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FEB 1st Picks

 

COLUMBUS -½ -102 over FLORIDA

Regulation only. Last night we played against the Capitals, a team that was playing their ninth straight game of travel and the fact that we lost that game is pretty sick. Detroit dominated play but Michael Neuvirth came up with one of the best goaltending displays of the year and the Caps scored with 10 seconds remaining to send it to OT. The point is the Caps were exhausted, just like we suggested and we mention that because Florida is in a similar spot here. The Panthers will travel for their eight straight game here after playing in Carolina, Pittsburgh and Buffalo, before they returned home for one game against Colorado. Subsequently, the Panthers traveled to play in Detroit, Boston and Toronto, leading up to this one. That’s eight games of travel since January 18th and they’ve surrendered six goals in each of their last two contests. This is a tired Panthers squad with weak goaltending that has not defeated the Jackets since 2007. They also have the Leafs on deck in their return home.

 

The Jackets are fresh, having been home for five of their past six games. Over that same span, beginning January 18th, Columbus has had to travel one time. The Jackets are coming off a 5-2 win over a tired Capitals squad and they now get to play against a similarly exhausted visitor here. The Jackets are not only in a much better spot, they are vastly superior to these Panthers and they are also extremely focused in their quest to make the playoffs. Someone might get in their way eventually but it’s not going to be the Panthers on this night.

 

Ottawa +112 over TORONTO

OT included. The Maple Leafs have won 29 games this season and Jonathan Bernier has singlehandedly won them close to 20 games on his own. When Bernier isn’t GREAT, the Maple Leafs chances of winning are slim. How this guy wasn’t chosen to play for Team Canada in the Olympics is perhaps the biggest snub in Team Canada history because no player or goalie has meant more to his team than Bernier. He is this year’s MVP and it’s not close because without him, the Maple Leafs would have the worst record in the NHL. Over their last 32 games, the Leafs have outshot three opponents. Against Florida on Thursday, Toronto surrendered 38 shots yet won 6-3. The Panthers have mustered 38 shots on net or more just three other times this season. In the Maple Leafs win over Tampa Bay last Tuesday, they were outshot 42-26 but emerged victorious 3-2. An unsustainable high percentage of Toronto’s shots on net are going in and an extremely high percentage of their shots allowed are not going in. The Maple Leafs continue to get outplayed in almost every game, yet they are one of the hottest teams in the NHL with eight wins in their past 10 games. Could you imagine if the Sabres or Flames kept winning every night? Well, what the Maple Leafs are doing is equivalent to that, yet they have the fourth highest point total in the East. All season long it’s been a case of sustained pressure for 2/3 of the game against the Maple Leafs, yet somehow they come out smelling like roses in many of them. The Maple Leafs record is without question the most misleading record in the NHL but it has also created the most overvalued team in the NHL and once again, we’ll look to take advantage.

 

PITTSBURGH -½ +122 over Phoenix

Regulation only. Only two teams in the West, Edmonton and Calgary have a higher GAA than the Coyotes. Only three teams in the entire league, Anaheim, St. Louis and Chicago has scored more goals than the Penguins. There is nothing to suggest that this game is headed in any other direction other than the aforementioned. Pittsburgh is coming off a 4-1 win over L.A. at the Staples Center. The Pens have won two straight and six of eight while scoring 13 goals in their last three wins. The Penguins are fresh, they are going good and they figure to get to Mike Smith often.

 

Smith has sat the past two games to try and straighten his head out. The Coyotes coaching staff calls it “rest”. Smith has a .908 save percentage this season and that’s one of the worst marks in the league for goaltenders who have played 20 games or more. Smith’s save percentage puts him in the same range as Martin Brodeur (.899), Cater Hutton (.906), Dave Poulin (.891), Devan Dubnyk (.891) and Ondrej Pavelec (.902). Smith has had one good year, back in 2011-12 when he went 38-18 for the Coyotes. His other eight seasons in the NHL have been about as average as any other goaltender in the game. Over his last 10 games, Smith has posted save percentages of .800, .885, .862, .889, .868, .857 and .893. Phoenix has four wins in their past 11 games and they’re coming off a home loss to the Sabres. The Coyotes have less chance of winning with Smith in net than the Devils have with Brodeur in net because Phoenix gives up way more scoring chances than New Jersey. Give us the Penguins spotting a half puck and taking back some juice against one of the five worst goaltenders in the game and you can pencil us in every time.

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I think sherwood and his website is one of the most legit betting picks you will find online..   His record is honest, its all posted with 5 or 6 years of history....totally free..   If you stick

HOME TEAM IN CAPS All plays are for 2 units   COLORADO -½ +106 over Phoenix Regulation only. The Coyotes do not have the same swag as they’ve had in previous seasons. Hockey doesn’t even belong in

sherwood I hope you've been pounding the overs. Scoring is getting out of hand right now salami over is just a automatic bet for me last 3 days.

 

 

I can't believe this is all that Serge is saying in reply to Sherwood's post. :)

 

Brian is clueless when it comes to the Leafs. His epic mistakes are proven

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Look Brian. We got lucky again.

 

Kessel scored a lucky hat trick.

 

 

Please follow Brian's picks, but ignore his Leafs analysis. He has an inept way of ignoring stuff in his own town.

 

 

 

Sorry. Had to

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February 2

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Detroit +104 over WASHINGTON

OT included. The blueprint for beating the Capitals is not a difficult one. All one needs to do is stay out of the penalty box and force the Caps to score five on five. Washington is a one-line outfit that has produced an incredible 32% of their goals on the power-play. Five on five, the Caps not only struggle to score, they struggle to get the puck out of their own end. Furthermore, this game is the Caps 10th game since Jan 15 and nine of those have been on the road. They return home after a five game trip that concluded in Detroit on Friday. They lost 4-3 in OT but that is a flattering score to the Capitals, as they were outshot 45-29 and had it not been for Michael Neuvirth, Washington would have been down by four goals or more. Since the Christmas break, the Caps have allowed more shots on net per game than any team in the NHL and the result has been 13 losses in their last 17 games. There is no fix in sight for this team.

 

Many folks consider the Red Wings as an older team but that is not true at all. An influx of young talent that is starting to gel is what is going to keep the Red Wings as a force to be reckoned with years to come. The Red Wings have scored four goals or more in four of their past five games. Tomas Tatar, Gustav Nyquist, Justin Abdelkader, Riley Sheahan and Darren Helm could all crack just about any lineup in the game. These guys have been groomed to thrive and it’s paying off. The Red Wings are headed in the right direction while the Capitals are one of the worst five teams in the NHL. They’ve been sinking for weeks and they’re not done yet. Better team in a better scheduling spot gets the call. Play: Detroit +104 (Risking 2 units).

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Welcome sherwood. Unfortunately, I was hoping you were just a brand new member and was very much looking forward to reading your fights with serge.

 

Just curious why, for a game like the above, you go with 'OT included' rather than regulation? The superficial analysis would suggest that Washington is probably even money or better to win if the game goes to OT/SO, so why not the dog money for regulation only?

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Mr: Danny, well, my theory is that with OT and shootouts being a 50/50 proposition, over time you are going to win money when taking back a price each time. That's the only reason I include OT in any of my plays.

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I think sherwood and his website is one of the most legit betting picks you will find online..

 

His record is honest, its all posted with 5 or 6 years of history....totally free..

 

If you stick to his picks, you will consistently make money...Sometimes its hard to pick the dogs he picks, especially in baseball..but he is a consistent winner...Dogs have the value in the long run.

 

Good call on the Seahawks...

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FEB 3/2014

 

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NEW JERSEY -½ +151 over Colorado

Regulation only. We could take the Devils in a pick-em spot but their poor record in OT and shootouts make them much more appealing in regulation time only. In that regard, we much prefer the Devils taking back 3/2 odds as oppose to sweating out another shootout. If you’re on board for this game, we’re suggesting betting it sooner rather than later because it appears as though J.S. Giguere will get the start for Colorado. Once that is confirmed this price will decrease so bet it now. Giguere is 7-4 with a 2.60 GAA and .913 save percentage. Not bad for a back-up but don’t buy any of it. Giguere is the mirror image of Martin Brodeur, only worse because his positioning isn’t as good. Giguere last played on January 21 when he came in against Toronto in relief of Semyon Varlamov when the Avs were down 4-1. Prior to that, Giguere’s save percentages in five of his last six starts looked like this: .789, .708, .893, .857, .929 and .783. That .929 anomaly came against Calgary. The Avalanche are coming off a 7-1 throttling of Buffalo. They have won three in a row and play the Rangers at MSG tomorrow. That’s why they are likely using Giguere tonight.

 

Regardless of whether the Avs use Varlamov or Giguere, we’re still fading them here. We’re not sure if people understand just how tough these Devils are. They got off to a horrible start with Brodeur being the #1 goaltender but that changed a few weeks ago and the Devils have been moving up the standings ever since. Over his last 12 games, Schneider has posted a 1.86 GAA and .935 save percentage. Over that stretchy, New Jersey has picked up points in nine of 12 games. The Devils are tough as shoe leather. They just go out there every night and play a disciplined, methodical game with focus on moving the puck out efficiently while limiting the opponents scoring chances and working the puck deep in the opposition’s end with a relentless forecheck. The Devils are right in the thick of this playoff race and catch the Avalanche at precisely the right time in that Colorado is in New York tomorrow and they’re saving Varmalov for that one.

 

Columbus +157 over ANAHEIM

OT included. The Ducks have hit their first snag of the season with a 4-4 record over their last eight games. For most teams’, that’s not really a funk but for the Ducks it is because three of those losses occurred at home against Winnipeg, Minnesota and Dallas. Even when the Ducks defeated the Kings in back-to-back games last week, Anaheim was clearly outplayed in both of them, allowing far more scoring chance and far more shots on goal as well. In fact, the laboring Kings outshot Anaheim by a combined count of 67-42 in those two games. The Ducks also recently lost 4-2 against Chicago and managed just 21 shots on net against them. In three of the Ducks last eight games they have mustered just 21 shots on net in three separate occasions. Anaheim is actually fortunate that they’re not on a losing streak of seven defeats in eight games right now. The Ducks are too good to regress significantly but it appears that their outstanding record up to this point has taken a toll and that the Olympic break wire can’t get here soon enough for them. It’s also worth noting that the Ducks have the Blackhawks up next on Wednesday before their final game before the break in Nashville on Saturday night. The Ducks can afford another breather and that appears to be their mind set right now.

 

The Jackets are playing too good to ignore at this price. Since the return of Sergei Bobrovsky on January 6, Columbus has won 10 of 13 games for the best record in the league over that span. In those 10 victories, the Jackets have outscored the opposition by an incredible count of 44-20. That’s an average of close to 2½ pucks a game in their favor. Win or lose, we’re definitely going with the best of it here and once again, we’ll play the value and let the chips fall where they may. Overlay.

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I think sherwood and his website is one of the most legit betting picks you will find online..

 

His record is honest, its all posted with 5 or 6 years of history....totally free..

 

If you stick to his picks, you will consistently make money...Sometimes its hard to pick the dogs he picks, especially in baseball..but he is a consistent winner...Dogs have the value in the long run.

 

Good call on the Seahawks...

Thanks very much Serge. BTW, it's 11 years of history.

www.sportswagers,ca

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FEB 4/2014

 

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N.Y. Islanders +128 over WASHINGTON

Regulation only. The correlation between losing and allowing too many shots on net has been present in the NHL for decades. This statistic takes a look at the 'average shots for' versus the 'average shots against' for a particular team. The theory is a team with a positive differential gets more shots on net, allows fewer shots against (because they are in the opposition’s end for extended stretches), and hence has proportionately more scoring chances than their opponent. In the last 40 years, 63% of Stanley Cup winning teams have been in the Top 5, and 90% of winning teams have been in the Top 10 when it comes to overall shooting differential. We mention this because the Capitals have allowed the second most shots on net in the NHL since the beginning of December. As a result, it should therefore come as no surprise that the Caps have just five wins in their past 18 games and at least two of those were of the extreme fortunate variety. One of those five victories occurred against Detroit on Friday night in a game the Caps were outshot 45-29. Another victory occurred against the Bolts in which Washington was outshot 36-20 and one other occurred against the Rangers, 3-2, in which the Caps allowed 40 shots on net. Washington could conceivably be on a run of 16 losses in 18 games. This is a bad hockey team with awful defense, one scoring line and that scores a high percentage of their goals when they have the man advantage. Regarding the Capitals, the best advice is to fade them when they are favored because their chances of losing are greater than their chances of winning.

 

The Islanders have dropped five straight but their last five opponents have been Pittsburgh, St. Louis, Boston and the Rangers twice. That’s a tough slate and the Islanders could have easily won three or four of those games, as they had St. Louis down 3-2 with under a minute remaining, they had Pittsburgh down 2-0 and they were not outplayed by the Rangers in either game. The Islanders now take a huge step down in class after facing that group and we like what we see from this team. Offensively, the Isles are creating as many scoring chances as any team in the league and despite losing, they still scored three on the Blues and Bruins and four on the Pens. Prior to that, the Islanders scored four goals or more in seven of 10 games. Offense is not an issue. Defensively, the Islanders have struggled most of the year but Evgeni Nabokov has looked sharp in his two games back since being injured. Also back for the Islanders is veteran Lubomir Visnovsky, who is playing 20 minutes a night now. Additionally, young defensemen Calvin de Haan, has all the potential in the world and hasn’t looked a bit out of place since his call-up. The kid is good, real good. The Caps are on a current 0-6 run against the Metropolitan Division and remain one of the best fades in the league. The Capitals have a high winning percentage in extra time and it’s for that reason we’ll play this one in regulation only.

 

Tampa Bay +106 over MINNESOTA

OT included. Speaking of risky favorites, one need not look further than the Wild. Minnesota has one of the best home records in the NHL at 19-7-2 but regression is forthcoming because the Wild just aren’t good enough to sustain that high winning percentage, no matter where they play. The Wild play hard and work hard but this is one of the most offensively challenged teams in the league. In fact, Minnesota’s 26 shots on net average per game is the NHL’s worst mark. In five of the Wilds’ past seven games, they have mustered just 23 shots on net or fewer. That does not bode well here against the stingy defense of the Lightning and great goaltending by Ben Bishop. It’s also worth noting that Minnesota returns home here after a four game trip through San Jose, Anaheim, Colorado and Calgary.

 

Seldom are the Bolts out of a game. When they lose, it’s usually by a goal and in fact, an incredible 13 of their 18 losses in regulation this season have been by one goal and they’ve accomplished that without the services of Steven Stamkos for all but 12 games. Had Stamkos not been injured (he’s due back on Saturday), Tampa might have had the NHL’s best record. As it stands, they still have the third best record in the East, just behind Boston and Pittsburgh. The Bolts D-corps is stacked. Victor Hedman and Matt Carle are studs. Radko Gudas is a stud in the making and guys like Sami Ohlund and Eric Brewer aren’t exactly duds. Tampa has won four of its past six, 14 of its past 22 and they are a far better option taking back a tag than the Wild are spotting one. The much better team in a better situational spot gets the call.

 

Dallas +122 over PHOENIX

OT included. The Coyotes are a hard-working bunch that can be difficult to play against but they remain too risky as the chalk. In fact, since Dec 10-12, a span of 25 games, the Coyotes have won consecutive games just one time. Almost every time these Dogs take a step forward, they usually take two steps backwards. The Coyotes biggest issue is preventing goals, as only two teams in the West, Edmonton and Calgary, have a higher goals against average than the Coyotes. Mike Smith is the confirmed starter here and we couldn’t be happier about that. Over his last 11 games, Smith has posted save percentages of .800, .885, .862, .889, .868, .857 and .893. Mike Smith is the most overrated goaltender in the NHL and it’s not close. He’s had one good year in eight NHL seasons and this year has been his worst ever. We also like the spot for the Stars, as Phoenix is coming off a win over Pittsburgh and they have the Blackhawks up next.

 

Don’t look now but here come the Stars. Dallas is just six points out of a playoff spot after picking up points in five (four wins and an OT loss) of its past six games. They’re coming off a near flawless 2-0 victory in Anaheim and have recorded three shutouts in their past six games (Anaheim, Pittsburgh and Minnesota). That’s Lindy Ruff hockey and the Stars are finally starting to get it. The Stars are a team with huge potential that is loaded up the middle. They’ve got proven offensive talent throughout the roster with one of the Calder Trophy front-runners in Valeri Nichushkin. That kid is going to be a legit star in this league. All that talent has the luxury of playing in front of breakout experts Sergei Gonchar and Alex Goligoski and suddenly, goaltender Kari Lehtonen is getting very hot. Dallas has not peaked yet but is showing all the signs of doing so. This team is on the verge of breaking out and they have the talent to change the balance of power in the West. As a pooch in a good situational spot and playing well, the Stars offer up all the value in this one.

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Wed, FEB 5

 

Dallas +183 over SAN JOSE

Regulation only. We’re always on the lookout for value and that makes the Stars an instant play. We’ve been touting Dallas the entire year and it’s just starting to pay dividends now. Dallas has picked up 11 points out of a possible 14 over its past seven games. Over that span they have a 3-0 win over Pittsburgh, a 2-0 win in Anaheim, a 4-0 win over Minnesota, a 7-1 victory over the Maple Leafs and a 3-1 win in Phoenix last night. Over their last five victories, the Stars have outscored the opposition by an incredible count of 19-2. At 2-1, Dallas is certainly worth a wager against a Sharks squad that isn’t going so well right now.

 

San Jose has one win in its last five games. Over that span they have lost to both Edmonton and Calgary. Over their last seven games, the Sharks have scored two goals or less six times. In San Jose’s last game against Philadelphia, they allowed four, third period goals in a 5-2 loss and managed just 22 shots on net the entire game. Indeed the Sharks figure to break out of this funk at some point but with a slew of key injuries and with the Olympic break beginning on Sunday, it appears as though the Sharks are just trying to hold things together until after the break and they’re not doing a very good job of it. Dallas on the other hand is confident and very capable of pulling this upset.

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Calgary +156 over N.Y. ISLANDERS

Regulation only. Despite the Islanders losing five of six games, we mentioned that we like what we've seen from them recently and that still holds true. However, the Isles have much more appeal as a pup than they do as a big favorite. It’s safe to say that the Islanders, with their 12-16 home record and inability to win consistently, are a huge risk at this price. Indeed, the Islanders are capable of big upsets but they are also capable of losing to anyone, as their current 0-9 run against teams below .400 would attest to. It’s also worth noting that the Islanders are on a current 0-5 run playing on one days’ rest and that applies here.

 

The Flames don’t have many victories but what they do have is a chip on their shoulders and an outstanding work ethic. They have the fewest players in the NHL (1 skater and 1 goaltender) going to the Olympics. They have been taking abuse locally for years because of bad management and a poor product on the ice but these players deserve credit for having none of that. Calgary comes to play every night. They’re coming off a 2-0 loss in Montreal but could have just as easily won that game, 2-0. Prior to that, Calgary had won five straight and scored four goals or more in all of them against Phoenix, Nashville, Chicago, Minnesota and San Jose. Scoring four or more in succession against every team in that group may not be accomplished again this season by anyone. Contrary to public belief, the Flames are not an easy out and haven’t been for weeks. Calgary is so much more appealing as a big dog than the Islanders are as a big favorite and let’s also not ignore the West versus East angle. Overlay.

 

 

Detroit -½ +154 over FLORIDA

Regulation only. No question that the Florida Panthers are one of the most undervalued squads in the NHL. In fact, Florida’s 35-21 record against the spread when taking back 1½-pucks or spotting 1½-pucks when they are favored is one of the NHL’s best ATS marks. However, this is a strong situational spot against them. The Panthers returned home on Tuesday from a four-game trip and promptly defeated the Maple Leafs 4-1 in a game they dominated throughout. Seven of the Panthers past nine games have been on the road and the two games that they did play at home over that span were not in succession, making the game against the Maple Leafs the ninth straight game in which they had to travel to play their next opponent. They were not flat against Toronto and if teams aren’t flat in the first game back they are often flat in the second game back. Furthermore, prior to the Panthers 4-1 victory over Toronto, they were tagged for 20 goals against in its previous four games with four goals or more allowed in all of them. That should come as no surprise, as Tim Thomas doesn’t stop pucks; instead the pucks hit him from time to time. Thomas plays an unorthodox style that was popular in the 70’s and 80’s. He’s constantly flopping around or lying on his back trying to stop pucks. He’s NOT an NHL caliber goaltender and teams with sharp-shooters have a great chance to bury a bunch of pucks behind him every time he’s in net. He’s the Panthers #1 goaltender by default but his days are numbered as an NHL goalie and nobody is in line to grab him.

 

The Red Wings talent pool is sick. They are thought of by many as being a rebuilding team with older players but nothing could be further from the truth. The Red Wings may have more talent on their roster than any team in the NHL and they’re a good defenseman away from being a Cup contender this season. They also need better goaltending from Jimmy Howard, who is having an off year but if Howard plays well, the Red Wings are a potential freight train. Forget that Pavel Datsyuk returns tonight and is reunited with point-per-game skill-monster Henrik Zetterberg. Forget that Pavel Datsyuk is pretty universally revered around the NHL for a reason. He scores some of the slickest goals while winning defensive player of the year awards. Aside from that pair, not to mention Daniel Alfredsson, the Red Wings have elite talent in spades. Riley Sheahan, Gustav Nyquist, Justin Abdelkader, Luke Glendening, Tomas Tatar, Tomas Jurco, Darren Helm and Danny DeKeyser may not be household names but these extremely talented players have been groomed to thrive in the Red Wings way. When the Red Wings don’t score four or more goals it’s usually because they’ve run into a hot goaltender. Detroit is still fighting for a playoff spot and they need wins to secure it. With just 26 games remaining, every game is crucial and with a huge edge in net, a huge edge offensively and in a better situational spot, we’ll gladly take our chances with this potential juggernaut.

 

Winnipeg +121 over WASHINGTON

Regulation only. The Jets are right back in the playoff picture and could leapfrog over Vancouver tonight for eighth spot in the West with a win here and a Canucks loss in Montreal. It didn’t seem possible that the Jets would be in this position less than a month ago after they had lost their fifth straight game and were in free-fall mode. What Paul Maurice has done to rejuvenate this squad is remarkable. The Jets have won nine off 11 games since Maurice too over and both their losses were by a single goal. The Jets could conceivably be on a 13-game winning streak. Nonetheless, Winnipeg is a fired up squad that can’t wait to get back on the ice. As a pooch against one of the NHL’s three worst teams, the Jets offer up nothing but value in this one.

 

We’ve been suggesting all season that the Capitals are a nothing team. Their two best players, Nicklas Backstrom and Alexander Ovechkin are both headed off to compete in the Olympics and it’s safe to assume that it can’t get here soon enough for these two because of the frustration of having to play for such a garbage club with so few talented players. Imagine the anticipation, especially for A.O., of playing for their respective countries with a bunch of all-stars. It may surprise you to learn that not only have the Caps had the easiest strength of schedule in the NHL, but that they have just 13 regulation wins this season in 57 games. If not for OT, the Washington Capitals might have the least amount of points in the entire league and it’s for that reason, among others that they remain high on our fade list. The team that wants it more, has superior talent and that is in a better frame of mind is all the incentive we need to pull the trigger on this live dog.

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The Red Wings may have more talent on their roster than any team in the NHL and they’re a good defenseman away from being a Cup contender this season. They also need better goaltending from Jimmy Howard

 

 

 

Lol, sorry but I keep reading that over and over and it just makes me chuckle.

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No worries iBeav. Everyone is entitled to an opinion and I got that same response when I picked the Kings to win the Cup as an 8-seed in the West in 2012 and when I picked the Florida Marlins to win the World Series at 150-1 back in 2003.

 

Documented.

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PHOENIX +124 over Chicago

Regulation only. Chicago has won the last five meetings played in Phoenix and they’ve also defeated the Coyotes both times they’ve met this season while scoring 10 goals in the two games. Under normal circumstances we wouldn’t go anywhere near this game but in terms of situational betting, the Coyotes have plenty of appeal taking back a tag. Chicago is coming off successive games in Vancouver, San Jose, Anaheim and Los Angeles. If the Blackhawks intent was to send a message to that group they did so in spades by picking up seven out of a possible eight points. This is a breather spot for the Blackhawks with no scores whatsoever to settle with the Coyotes. Additionally, Chicago has played seven of its last eight on the road with only game at home coming back on January 26 against Winnipeg. This now becomes the ninth straight game in which the Blackhawks have had to board a plane to get to their next destination. Fatigue combined with disinterest is a distinct possibility for the Blackhawks here. Disinterest because this is Chicago’s last game before the break after defeating Los Angeles and Anaheim and because the Blackhawks roster has 10 players selected to represent their respective countries in the Olympics and that’s a big deal for every individual (the Coyotes play again tomorrow and have just four players going to the Olympics).

 

Phoenix is more than capable of coming up big, as they did last Saturday in a near flawless performance against Pittsburgh. With a big situational advantage against a team that is easy to get jacked up for and that figures to be running on fumes, the Coyotes offer up all the value in this one.

 

Columbus +174 over SAN JOSE

The Jackets are simply playing too well to ignore at this generous price. Columbus has picked up a seven out of a possible eight points over their last four games with only lost point over that span occurring in OT last night in L.A. The Jackets have outscored their past four opponents by a count of 14-7 and have not surrendered more than two goals in any of those games. They’ve also won 11 of their past 15 games. In the second game of back-to-backs this season, the Jackets are an impressive 7-3.

 

The Sharks are not playing as well as the Jackets. San Jose is coming off a 2-1 OT victory over Dallas but it was the goaltending of Alex Stalock that salvaged that game. When fading the Sharks, we much prefer Antti Niemi in net because he’s an average goaltender. The Sharkies have gone seven straight games without a regulation win. Over that span they have three OT victories and four losses, which include a 4-1 loss to Calgary, a 3-0 loss to Edmonton and a 5-2 loss to Philly. San Jose has scored two goals or less in six straight and two goals or less in regulation in eight straight. In terms of value, the Jackets are grossly underpriced here and with at least a 50% chance of emerging victorious against this suddenly struggling offense, they are absolutely worth a wager.

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I really like your analysis and your way of betting. Been on a huge tear in last 8 days going 21-10.

 

Sports betting is best done with situational betting where teams get the right team at the right time. I hate playing 60 min lines because so many game go into ot especially last couple of years or so it seems.

 

Been riding the Leafs under last 2 and Vancouver over. Look for La kings to start going over after the olympic break. They have only gone over 5 goals 4 times in last 25 games which can't last.

 

Look forward to adding some info on here for you in the future.

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