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Today for the first time, I entered a few tournies without extensive research..Wanted to get in before the 4pm deadline...We will see how it goes..

 

4 pm really creeps up on you ...

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Omfg they changed it. I won     Gshhshdhshhshsjejehbs

Scored 154 points and cashed all double ups comfortably. My alternate lineup with Antonio Brown would have scored about 135 and not cashed.   2/2 this year so far

Got a sweat. If the early game in the NFL finishes with no major changes, I win 5K.

oh and btw Golf is by far the most fun tourney on Draft Kings..

 

This week is a little different with no cut and a very small field though..Regardless, its very swingy and fun..

 

Did you guys get my pun? Its swingy...

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I'm 95% sure that a Mattias Janmark +1 and John Klingberg +1 on the last minute empty net goal in the last game of the night moved me directly from winning $0 to winning $160 (buy-ins of $78).

 

I'm running so hot in this.

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I'm 95% sure that a Mattias Janmark +1 and John Klingberg +1 on the last minute empty net goal in the last game of the night moved me directly from winning $0 to winning $160 (buy-ins of $78).

 

I'm running so hot in this.

 

plus/minus is a stat in DFS?

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  • Players will accumulate points as follows:
    • Goal = +3 PTS
    • Assist = +2 PTS
    • Shot on Goal = +0.5 PTS
    • Blocked Shot = +0.5 PTS
    • Short Handed Point Bonus (Goal/Assist) = +1 PTS
    • Shootout Goal = +0.2 PTS
    • Hat Trick Bonus = +1.5 PTS

    [*]Goalies only will accumulate points as follows:

    • Win = +3 PTS
    • Save = +0.2 PTS
    • Goal Against = -1 PTS
    • Shutout Bonus = +2 PTS

    [*]Goalie Scoring Notes:

    • Goalies WILL receive points for all stats they accrue, including goals and assists.
    • The Goalie Shutout Bonus is credited to goalies if they complete the entire game with 0 goals allowed in regulation + overtime. Shootout goals will not prevent a shutout. Goalie must complete the entire game to get credit for a shutout.

    •  

     

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Thats pretty much what I thought. (tbh I didnt know the last 3 for players, so f'in arbitrary I hate it)

 

So whats Zach referring to? does he think those guys got pts, doesnt sound like thats what he meant. Oh Zachary.....

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+/- is a stat on Fan Duel. And it's worth way too much. Each + is worth 1 point (same for negative values).

 

ah.

 

im thinking that when you add something like +/-, which is fairly variable, and make it so valuable like you said, it adds even more volatility to the results. Would this be a correct assumption?

 

curious Z, why play both DFS and FD. Is it just to test both sites for now, see which might be better long term for profit or is there something else?

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tinkered with my 2 lineups quite a bit this morning after looking at the Thursday ownership percentages from fan duel.

 

for lineup 1, I took out Mariota in favour of Fitzpatrick. Fitz is completely off the radar, below 1% owned, and he gets to go against the Giants awful defense. Also swapped out Maclin, who was around 10%, which was a little higher than I was expecting. Think he is still a good play, but I was able to go down to Devante Parker, who played 100% of snaps last week after Rishard Mathews went down with injury, and Mathews will not play this week. Also switched to Washington Defense who get to go against Matt Cassel, this allowed me enough money to go up to Deandre Hopkins in my flex and Odell Beckham in my WR1 spot (instead of Antonio brown). News came out that Darelle Revis will not be playing for the Jets so I want 100% exposure to OBJ this week.

 

Lineup 1 is interesting now. I managed to squeeze in 3 of the top 4 WRs. All 3 will be in the 15-25% range which is pretty high, but I would guess the number of lineups that actually have all 3 will be pretty low.

 

Here' what lineup 1 looks like now

 

QB Fitzpatrick

RB David Johnson

RB Adrian Peterson

WR Odell Beckham JR

WR Julio Jones

WR Devante Parker

TE Scott Chandler

FLEX Deandre Hopkins

DEF Washington

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Also Bailed on Shaun Draughn. Couldn't stomach it. Looks like he'll be around 5%. I was thinking he was a good flier at like 0.2% but apparently I'm not the only one with that thought. I switched him to the flex and put in Julius Thomas instead, since I think the upside is quite a bit higher.

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Shitty week in NFL. Good raw scoring but every high owned player went nuts so everyone had high scores this week. pretty much middle of the pack with both lineups. 160is and 170ish,

 

Ironically, the original "lineup 1" that I posted, before I tinkered it to oblivion would have scored 196.2 points, which would have been ~85th percentile or so. Good enough to cash in most Tourneys and make a bit of money, but nothing crazy.

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I really lost it on Friday night. I had Gaudreau in my lineup, then took him out in favour of Monahan when I wanted to make a double switch. Johnny got 3G 1A, my original lineup would have won all my heads up.

 

Question for you guys:

I set a lineup. Then I go and choose heads up games I want to play, at certain $ values. Am I able to look at who I am playing against before the game starts? Are opponents cherry picking me, since I am new, or is it just random?

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I really lost it on Friday night. I had Gaudreau in my lineup, then took him out in favour of Monahan when I wanted to make a double switch. Johnny got 3G 1A, my original lineup would have won all my heads up.

 

Question for you guys:

I set a lineup. Then I go and choose heads up games I want to play, at certain $ values. Am I able to look at who I am playing against before the game starts? Are opponents cherry picking me, since I am new, or is it just random?

 

I think there are both options..You can cherry pick..

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I really lost it on Friday night. I had Gaudreau in my lineup, then took him out in favour of Monahan when I wanted to make a double switch. Johnny got 3G 1A, my original lineup would have won all my heads up.

 

Question for you guys:

I set a lineup. Then I go and choose heads up games I want to play, at certain $ values. Am I able to look at who I am playing against before the game starts? Are opponents cherry picking me, since I am new, or is it just random?

 

Draft Kings:

 

You can create your own HU games and set the max number of times any single opponent can play you.

 

I make 50 games and then set the max at 1.

 

I feel like DK matches up unmatched HU games right at 7 or whatever.

 

In the meantime, players can sit with you. On DK I don't think they can see your stats though. I guess you can still get cherry picked if hardcore players don't recognize you.

 

On FanDuel there doesn't appear to be any way to limit the number of times an opponent plays you. From the lobby though, you can go into player profiles to see how many wins they have at each sport (no losses though, so missing context.) You'll probably get cherry picked there until you get more wins, like I am.

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  • 2 weeks later...

Dubey, need some advice:

 

Regular fantasy football, FCFL semis, who do I start?

 

Big Ben vs tough Den D (my opponent has A.Brown)

 

or

 

Bortles vs bad Atl D (I also have A.Robinson, nice combo maybe? I was also going to use Jax RB D.Robinson in my flex?)

 

 

I cant decide, should I put all my eggs into the Jacksonville basket, or use Big Ben?

thoughts from anyone else?

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how good is the rest of your team?

 

In a vacuum, I think I like Bortles this week. Their team total is higher, it's a better matchup. They rarely run in the red zone. Vegas thinks the game will be closer (JAX is -3, Pitt is -6.5)

 

on the other hand, Having Bortles and the 2 Robinsons in your lineup is going to be pretty high variance. If the offense sputters, you basically have no chance to win your matchup. Also, Pittsburgh probably has the best offense in the league right now, and it seems crazy to have Big Ben on your bench in the playoffs.

 

I'd probably still roll with Bortles unless I felt I had the far superior team in the matchup, in which case I'd go with Big Ben to reduce the variance a bit.

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I would say the matchup is about even, or maybe opponent is a slight favourite.

 

Ya, I dont like all 3 on same team, 1 bad week from Jax and its toast for me. But this might be my shot to beat a team that is better than me on paper this week.

 

Thanks for the advice

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  • 2 weeks later...

Week 17 should be a fun one in the NFL for DFS. Trying to figure out which guys are going to be playing full games and which guys are going to be resting. Hoping a little extra research pays off. Had a really good week 16. 3 lineups that all cashed in everything. 1 lineup was top 1%.

 

A little tougher this week since there's no Thursday night game so we don't get the free ownership information from the Thursday Fan Duel tournaments, so I'll mostly be guessing at ownership levels.

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Week 17 should be a fun one in the NFL for DFS. Trying to figure out which guys are going to be playing full games and which guys are going to be resting. Hoping a little extra research pays off. Had a really good week 16. 3 lineups that all cashed in everything. 1 lineup was top 1%.

 

A little tougher this week since there's no Thursday night game so we don't get the free ownership information from the Thursday Fan Duel tournaments, so I'll mostly be guessing at ownership levels.

 

Look for players trying to make a good impression that need a contract. Lots of teams where players are playing for next year.

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  • 3 weeks later...

So I hadn't played DK in a couple months when I went busto.

 

2 days ago decided to put in $25 and play a little. Cashed my first tourney for $8 and had $33 in account.

 

Yesterday wanted to play the $3 big one but just missed the cutoff by a minute. So I entered a $3 tourney with the 2 late games.

 

I beat out 2300 players and took down first for $400.

 

Huge sweat as I had to stave off bunch of Dallas players at the end as I was heavily into the Kings. I managed to win by a half point.

 

Ty Kopitar, Vinny and Doughty.

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