Jam-Fly 8 Posted July 8, 2006 Share Posted July 8, 2006 If you pull the 2 out of a deck of 52. put it back in, shuffle. what are the odds you will get the 2 again ?Basically we were playing a roulette type game. There were all diff cards from a different deck, eg. suits, numbers, black/red etc. We bet on what card would come up when we cut the deck. A guy bets on every card but the 4 . A 2 comes up. He claims that a 2 will have a chance of coming 1 in 2704 (52x52) on the next hand. Link to post Share on other sites
aadams_22 3 Posted July 8, 2006 Share Posted July 8, 2006 same probability as the first time Link to post Share on other sites
DanielSon 0 Posted July 8, 2006 Share Posted July 8, 2006 If you pull the 2:spade: out of a deck of 52. put it back in, shuffle. what are the odds you will get the 2 again ?This thread makes me want to kill myself.... Link to post Share on other sites
Jam-Fly 8 Posted July 8, 2006 Author Share Posted July 8, 2006 THANK YOU !!(whisper, hahahahaha, **** you Paul) Link to post Share on other sites
No_Neck 0 Posted July 8, 2006 Share Posted July 8, 2006 OP why would you think it would be any different? Link to post Share on other sites
DanielSon 0 Posted July 8, 2006 Share Posted July 8, 2006 THANK YOU !!(whisper, hahahahaha, **** you Paul)You need to kick this paul kid in the nuts and take all is money for saying **** like that....And do the same to yourself for having to make this thread because you weren't sure. Link to post Share on other sites
gilbertology 0 Posted July 8, 2006 Share Posted July 8, 2006 your friend is an idiot then. The chance of picking the 2 of spades coming two straight times BEFORE the first cut is 1/52^2 Link to post Share on other sites
DCSports92GSR 0 Posted July 8, 2006 Share Posted July 8, 2006 your friend is an idiot then. The chance of picking the 2 of spades coming two straight times BEFORE the first cut is 1/52^2It's always the same. If you flip a coin, and it comes up heads 1,000 times... the very next time its still a 50/50 chance for heads / tails. Link to post Share on other sites
adammc 0 Posted July 8, 2006 Share Posted July 8, 2006 I want to put to a bullet in your friends skull, and then rip out his testes so that there is absolutely no chance that he may procreate. He is a subhuman retard. Link to post Share on other sites
DanielSon 0 Posted July 8, 2006 Share Posted July 8, 2006 I want to put to a bullet in your friends skull, and then rip out his testes so that there is absolutely no chance that he may procreate. He is a subhuman retard.Lol, this thread is really raging people....You better take your friend to the cops for protection.... Link to post Share on other sites
aadams_22 3 Posted July 8, 2006 Share Posted July 8, 2006 your friend is an idiot then. The chance of picking the 2 of spades coming two straight times BEFORE the first cut is 1/52^2you sir need to retake math...it's always the same Link to post Share on other sites
_Great_Dane_ 0 Posted July 8, 2006 Share Posted July 8, 2006 1/52Actually, the odds are 0.019230769231Not too long ago, casinos added a history chart at the roulette table to show what the previous results were so that those who don't understand probability theory would rely on the past to make future bets. Because of this, roulette revenue increased substantially. Link to post Share on other sites
pokerinc 0 Posted July 8, 2006 Share Posted July 8, 2006 your friend's thinking of it differently.The odds of a reshuffle and that card coming up are 1/52BUTThe odds of you going, okay so I think the 2 of spades will come up twice if we do that experiment are much different. That's what he was thinking when he said that Link to post Share on other sites
Jam-Fly 8 Posted July 8, 2006 Author Share Posted July 8, 2006 thats what i kept saying to him. but he said that its all the one game. got a good laugh of some of the posts, ty guys Link to post Share on other sites
gilbertology 0 Posted July 8, 2006 Share Posted July 8, 2006 you sir need to retake math...it's always the sameUmm look at what I said again and then hopefully you'll understand. I've taught statistics at the university level so if anyone has a statistical question please ask away. The chance of him drawing the 2 of spades again is 1/52, but the chance of him picking the two of spades twice in a row after he says I'm going to pick the two of spades twice in a row is 1/52^2, as long as he puts the original picked card back in. I don't know how anyone who plays poker can misunderstand or question this kind of intuitive math. Link to post Share on other sites
DanielSon 0 Posted July 8, 2006 Share Posted July 8, 2006 Umm look at what I said again and then hopefully you'll understand. I've taught statistics at the university level so if anyone has a statistical question please ask away. The chance of him drawing the 2 of spades again is 1/52, but the chance of him picking the two of spades twice in a row after he says I'm going to pick the two of spades twice in a row is 1/52^2, as long as he puts the original picked card back in. I don't know how anyone who plays poker can misunderstand or question this kind of intuitive math.You sir, need to retake statistics....lol j/k Link to post Share on other sites
Chesta99 0 Posted July 8, 2006 Share Posted July 8, 2006 It's always the same. If you flip a coin, and it comes up heads 1,000 times... the very next time its still a 50/50 chance for heads / tails.Anybody else hate it when they see this justification?Not that you don't have the right idea...or understand the principle....But you're wrong.-Chesta Link to post Share on other sites
blacktie31 0 Posted July 8, 2006 Share Posted July 8, 2006 Does he play online?Where?What's his screen name?for even having to askDo you play online?Where?What's your screen name? Link to post Share on other sites
Jam-Fly 8 Posted July 8, 2006 Author Share Posted July 8, 2006 well, ur the retard that isnt smart to see that my sig has ALL my online name on ALL the poker sites Link to post Share on other sites
Actuary 3 Posted July 8, 2006 Share Posted July 8, 2006 QUOTE(DCSports92GSR @ Friday, July 7th, 2006, 4:48 PM) It's always the same. If you flip a coin, and it comes up heads 1,000 times... the very next time its still a 50/50 chance for heads / tails.***********8 Anybody else hate it when they see this justification?Not that you don't have the right idea...or understand the principle....But you're wrong.-Chestawhy are you saying he's wrong?Unless you are saying that the evidence suggests an unfair coin.then I'm with you. Link to post Share on other sites
Chesta99 0 Posted July 10, 2006 Share Posted July 10, 2006 Yeah, it's clearly an unfair coin. Link to post Share on other sites
Actuary 3 Posted July 10, 2006 Share Posted July 10, 2006 Yeah, it's clearly an unfair coin.ok.Bayesian.I"m down:) Link to post Share on other sites
Wandigo 1 Posted July 10, 2006 Share Posted July 10, 2006 well, ur the retard that isnt smart to see that my sig has ALL my online name on ALL the poker sitesNH Link to post Share on other sites
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