dspholladay 0 Posted February 4, 2007 Share Posted February 4, 2007 I just had my friends over for a home game (9 of us) and one of my friends flopped quads back to back hands. I was just wondering if anyone had any idea what the odds of this happening would be. I was ready to make the 2 hour drive to AC after he showed quads the 2nd time but no one else wanted to go. He got paid both hands too. Link to post Share on other sites
GeneralGeeWhiz 0 Posted February 4, 2007 Share Posted February 4, 2007 Oh Really? I'm guessing 1 in 400,000? I suck at math. Link to post Share on other sites
cubsfan44 0 Posted February 4, 2007 Share Posted February 4, 2007 Im hungry Link to post Share on other sites
GeneralGeeWhiz 0 Posted February 4, 2007 Share Posted February 4, 2007 Im hungryGonna pig out tomorrow? Link to post Share on other sites
SSPadawon4 0 Posted February 4, 2007 Share Posted February 4, 2007 i think is over 1 in a million. Link to post Share on other sites
XXEddie 0 Posted February 4, 2007 Share Posted February 4, 2007 i think it depends if his whole cards were paired or not Link to post Share on other sites
cubsfan44 0 Posted February 4, 2007 Share Posted February 4, 2007 Gonna pig out tomorrow?If u mean while i watch the Bears win then yes Link to post Share on other sites
XXEddie 0 Posted February 4, 2007 Share Posted February 4, 2007 If u mean while i watch the Bears win then yesIll give you da bears at +7 for $25 on stars Link to post Share on other sites
DCJ001 0 Posted February 4, 2007 Share Posted February 4, 2007 Flopping quads happens about 1/10,000 hands. The odds of flopping back to back quads: you do the math. Link to post Share on other sites
Wandigo 1 Posted February 4, 2007 Share Posted February 4, 2007 Few months ago some guy had AA and flopped quads. Very next hand the guy 3 to his left had AA and flopped quads. I paid them off both times with boats Link to post Share on other sites
GeneralGeeWhiz 0 Posted February 4, 2007 Share Posted February 4, 2007 Few months ago some guy had AA and flopped quads. Very next hand the guy 3 to his left had AA and flopped quads. I paid them off both times with boats obv bbfidts Link to post Share on other sites
finztotheleft 0 Posted February 4, 2007 Share Posted February 4, 2007 i think it depends if his whole cards were paired or notPlaying with half cards sucks Link to post Share on other sites
RichieValenz 0 Posted February 4, 2007 Share Posted February 4, 2007 my math maybe completely wrong but here it goes:if they were both from paired hole cards: .000004%if they were both from unpaired hole cards: .00000001%if one was unpaired and the next was paired (or vice versa): .0000002% Link to post Share on other sites
pnambic 0 Posted February 4, 2007 Share Posted February 4, 2007 Probability-wise it doesn't matter whether you flop quads with a pocket pair or with a three-of-a-kind flop, the odds for both are about 1/10305, which are the odds of getting quads when you draw five random cards from a deck of 52: 1 (getting any card) * 3/51 (pairing it) * 2/50 (making trips) * (1/49 + 1/48) (two shots at the case card).Now, for the actual question, the answer is, "it depends". If you put all hands and flops dealt to some player over their lifetime in a list, and then select an entry at random, then the odds for that entry and the next entry both containing flopped quads are 1/10305^2 or about 1 in 106 million. However, if you flopped quads and then wondered what the odds are for you to flop quads again on the next hand, the answer is 1/10305, because cards (should) have no memory. Link to post Share on other sites
Maastonacci 0 Posted February 4, 2007 Share Posted February 4, 2007 Odds must be pretty high since it happened. Link to post Share on other sites
Royal27 0 Posted February 4, 2007 Share Posted February 4, 2007 I just had my friends over for a home game (9 of us) and one of my friends flopped quads back to back hands. I was just wondering if anyone had any idea what the odds of this happening would be. I was ready to make the 2 hour drive to AC after he showed quads the 2nd time but no one else wanted to go. He got paid both hands too.Not very often Link to post Share on other sites
LongLiveYorke 38 Posted February 4, 2007 Share Posted February 4, 2007 Probability-wise it doesn't matter whether you flop quads with a pocket pair or with a three-of-a-kind flop, the odds for both are about 1/10305, which are the odds of getting quads when you draw five random cards from a deck of 52: 1 (getting any card) * 3/51 (pairing it) * 2/50 (making trips) * (1/49 + 1/48) (two shots at the case card).Now, for the actual question, the answer is, "it depends". If you put all hands and flops dealt to some player over their lifetime in a list, and then select an entry at random, then the odds for that entry and the next entry both containing flopped quads are 1/10305^2 or about 1 in 106 million. However, if you flopped quads and then wondered what the odds are for you to flop quads again on the next hand, the answer is 1/10305, because cards (should) have no memory.Yup. This is the official answer of the thread. Link to post Share on other sites
Jam-Fly 8 Posted February 4, 2007 Share Posted February 4, 2007 ok, if you 4 of a kind, 2 hands in a row, and theres 52 cards in the deck, and the odds of getting a pair is 1 in 3, and the flop has 3 cards, it must be: 4x2x52x1x3x3=3744-1.Seems right to mesw of course. I could try to work it out, but I'm too lazy Link to post Share on other sites
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