MikeJohnson724 0 Posted November 3, 2006 Share Posted November 3, 2006 How often does KK run into AA? Do you guys ever fold KK preflop? Have had KK run into AA 4 times in past 2 days. Link to post Share on other sites
dna4ever 2 Posted November 3, 2006 Share Posted November 3, 2006 1 in 44 Link to post Share on other sites
Shizzmoney 0 Posted November 3, 2006 Share Posted November 3, 2006 At a 9 handed table, it happens 1 out of every 24 times.And I know because it has happens to me 2 times in my last four tournaments Link to post Share on other sites
solderz 0 Posted November 3, 2006 Share Posted November 3, 2006 How often does KK run into AA? Do you guys ever fold KK preflop? Have had KK run into AA 4 times in past 2 days.Depends on how many people are sitting at your table. Link to post Share on other sites
Fade2241 0 Posted November 3, 2006 Share Posted November 3, 2006 everytime Link to post Share on other sites
MikeJohnson724 0 Posted November 3, 2006 Author Share Posted November 3, 2006 Should have clarified. A full ring game. 9 handed Link to post Share on other sites
solderz 0 Posted November 3, 2006 Share Posted November 3, 2006 If you are dealt KK 10 handed the odds of AA having been dealt elsewhere on the table would be 220/9:1 (approximately 22:1). 9 handed would be 220/8:1 (approximately 27.5:1). Link to post Share on other sites
CodyHartman 0 Posted November 3, 2006 Share Posted November 3, 2006 You may try a search, I am wayyyyy to lazzzzy right now to do this, but I do remember a thread awhile ago that talked about it. I swear the answer the came up with was similar to solderz, but dont remember.gl Link to post Share on other sites
pbcsurfer 0 Posted November 3, 2006 Share Posted November 3, 2006 Against Barry Greenstein, yes I am folding kings after the re-raise, but Sammy Farha can't lay them down, and got very lucky.AA vs. KK Link to post Share on other sites
Alpha1494 0 Posted November 3, 2006 Share Posted November 3, 2006 I've folded KK preflop 3 times in my lifetime and have been fortunate enough to have been right all 3 times. But this hand is just so astronomically difficult to get away from. Early on in tourney's when your M is huge and there is so much room for play, it is significantly easier to get rid of this hand. Later on in a tourney when the blinds go up, it is near impossible to get rid of this hand preflop. When I get to this stage, I often time mix up my play and often smooth call raises especially if the orginal raiser also has a large stack (if I'm first in I will always raise with this hand). By smooth calling, I keep control of the size of the pot. I prefer to play small pot poker, so there have been times where I have had KK vs. AA and only lost a small portion of my stack late in tournaments where I soft played my hand. I clearly don't want to say that you should always soft play KK late in tournaments because there are often dynamic situations where it is much better to throw in a reraise against a shorter stack or if I'm a short stack, but it is often that I am smooth calling with KK against a larger stack.I think smooth calling with other hands in position offers some other benefits than reraising as well. It really just confuses the hell out of everyone. I will smooth call in position with a wide variety of hands (AA,KK, AQ, 66, 98s, 10Js, etc). It keeps everyone guess because ambiguous flops become dangerous to you're opponents because you've shown to play a wide variety of hands in position without reraising (hence the deception that makes this game so beautiful). This allows ample opportunity to bluff and pick up small pots. So if it gets checked to you and you decide to stab at the pot, then get check raised, you can minimize your loss in a bluff attempt. If you hit the flop hard, you can make the same bet (such as half the pot) that you would when you are bluffing. That way if someone comes over the top, you can then get paid off for a big hand. It's the theory of win small pot, win small pot, someone thinks you're bluffing again...... win big pot.Wow, I ramble way too much. I guess I should have saved this for the strat forum. But to get back to the KK vs. AA question, yeah it sucks, and sometimes you just can't get away.Alpha Link to post Share on other sites
Dratj 0 Posted November 3, 2006 Share Posted November 3, 2006 1 in 44noAt a 9 handed table, it happens 1 out of every 24 times.And I know because it has happens to me 2 times in my last four tournaments yes Link to post Share on other sites
doublemeup 0 Posted November 3, 2006 Share Posted November 3, 2006 How often does KK run into AA? Do you guys ever fold KK preflop? Have had KK run into AA 4 times in past 2 days. Welcome.to.my.life. Link to post Share on other sites
TRex99 0 Posted November 3, 2006 Share Posted November 3, 2006 Damn Solderz! Who are are those hotties in your pic? Link to post Share on other sites
DB10-2 0 Posted November 3, 2006 Share Posted November 3, 2006 10-handed, when you hold KK, someone will have AA about 6% of the time. Link to post Share on other sites
solderz 0 Posted November 3, 2006 Share Posted November 3, 2006 Damn Solderz! Who are are those hotties in your pic?My sister and my girlfriend.sw. Not really sure. I think I got the avatar from here, but can't remember. Link to post Share on other sites
mtdesmoines 3 Posted November 3, 2006 Share Posted November 3, 2006 10-handed, when you hold KK, someone will have AA about 6% of the time.Good enough to push KK every time. Link to post Share on other sites
vvganeshavv 4 Posted November 3, 2006 Share Posted November 3, 2006 I don't know but last night during a SNG I had AA and everyone folded to me. Next hand I got KK. I raised, got reraised, I then raised again, and he pushed all in. I thought about folding but figured what are the chances someone got dealt AA the hand after I did. So I call the all in...AA figures Link to post Share on other sites
quadaces 0 Posted November 3, 2006 Share Posted November 3, 2006 1-1 when playing on PokerStars........They rigged it that way! Link to post Share on other sites
solderz 0 Posted November 3, 2006 Share Posted November 3, 2006 I thought about folding but figured what are the chances someone got dealt AA the hand after I did.This kind of thinking is one of the major reasons good players can make consistent money at poker. The hands prior mean absolutely nothing to the next hand dealt. New shuffle, new odds. Which of course you know, but it is hard for the brain not to think that way, and the players that know better can take advantage. While I was on the Cruisin for Millions cruise in 05 I had AA dealt to me 3 out of 4 times (too bad it was in a cash game and not the actual tournament) and was dealt AJ the other time and hit broadway. The even more surprising thing was that I won all 4 hands. Link to post Share on other sites
MadKennedy420 0 Posted November 3, 2006 Share Posted November 3, 2006 60% of the time it works every time. Sex Panther Link to post Share on other sites
silkyjonson 1 Posted November 3, 2006 Share Posted November 3, 2006 its about 50/50................... Link to post Share on other sites
WallstreetMSU 0 Posted November 3, 2006 Share Posted November 3, 2006 60% of the time it works every time. Sex PantherI'm gonna have to be honest that smells like pure gasoline. Link to post Share on other sites
NoSup4U 0 Posted November 3, 2006 Share Posted November 3, 2006 Funny story related to this: was with a number of pros including hellmuth, PokerHo, Grinder, Fischman, Bonetti and Antonio when this question came up. Not one of them thought it was less than 1/100 and they all scoffed when I said it was 1/24.Mark Link to post Share on other sites
solderz 0 Posted November 6, 2006 Share Posted November 6, 2006 Funny story related to this: was with a number of pros including hellmuth, PokerHo, Grinder, Fischman, Bonetti and Antonio when this question came up. Not one of them thought it was less than 1/100 and they all scoffed when I said it was 1/24.MarkI find that amazing. Absolutely amazing. since so many people seem to be confused about this, I'll break down the math involved.The only hand we are worried about is AA. So the odds are caluculated as follows:4/52 x 3/51 = 1/221 = 220:1 (this is the math involved the calculating the odds of receiving any particular pair as your two hole cards, ie. j's, 10's, or in this case, A's. The top number represents the number of cards in the deck that fit the card you want. The bottom number is the total number of cards. Since you are drawing two cards you need to do this for each card and multiply the two to caluculate the odds)If we are at a 9 person table, there are 8 chances to draw AA, so you can either multiply the 8 times the above fraction, or for a quicker rough number, divide 220 by 8 to reach 27.5:1 for a 9 person table. For ten person table, 24.4:1.Thought I'd post in case anyone is interested. Link to post Share on other sites
mtdesmoines 3 Posted November 6, 2006 Share Posted November 6, 2006 I find that amazing. Absolutely amazing. since so many people seem to be confused about this, I'll break down the math involved.The only hand we are worried about is AA. So the odds are caluculated as follows:4/52 x 3/51 = 1/221 = 220:1 (this is the math involved the calculating the odds of receiving any particular pair as your two hole cards, ie. j's, 10's, or in this case, A's. The top number represents the number of cards in the deck that fit the card you want. The bottom number is the total number of cards. Since you are drawing two cards you need to do this for each card and multiply the two to caluculate the odds)If we are at a 9 person table, there are 8 chances to draw AA, so you can either multiply the 8 times the above fraction, or for a quicker rough number, divide 220 by 8 to reach 27.5:1 for a 9 person table. For ten person table, 24.4:1.Thought I'd post in case anyone is interested.Wow. Mathematics. Who'd a thunk? Link to post Share on other sites
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