tripdeuces 0 Posted April 26, 2007 Share Posted April 26, 2007 PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t200 (4 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)Hero (t2450)UTG (t4465)Button (t5605)SB (t980)Preflop: Hero is BB with 8, Q. UTG calls t200, Button calls t200, 1 fold, Hero checks.Flop: (t700) 7, Q, 8(3 players)Hero bets t400, UTG calls t400, Button raises to t1200, Hero ? Link to post Share on other sites
NEtwowilldo 0 Posted April 26, 2007 Share Posted April 26, 2007 Hero shoves Link to post Share on other sites
tripdeuces 0 Posted April 26, 2007 Author Share Posted April 26, 2007 Why would we being in 3rd place and having to worry about a reraiser as well as the cld caller behind on a board when i am probably barely a ahead or way behind? Reasoning??? Link to post Share on other sites
NEtwowilldo 0 Posted April 26, 2007 Share Posted April 26, 2007 Meh good point, you could wait for the SB to bust then go shortstack ninja style.On second thought you could just let it go, but I think you're folding the best hand a fair amount of the time here. I'm not gonna estimate a percentage though. Link to post Share on other sites
tripdeuces 0 Posted April 26, 2007 Author Share Posted April 26, 2007 Its an interesting spot to be honest. How often do you think you are ahead when you raise, get cold called then reraised? It's a strange spot to say the least. Link to post Share on other sites
cheetaking 0 Posted April 26, 2007 Share Posted April 26, 2007 best case you're up against a flush draw and top pair. Worst case, you're up against a set and a made flush.In deep-stacked situations, this is an easy "call and see what he does on the turn" scenario. But this is different. Here's my thoughts:1. There is a player with an M of only 3 still in, and it's the bubble. If you lose, you win nothing. If you fold, you're still in great shape for making the money.2. There's a flat-caller behind you. He is almost as much of a threat as the raiser.3. In the best-case scenario, you're only winning 66% of the time. If you fold, you have twice as much as the short stack, so you're still going to make the money about 66% of the time even if you fold.Think of it this way... if you fold, you'll make the money 66% of the time, while if you stay with the hand you're only going to win the hand 66% of the time, and with no guarantee that you'll make the money by winning the hand. And that's the best-case scenario. You could just as easily be almost drawing dead.So I say fold and wait the SB out. Link to post Share on other sites
tripdeuces 0 Posted April 26, 2007 Author Share Posted April 26, 2007 Your first point is why i didn't agree with one of your statements in the other thread. I like I liiiiiiiiike Link to post Share on other sites
Yahkin 0 Posted April 26, 2007 Share Posted April 26, 2007 Well, I put UTG on the nut flush draw. The button is likely sitting on TPGK with a heart to boot. Anywhere but the bubble and I'm pulling a muscle getting my chips in the middle.Here though, I probably fold my trap hand and let the big stacks beat on each other. The shorty is just short enough that we are in very good shape for the money. Link to post Share on other sites
Kestral123 0 Posted April 26, 2007 Share Posted April 26, 2007 Well, I put UTG on the nut flush draw. The button is likely sitting on TPGK with a heart to boot. Anywhere but the bubble and I'm pulling a muscle getting my chips in the middle.Assuming you are right, button effectively has anywhere from 10-13 outs to the river (depending on whether the turn card is higher than an 8), so you aren't that much of a favorite if you get it all in on the flop. When you factor in the chance that one of the other guys could have a set or a made flush already, and the stack sizes and payout factors, I think this is a relatively easy fold here. Link to post Share on other sites
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