dkelloway 0 Posted June 23, 2006 Share Posted June 23, 2006 Villain is 26/4/.5 after 35 handsPokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $2 BB (6 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com CO ($174.85)Button ($218.40)SB ($130.35)BB ($282.95)UTG ($210.45)Hero ($502.40)Preflop: Hero is MP with A A . UTG calls $2, Hero raises to $9, 2 folds, SB calls $8, BB calls $7, UTG calls $7.Flop: ($36) 2 4 7 (4 players)SB checks, BB checks, UTG bets $16, Hero raises to $40, SB raises to $121.35, BB folds, UTG folds, Hero?Are we really folding this getting 2.5-1? Is he playing an overpair around 30% of the time here to make a call correct? Link to post Share on other sites
Whiskey16 1 Posted June 23, 2006 Share Posted June 23, 2006 quack quack. Link to post Share on other sites
dkelloway 0 Posted June 23, 2006 Author Share Posted June 23, 2006 would you fold 22 on this board? seriously, should I be folding this? Link to post Share on other sites
Whiskey16 1 Posted June 23, 2006 Share Posted June 23, 2006 would you fold 22 on this board? seriously, should I be folding this?Would I fold 22 on this board? No, never, but was guessing the check/all-in is most likely a set. I'd be very surprised if he's doing that with top pair. With the odds you're getting, I think I call, cause I'm not good enough to lay down AA against that board, but I think you're beat by a set, or at best, you're hoping he's making a play with 56. He also may have an over pair to the board enough times to make calling at 2.5-1 correct, but without any reads, that's tough to say. Link to post Share on other sites
fckthis 0 Posted June 23, 2006 Share Posted June 23, 2006 Meh, if you feel like risking 100+$, then go for a call. You'll be good some of the time, but generally this is a fold. So to re cap: Fold, unless strong read otherwise. Link to post Share on other sites
HurricaneKyle 0 Posted June 23, 2006 Share Posted June 23, 2006 I think you are beat here most of the time. Think about it, you raised it up preflop. On the flop one guy bets into you, you raise and then another player who has invested nothing on the flop raises. He has no reason to get involved here unless he has a big hand. He not only knows you have an overpair here, but he also is sure enough about his hand that he is not worried about the player who bet into you.Unless villain has shown himself to overplay some hands, then I'd let it go. Link to post Share on other sites
krup24 0 Posted June 23, 2006 Share Posted June 23, 2006 Preflop: Hero is MP with A A . UTG calls $2, Hero raises to $9, 2 folds, SB calls $8, BB calls $7, UTG calls $7.I really hate having all these players in the hand when I have AA. Was the table loose? Cause if it was I would make it $12 preflop.With the way the hand played out, I'd have to say SB has a set here 80% of the time and the other 20% he has a PP greater than 7s. I've seen JJ and TT make this move at these limits.It sucks but this is pretty much a call after you reraised getting > 2.5-1. Link to post Share on other sites
KingQueenSuitedDotCom 0 Posted June 23, 2006 Share Posted June 23, 2006 I really hate having all these players in the hand when I have AA. Was the table loose? Cause if it was I would make it $12 preflop.With the way the hand played out, I'd have to say SB has a set here 80% of the time and the other 20% he has a PP greater than 7s. I've seen JJ and TT make this move at these limits.It sucks but this is pretty much a call after you reraised getting > 2.5-1.Check raise all in has to be a set, maybe haha. But how was this table? Could have been one hell of a A high bluff, over pair, loose player with two pair. Link to post Share on other sites
offset 0 Posted June 24, 2006 Share Posted June 24, 2006 Fold.A guy who overplays JJ or TT here reraises preflop. Link to post Share on other sites
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