K9 Flush Draw River Bluff

[Zach6668 513]

CryptologicLimit Holdem Ring gameLimit: $2/$46 playersConverterPre-flop: (6 players) Hero is BB with K 9 3 folds, Button raises, SB folds, Hero calls.Flop: 2 6 A (4.5SB, 2 players)Hero checks, Button bets, Hero raises, Button calls.Turn: T (4.25BB, 2 players)Hero bets, Button calls.River: 4 (6.25BB, 2 players)Hero bets...Villain is 36/33/2.9 after 69 hands. ASB is 53%, WTSD is 41%, W$SD is 29%.I didn't look at the showdown %ages during the hand for some reason.

[aim786 0]

Since he steals so much, this should be an easy 3bet preflop.As played, I think a river bluff is not a good idea. His wtsd% is pretty high, and I can't really see you folding any better hands except for maybe KQ/KJ. If he called the turn card with a PP less than ten or with a 6, he's calling that river with it too.

[MrNiceGuy 0]

If he called the turn card with a PP less than ten or with a 6, he's calling that river with it too.

I agree. With that in mind, I think this is one of those spots where a check-raise bluff should at least be considered.

[CoranMoran 0]

Villain wins an incredibly low 29% when he sees showdown.This means that he is willing to call river bets with junk.So why would we want to bluff this guy?When he calls your flop check-raise, this seems to mean he has the Ace.When he calls your turn bet, this seems to confirm it.Can we really hope he's drawing to a smaller Flush Draw?Nah.When a typical Villain calls this far down after a check-raise on an Ace flop, he's usually calling down the river.When this opponent does it, he's always calling down.Check-fold.--CM