Ron_Mexico 4,219 Posted July 15, 2015 Share Posted July 15, 2015 I filled it out pretty quick, it'll make for a fun watch tonight. It really is fun to have a rooting interest. I now get sports betting. Link to post Share on other sites
mrfritz 885 Posted July 16, 2015 Share Posted July 16, 2015 Jouban and the cartwheel kick, nice. Link to post Share on other sites
mrfritz 885 Posted July 16, 2015 Share Posted July 16, 2015 Don't even with the draw Link to post Share on other sites
Scroom 436 Posted July 16, 2015 Share Posted July 16, 2015 Didn't realize Ferguson was *that* good. Haven't seen anyone take a pasting quite like Thompson and not be finished, maybe ever. Link to post Share on other sites
mrfritz 885 Posted July 16, 2015 Share Posted July 16, 2015 duffee might be dead, wow Link to post Share on other sites
Scroom 436 Posted July 16, 2015 Share Posted July 16, 2015 How about Frank Mir. I snap-chose Duffee on Draftkings and had a moneyline bet on Duffee/R1. Wouldn't it be nuts of Mir made a run? Link to post Share on other sites
Ron_Mexico 4,219 Posted July 17, 2015 Share Posted July 17, 2015 No urge to see Mir v Cain, yet oddly, would love to see Werdum v Mir Link to post Share on other sites
Scroom 436 Posted July 18, 2015 Share Posted July 18, 2015 Cain v Mir would just be a cardio win for Cain. Werdum v Mir is the contest of superpower Heavyweight BJJ/Submission game which everyone wants to see. There's just no way in hell he (Mir) deserves a shot at the title after coming off a four fight skid, then notching 2 wins against non Top 10 guys, but a good fight might be someone like Ben Rothwell and if he wins there, then that justifies a filler-fight with Werdum. Link to post Share on other sites
Ron_Mexico 4,219 Posted July 19, 2015 Share Posted July 19, 2015 So,e decent fights on this card today. Of course I didn't cash in draft kings. There is a card again on Saturday, then the next Saturday, and then the Saturday after. 6 cards in 4 weeks. Been some good fights and you have to get younger guys fights, and most of these cards are free, but can you imagine how good and stacked just two cards would be? But I'll tell you what, 189 was worth every penny I paid for it. Don't know of the next one I'll be buying. Link to post Share on other sites
Ron_Mexico 4,219 Posted July 20, 2015 Share Posted July 20, 2015 Barao the 3rd cheapest fighter on DraftKings for Saturday. I feel there is a value there. Link to post Share on other sites
hank213 1,823 Posted July 20, 2015 Share Posted July 20, 2015 Huh, cutmen getting pinched by the reebok deal. http://www.bloodyelbow.com/2015/7/20/9002195/veteran-ufc-cutman-stitch-duran-reebok-deal-cutmen-go-to-boxing-mma-interview Link to post Share on other sites
Scroom 436 Posted July 21, 2015 Share Posted July 21, 2015 Pegado at 8500 seems a bit cheap. He got decisively whupped last time, Dillishaw showed himself the much better fighter but it may have been one of those 'on any given day' things, given the level of competition Renan has competed at. Still, I'm not going one way or the other on that fight. One that makes no sense whatsoever is Gian Villante @ $8600 against a Tom Lawler who hasn't fought in over 2 years and when he did fight, he was mediocre at best. What the **** do they think he's been away doing for the past 2 years in 'professional wrestling'? Becoming a better mixed martial artist? I wouldn't take Lawler at $8600, nevermind the inverse. That is my salary freer-upper. Gian Villante @ $8600. Lets see how the DK salaries stack up against the prime moneylines. Zak Cummings Dominique Steele *Cummings -235/$11,000 *Steele +216/$8200 T.J. Dillashaw Renan Barão *Dillishaw -201/$10900 *Pegado +186/$8500 Miesha Tate Jessica Eye *Tate -186/$10700 *Eye +171/$8700 Edson Barboza Paul Felder *Barboza -122/$9700 *Felder +112/$9700 Joe Lauzon Takanori Gomi *Lauzon -235/$11100 *Gomi +216/$8300 Gian Villante Tom Lawlor *Villante -206/$8600 (<- See?) *Lawlor +191/$10800 Jim Miller Danny Castillo *Miller -127/$10100 *Castillo +118/$9300 Kenny Robertson Ben Saunders *Robertson -108/$10000 *Saunders +100/$9400 Eddie Wineland Bryan Caraway *Caraway +124/$9500 *Wineland -137/$9900 Daron Cruickshank James Krause *Cruickshank -144/$10300 *Krause +150/$9100 Ramsey Nijem Andrew Holbrook *Nijem -125/$9800 Holbrook +115/$9600 Jessamyn Duke Elizabeth Phillips Duke +158/$8800 Philips -172/$10600 Right away we recognize the gross inefficiency in Villante/Lawler, so that's a no-****ing-brainer pick on DK. It's also an $8600 play on a card loaded with very even money picks, giving us salary cap headroom right away. Do we even want to take Pegado if we can already get headroom out of Villante? Dillishaw/Barao is a troublesome fight. I also don't like Robertson/Saunders either. I like Lauzon both moneyline and DK but he's a DK $11K'er. Still, taking him. No interest in broad fights since they're too inconsistent (emotions, menstruation, etc) so Tate/Eye and Duke/Philips are a no play. ... but wait? What's this? Ramsey Nijem vs a new guy? And who is this new guy? http://www.sherdog.com/fighter/Andrew-Holbrook-78384 "Warrants further research" to say the least. Here's his last fight in the bush leagues. ... against Ramico Blackmon, a WSOF alum, so, yeah. Andrew Holbrook both DK and a big-small sized bet moneyline. Also taking Cruickshank DK. So now its down to trying to divine who has the best chance of notching the finish, since there's $10400, I'm not crying over any of the guys I'm priced out of. I'm taking Barboza. Paul Felder being undefeated in the bush leagues and his last UFC win being highlight reel... ... might have him a bit overvalued relative to a guy like Barboza, the likes of which he hasn't faced yet in his MMA career. So, this is my card. No alternates. Playing it straight for the whole fight. 1 Link to post Share on other sites
Ron_Mexico 4,219 Posted July 22, 2015 Share Posted July 22, 2015 DW is so mafia http://mmajunkie.com/2015/07/veteran-cutman-jacob-stitch-duran-will-no-longer-be-working-ufc-events?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=twitter I love most of what he does, but dude doesn't seem loyal. Don't cross him, or you're out Link to post Share on other sites
Ron_Mexico 4,219 Posted July 25, 2015 Share Posted July 25, 2015 Played two lineups, my only fight overlap is Cummins. Dude better first round finish. I avoided the lady fights. I really like Lawler but played your inefficiency with Villante. Need some damn finishes Link to post Share on other sites
Scroom 436 Posted July 25, 2015 Share Posted July 25, 2015 This is not to say that Lawler doesn't win. He has his skills, If you have a hunch, put a card on with Lawler on there. I was just astonished when I saw that price on DK since my intuition was that Mediocre Lawler after a 2 year downtime was a dog against Villante, who has been looking pretty solid. The catch, obviously, is wrestling. Link to post Share on other sites
king_tanner 84 Posted July 25, 2015 Share Posted July 25, 2015 lol 30-27 Miller. What a joke Link to post Share on other sites
king_tanner 84 Posted July 25, 2015 Share Posted July 25, 2015 Filthyyyy Link to post Share on other sites
Ron_Mexico 4,219 Posted July 26, 2015 Share Posted July 26, 2015 So mad at myself that I didn't take Lawlor. These decisions are killing my cards Link to post Share on other sites
king_tanner 84 Posted July 26, 2015 Share Posted July 26, 2015 TJ Thrillashaw Link to post Share on other sites
Ron_Mexico 4,219 Posted July 26, 2015 Share Posted July 26, 2015 Time for Barao at 145 I broke even exactly on my two cards. Got a sweat for free Link to post Share on other sites
Scroom 436 Posted July 26, 2015 Share Posted July 26, 2015 I'm learning that its very, very hard to fade the field on certain cards that involve high profile fights where 90% of the players have one or the other and that alone pushes half the field up when one wins. In large fields, where crazy accuracy is required to cash, the slightest variance can throw you out of the money. I'm playing mostly small matchups and even Heads Up from now on with only a few bucks on the "MTT" type matches. I've always been a better cash game player than a tournament guy anyway. Link to post Share on other sites
Ron_Mexico 4,219 Posted July 28, 2015 Share Posted July 28, 2015 Any thoughts this weekend Scramster? I always enjoy your write ups. Rousey seems to be priced at $12,200. Very steep and you know every idiot will have her. I won't go with Correia or anything, but I may just go for other fights. Try to get 5 finishes. Bigfoot is a possible for me. He's been on a slide but his opponent hasn't fought a fighter with his resume yet, I don't think. Even though he's a beast. Should be plenty of finishes with these heavyweights on the card. Link to post Share on other sites
AmScray 355 Posted July 29, 2015 Share Posted July 29, 2015 Doing research now. Link to post Share on other sites
Ron_Mexico 4,219 Posted July 29, 2015 Share Posted July 29, 2015 I feel like Little Nog might have better boxing and cardio than Shogun, and be more durable. Really leaning Struve vs Big Nog, although I don't want to discount that Brazilian crowd bump Link to post Share on other sites
AmScray 355 Posted July 29, 2015 Share Posted July 29, 2015 The interesting thing I'm seeing is that there might be enough room with the unknowns to make a decent play and still take Rousey. Silva @8800 is a go for me against Soa. That much is certain. Link to post Share on other sites
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