anselm 0 Posted May 28, 2006 Share Posted May 28, 2006 What're the odds that the flop will all be lower than or equal to your pocket pair? As in, when I hold 99 what's the % chance all three flop cards will be a 9 (top set is hot sex) or under? If there's a website that has a list that would be great too. Thanks. Link to post Share on other sites
HangukMiguk 8 Posted May 28, 2006 Share Posted May 28, 2006 What're the odds that the flop will all be lower than or equal to your pocket pair? As in, when I hold 99 what's the % chance all three flop cards will be a 9 (top set is hot sex) or under? If there's a website that has a list that would be great too. Thanks.here's how you do thiscount the # of cards 9 and under, and divide 50 into it.AKA 34/50 = 0.64so it's 64% Link to post Share on other sites
vonteego3 0 Posted May 28, 2006 Share Posted May 28, 2006 here's how you do thiscount the # of cards 9 and under, and divide 50 into it.AKA 32/50 = 0.64so it's 64%FYP.Oh, and it's wrong, too. That gives you the odds of *one* card being under your 9's. Wouldn't it be 32/50 * 31/49 * 30/48? so about 1/4? Link to post Share on other sites
MyPlayIsRAB 0 Posted May 28, 2006 Share Posted May 28, 2006 here's how you do thiscount the # of cards 9 and under, and divide 50 into it.AKA 34/50 = 0.64so it's 64%4xA, 4xk, 4xq, 4xJ, 4x10.. that means 16 higher cards.. the odds on the first is 16/49 (.3265), second is 16/48 (.3333) if another didnt flop and 16/47 (.3404) i\f two had missed. add them all together and you get a 100.2% chance a card over your pocket pair will flop (thats on pokerstars anyways) Link to post Share on other sites
mellinac 0 Posted May 28, 2006 Share Posted May 28, 2006 where did you learn math FCPers? Link to post Share on other sites
HangukMiguk 8 Posted May 28, 2006 Share Posted May 28, 2006 FYP.Oh, and it's wrong, too. That gives you the odds of *one* card being under your 9's. Wouldn't it be 32/50 * 31/49 * 30/48? so about 1/4?34. he was asking the probability of whether a 9 or lower would hit if you have pocket 9s.you were right though, i only factored the first card.using your math:34/50 * 33/49 * 33/48 = 30% Link to post Share on other sites
HangukMiguk 8 Posted May 28, 2006 Share Posted May 28, 2006 16.7%where's your math?i want to see that. Link to post Share on other sites
tater nuts 0 Posted May 28, 2006 Share Posted May 28, 2006 i think it would be (30/50)*(29/49)*(28/48)= about .207 so if you held pocket 9s, about 20% of the time the flop would be all 9 or lower. Link to post Share on other sites
HangukMiguk 8 Posted May 28, 2006 Share Posted May 28, 2006 i think it would be (30/50)*(29/49)*(28/48)= about .207 so if you held pocket 9s, about 20% of the time the flop would be all 9 or lower.dammit that's right, i'd been counting aces as low.blame it on me playing lowball for the last month. Link to post Share on other sites
nutzbuster 7 Posted May 28, 2006 Share Posted May 28, 2006 my head just exploded. Link to post Share on other sites
anselm 0 Posted May 28, 2006 Author Share Posted May 28, 2006 FWIW, this site gave me these results:KK - 77.45%QQ - 58.57%JJ - 43.04%TT - 30.53%99 - 20.71%88 - 13.27%77 - 7.86%66 - 4.16%55 - 1.86%44 - 0.61%33 - 0.10% Link to post Share on other sites
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