Jump to content

Surely This Is A Donkey Move?


Recommended Posts

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t200 (8 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)UTG (t7871)Hero (t6222)MP1 (t5393)MP2 (t7040)CO (t8012)Button (t3305)SB (t6509)BB (t9240)Preflop: Hero is UTG+1 with Kspade.gif, Tspade.gif. 1 fold, Hero raises to t600, 3 folds, Button calls t600, 2 folds.Flop: (t1500) 6diamond.gif, Jclub.gif, Aspade.gif(2 players)Hero bets t800, Button raises to t1800,HERO ?I raised the last 2 hands and took the blinds.I am getting 4-1 here with a gut shot and a runner runner flush possibility. I figured this to be 20%. So I'm a 4-1 dog here, assuming he has an ace. So, in the EV sense, is this a break even call ? He has 905 behind him which I will 95% win when I make the draw and probably have to put in on the turn next card anyway.Is there some massive mathematical error I'm not seeing here ? And also, even if a call was the wrong play, was it only slightly wrong ? Coz putting in alot of chips with a gutshot seems very wrongThanks

Link to post
Share on other sites
Is there some massive mathematical error I'm not seeing here ? And also, even if a call was the wrong play, was it only slightly wrong ? Coz putting in alot of chips with a gutshot seems very wrong
Your math is wrong but your intuition is correct.You compared your odds of improving in two cards with the odds offered you for one card.
Link to post
Share on other sites

Yes this is surely a donkey move if you call..He has at least an ace, which puts you as more than a 4:1 dog...The only example where calling would be close to correct here is, IMO, if stacks were very deep and you had high implied odds for hitting your well hidden draw..Stacks are not deep and you are essentially putting 1/3 of your stack in with 4 outs..I just looked at the hand more closely and realized after raising 2 pots in a row, you opened with K10os in 2nd position..I really, really don't like that...Fold PF

Link to post
Share on other sites
It was a $4.40 180 that I was playing in. I wanted to play every half decent hand and see if I could out play my opps post flop
outplaying opponents does not mean winning every hand.calling here is not outplaying your opponent.outplay your opponents in position.
Link to post
Share on other sites
outplaying opponents does not mean winning every hand.calling here is not outplaying your opponent.outplay your opponents in position.
TruuuuutthhhhhhhhhhPeople don't fold in 4.40s..Good luck getting someone to lay down TPNK
Link to post
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
×
×
  • Create New...