7s7c 0 Posted March 2, 2006 Share Posted March 2, 2006 I was bored and couldn't find odds of winning this thing so I made some...I don't know if these are silly based on the low # of entrants or how that math stuff works but figured I would post who I basically thought had the best chances of taking down this thing....meh1. Rene Angelil 250-1 2. Josh Arieh 15-13. Lyle Berman 25-14. Chad Brown 15-15. Doyle Brunson 10-16. Todd Brunson 10-17. Jerry Buss 250-18. Mike Caro 50-19. Johnny Chan 8-110. David Chesnoff 50-1 11. T.J. Cloutier 20-112. Allan Cunningham 10-1 13. Kassem "Freddy" Deeb 15-1 14. Annie Duke 15-115. Ernie Dureck 50-116. Eli Elezra 20-117. Antonio Esfandiari 15-118. Sam Farha 10-119. Chris Ferguson (2005 Heads-Up Runner-Up) 8-120. Scott Fischman 8-121. Layne Flack 10-122. Ted Forrest 8-123. Steven Glassner 50-1 24. Barry Greenstein 10-125. David Grey 15-126. Antanas Guoga 20-127. Gus Hansen 15-128. Dan Harrington 10-129. Jennifer Harman 8-130. Phil Hellmuth (2005 Heads-Up Champion) 8-131. Phil Ivey 4-132. John Juanda 10-133. Phil Laak 25-134. Howard Lederer 10-1 35. Tuan Lee 25-136. Erick Lindgren 15-137. Josh Lochner (2006 NBCHeadsUp.com Online Tournament Winner) 250-138. Dee Luong 50-139. Mike Matusow 10-140. James McManus 50-141. Michael Mizrachi 20-142. Chris Moneymaker 80-143. Carlos Mortensen 4-144. Daniel Negreanu 8-145. Evelyn Ng 40-146. Men Nguyen 15-1 47. Scotty Nguyen 10-148. David Oppenheim 15-149. Paul Phillips 15-150. Greg Raymer 20-151. Chip Reese 10-152. Huck Seed 10-153. Erik Seidel 8-154. Mark Seif 15-155. Mike Sexton 20-156. Sean Sheiky 25-157. Barry Shulman 25-158. Jeff Shulman 15-159. Gavin Smith 10-160. Jennifer Tilly 100-161. Amir Vahedi 15-162. Cyndy Violette 20-163. David Williams 20-164. James Woods 150-1 Link to post Share on other sites
JBradburn6 0 Posted March 2, 2006 Share Posted March 2, 2006 I'd take #1 and #37. I really don't think there should be any 250-1 underdogs. Link to post Share on other sites
KowboyKoop 0 Posted March 2, 2006 Share Posted March 2, 2006 Phil Ivey as 4-1 is redonkulous. Yeah..he's awesome....but a lot of variance/luck can be involved in Heads Up play...don't think anyone can be better than 8-1 to win....Also, the last time I saw him play heads-up on TV at the WSOP curcuit event...he looked pretty shaky. Not that he isn't good at heads-up NL....but not sure if he is the favorite. I'd put Hellmuth as the fav b/c of the way he completely dominated Chris Ferguson last year...that was a flat beat down. Ferguson got very lucky just to win one game of the three....Hellmuth flat out owned that thing. Link to post Share on other sites
gatortom64 1 Posted March 2, 2006 Share Posted March 2, 2006 Scott Fischman 8-1 ????? Are you freaking serious???? Equal to Johnny Chan and Jesus Ferguson and last years winner???? Not a chance in hell.Some of the others are just as ridiculous. Link to post Share on other sites
gilbertology 0 Posted March 2, 2006 Share Posted March 2, 2006 Got way too many 10-1s and 8-1s. If someone has a 50% of winning each match, their odds of winning are 1/64, so if you want to do actual odds, the averages should be around there. Betting odds however, the average will be 1/40 so sites can make money. The favorites will probably be 15-1 or 20-1, maybe only a couple at 10-1 or 8-1. Link to post Share on other sites
ShakeZuma 585 Posted March 2, 2006 Share Posted March 2, 2006 Yeah I don't really think anybody can be much better than 8-1, but otherwise seems like a pretty good list to me. well done. Link to post Share on other sites
Mercury69 3 Posted March 2, 2006 Share Posted March 2, 2006 Annie Duke at 15-1 is to laugh... Link to post Share on other sites
Trail Boss Mitch 0 Posted March 2, 2006 Share Posted March 2, 2006 I was bored and couldn't find odds of winning this thing so I made some...I don't know if these are silly based on the low # of entrants or how that math stuff works but figured I would post who I basically thought had the best chances of taking down this thing....mehYour handiwork here is well noted. Me thinks you have way too much time on your hands. Want to do my taxes? Link to post Share on other sites
ajs510 122 Posted March 2, 2006 Share Posted March 2, 2006 Gotta figure if Chuck Norris entered he'd be the odds on favorite. No one would even bother betting on anyone else. Link to post Share on other sites
SecondSt 0 Posted March 2, 2006 Share Posted March 2, 2006 http://www.bodog.com/sports-betting/poker.jsp Link to post Share on other sites
profxavier9 0 Posted March 2, 2006 Share Posted March 2, 2006 it looks more like a list of how much you like certain players.. annie duke that one is a joke. Jenn Harman as cute as she is i dont think she is 8-1 from what ive seen of her play i dont think she has the 'balls' to win a heads up tournament for lack of better words. Although there is probably no one else i would rather see win it. But besides that i think its a pretty good list. Link to post Share on other sites
gilbertology 0 Posted March 2, 2006 Share Posted March 2, 2006 http://www.bodog.com/sports-betting/poker.jspDaniel tied for second at 12-1, nice. Of course Ivey is the favorite at 10-1, he'll get alot of mony on him even at those odds because everyone has heard by now what he did to Beal. I'm taking Amir at 75-1. Link to post Share on other sites
Manihack 0 Posted March 2, 2006 Share Posted March 2, 2006 http://www.bodog.com/sports-betting/poker.jspJohnny Chan 24/1 Wouldn't be a bad bet to make... Link to post Share on other sites
Luv2Gamble 0 Posted March 2, 2006 Share Posted March 2, 2006 I cant believe Tilly is getting 75/1 right with, Phillips, Vahedi, Seif, Seed. Am I the only one that thinks she shouldnt be that close to those names? Link to post Share on other sites
smoothcall 0 Posted March 2, 2006 Share Posted March 2, 2006 omg, tony g is in the NHUC, oh god i cant wait!!!!!! Link to post Share on other sites
Stewdio 0 Posted March 2, 2006 Share Posted March 2, 2006 Hellmuth at 20-1 and Chan at 24-1 both seem like the best bets. My sports betting has never extended to poker, but as 2 of the best at NLHE, they should probably be higher on the list. Not to mention Hellmuth won the thing last year. Link to post Share on other sites
xtxoxpxd 0 Posted March 2, 2006 Share Posted March 2, 2006 how damn overrated is phil ivey in your head to put him at 4-1. you think he has a better than 75% chance to win every single match? Link to post Share on other sites
Mike Matusow 0 Posted March 2, 2006 Share Posted March 2, 2006 Give me $5000 on me.MM Link to post Share on other sites
Bubba83 0 Posted March 3, 2006 Share Posted March 3, 2006 My picks:John Juanda at 30:1Allen Cunningham at 36:1 Link to post Share on other sites
punk1o1 0 Posted March 3, 2006 Share Posted March 3, 2006 Last year Phil Helmuth was given the worst odds and ended up winning it. Link to post Share on other sites
Jdr999 0 Posted March 3, 2006 Share Posted March 3, 2006 http://www.bodog.com/sports-betting/poker.jspI like Layne Flack and Freedy Deeb at 60/1, Tuan Le at 50/1, Ted Forrest at 36/1, and T.J and Mike Sexton at 70/1. Link to post Share on other sites
CrazyJoe 0 Posted March 3, 2006 Share Posted March 3, 2006 Last year Phil Helmuth was given the worst odds and ended up winning it.he wasnt given the worst odds, he just wasnt among the favourites and he was mad about it. he's not really among the favourites this year either, i cant imagine hell be happy about that.lol @Sam Farha 56:1Sean Shieky 60:1guarantee sam will be flaming mad when he sees that, sheiky is almost as good as farha!!i think farha is a much bigger favourite than this, i'd put him at 25:1 at least in comparison to the rest of them. Link to post Share on other sites
Moneyball16 0 Posted March 3, 2006 Share Posted March 3, 2006 I like Layne Flack and Freedy Deeb at 60/1, Tuan Le at 50/1, Ted Forrest at 36/1, and T.J and Mike Sexton at 70/1.lmao i dont see why anyone would put money on tuan when 3/4 of the players with worse odds than him are twice the player Link to post Share on other sites
chrozzo 19 Posted March 3, 2006 Share Posted March 3, 2006 Damn, I KNEW they were gonna put Tilly in this thing...****ing joke...My pick to win (serious): Scotty NguyenMy sentimental choice: Id like to see Tuan Le take itNot a snowball's chance in hell: James WoodsMatchup i'd most like to see: Laak vs. Tilly (lol)Player I want to see shot in the eye: Sheiken Link to post Share on other sites
blueodum 0 Posted March 3, 2006 Share Posted March 3, 2006 Jennifer Tilly 75 to 1; David Oppenheim 100 to 1.Who are the idiots that are handicapping this?Putting $10 on Oppenheim might not be a bad idea. Link to post Share on other sites
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