, and there's other hands villain could have. However, it appears that we're probably at best a slight favorite against villain's range, which is probably not enough to 3-bet with if we were heads-up (since villain will presumably always cap with a straight, so it's a win one lose two situation most of the time). But, the question is further complicated by the presence of the CO. I think we can put CO most likely on a good or medium A, although there's other hands he could have. Unless he has a flush draw, he will probably fold if we reraise, but he might overcall drawing nearly dead if we call. So I suspect that in this case, we would prefer to keep him in if he has a hand that he would fold for 2 bets.So, although I probably would have 3-bet at the table, I think that just calling the check-raise is probably the better play against an unknown.As for the river, if we assume that villain doesn't have a straight when he doesn't cap the turn, then there's 23 hands we're beating and 9 hands were behind. Villain will probably always check-raise with a flush, but given the distribution, I think we still have to bet. (If villain is known to habitually sandbag, however, then there is still some chance he has a straight, and we should consider checking behind).