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Help Keep Me From Giving Up Poker


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Hello all I know that not to many people will care but I do so I am going to complain.I have been on a terrible run lately.I think I have lost every coin flip in about three weeks.Even when I get in with the best hand and way ahead people catch runner runner.I know that I am not a good poker player I am just I bad player that gets on a heater once in awhile.So with that said hopefully I have not made myself look like to much of a fool.I guess I will keep donking off money and hopefully will not go broke or get to mad and take money out and not play again. Comments welcome so let it begin

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Hello all I know that not to many people will care but I do so I am going to complain.I have been on a terrible run lately.I think I have lost every coin flip in about three weeks.Even when I get in with the best hand and way ahead people catch runner runner.I know that I am not a good poker player I am just I bad player that gets on a heater once in awhile.So with that said hopefully I have not made myself look like to much of a fool.I guess I will keep donking off money and hopefully will not go broke or get to mad and take money out and not play again. Comments welcome so let it begin
Have you seen the stuff I have been posting in the Strat section??? I feel your pain, because I am right there with ya!!! 6 weeks ago I was on a heater and for me I was killing the $3 rebuys, $10 DONs and $6.50 18 mans. Now, my sharkscope looks like a rollercoaster. I spent 11 hours last saturday stuck to my computer. I have tried going to Full Tilt, and did good there for the first week, then the past few days same results. I started posting alot of hands in the strats where I thought I was being drawn out on, but come to find out alot of times, I wasn't in as good as I thought I was. I have done alot of learning and in one hand feel better, but it is still frustrating not being able to get results. My current game plan is to take it easy, play only 1-2 tables at a time and really concentrate, and try to mentally feel better. When you have a negative attitude and start calling for the bad beat on a all-in flip and getting it, it really does not help out mentally. In the past at casinos, I generally will just go for a walk for bit to take my mind off of the guy that stuck his hand in the crap table to place a $5 field bet and let the dice hit him and have a 7 come up. Makes you want to whip his ass when he tries to make $5 and kills a good roll, and flushes your $300+ place bets/line bets down the drain. Talk a walk, deep breath, go get a massage and come back refreshed.Poker is still a form of gambling, and sometimes the Gods seem to frown upon us, and smile on the idiots. BUT if we keep are heads on straight, learn from mistakes, and not go BR crazy, and try to get a more positive attitude we should come out of the slump alot stronger.At least that is what I am telling myself right now. Hopefully ...........
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Yeah...hopefully the cards turn around sooner than later. Sometimes taking that little while away from the table, helps out in the long run. I feel your pain at the moment....was running REAL bad on Tilt, took a month off (played Stars, etc.) and have come back only to lose 9 days in a row......not good for the melon.. :club: BUT...one day, it will turn....they can't run you down everytime...can they?

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Also maybe you should stop blaming the cards and evaluate your own play!
I did evaluate my play that is how I came up with that I am a bad player who just gets on a heater once in awhile.LOLBut when you are a bad player like myself .All I can do is get in with the best and hope for the best.When you do this numerous times and get sucked out on it starts to wear on you.So that is the only reason for the post. Best of luck to all
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Using this program http://www.pokervariancesimulator.fr/You should discover two things that while seem obvious, need to be spelled out for some people.Over a 100k hand sample, this player could of made between $900 or $5500 e3DK8acmebx6PkVjMVWE.png1.If you are not a big winning player then you are not being to have a smooth ride to Dollar signs. It will be a long road with a lot of variance. A 1bb/100 winner could over a 100k hand sample could just as easily lose $550 as win $2500. PAUT7tz2NnJJCEiqb4IU.png2.If you don't put in the hands, it doesn't matter how much of a killer poker player you are, variance can have its way with you. rfpwKNAtn6RhvIo5Gz7q.pngThere is no magic bullet for poker. It requires a lot of work to just become a winning player. Then it requires alot of time to put in the hands needed for you to realise that win rate. If this doesn't sound like fun or if you are not prepared to commit to the amount of work required then I think quieting poker is the best thing for you.

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]There is no magic bullet for poker. It requires a lot of work to just become a winning player. Then it requires alot of time to put in the hands needed for you to realise that win rate. If this doesn't sound like fun or if you are not prepared to commit to the amount of work required then I think quieting poker is the best thing for you.
hush, poker ... just hush.And yeah ... it's a stupid stupid game.
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Using this program http://www.pokervariancesimulator.fr/You should discover two things that while seem obvious, need to be spelled out for some people.Over a 100k hand sample, this player could of made between $900 or $5500 e3DK8acmebx6PkVjMVWE.png1.If you are not a big winning player then you are not being to have a smooth ride to Dollar signs. It will be a long road with a lot of variance. A 1bb/100 winner could over a 100k hand sample could just as easily lose $550 as win $2500. PAUT7tz2NnJJCEiqb4IU.png2.If you don't put in the hands, it doesn't matter how much of a killer poker player you are, variance can have its way with you. rfpwKNAtn6RhvIo5Gz7q.pngThere is no magic bullet for poker. It requires a lot of work to just become a winning player. Then it requires alot of time to put in the hands needed for you to realise that win rate. If this doesn't sound like fun or if you are not prepared to commit to the amount of work required then I think quieting poker is the best thing for you.
Why is SD ($/100 hand) set at 27?
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Why is SD ($/100 hand) set at 27?
Im pretty sure that is Standard Deviation $/100 hands, which i haven't seen in $/100. i have seen it in bb or BB/100. Also 27 is actually a really low SD #. according to HEM my SD bb/100 at full ring over 130k hands is 62. The bigger the number the crazier the swings you can go through over the same sample of hands.Like my HU SD bb/100 over 200k hands is close 110.
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Why is SD ($/100 hand) set at 27?
It's the standard deviation - it measures the amount of variance in a given number of hands. For the technical details, see Wikipedia. In non-technical terms, an SD of $27/100 roughly means that the difference between your actual results and your expected results over 100 hands will on average be something like $27. That is, if you expect to win $10 over 100 hands and have an SD of $27/100, you may very well win $37 or lose $17, but it's unlikely that you will win or lose $100.Of course, the variance is very dependent on your style of play, and on the game you play. This site lists some numbers for different games, though I have no idea how accurate they are - everyone should really just calculate their own numbers. (I believe HEM has a function for this. Edit: and indeed it does - see Drew's post above.) Anyway, assuming that site is not too far off, then 27bb (big blinds, so 13.5 big bets) seems reasonable for limit hold'em. For NLHE, the standard deviation would even be two to three times as large.
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Sparco, how does HEM calculate SD? you said everyone should calculate their own numbers, how would I go about doing that?
Well, I don't have HEM, so I don't know how to do it in that program, but to do it by hand you would do the following:1) Make a table (in Excel, for example) of your winnings/losses in each individual hand.Example: you have played 6 hands, and won ($0, $0, $15, $0, -$1, -$2) in them. Here, negative numbers are losses, and positive numbers are winnings. Of course, you should really take a much larger sample than only 6 hands.2) Calculate your average winnings/losses by adding all results and dividing by the number of hands.Example: ($0+$0+$15+$0-$1-$2)/6 = $12/6 = $2.3) Make a table of the differences of your results with this average result. That is, subtract the average from each entry in the above table.Example: (-$2, -$2, $13, -$2, -$3, -$4)4) Take the square of every number in the table.Example: (4, 4, 169, 4, 9, 16)(Footnote: I leave out the dollar sign here since the square of an amount in dollars is not really an amount in dollars. Doesn't really matter, though.)5) Add up all these squares.Example: 4+4+169+4+9+16=2066) Divide by the number of handsExample: 206/6 = 34.33(Footnote: there are different definitions of SD; in some of them you would divide by the number of hands minus one. If your sample size is large enough, this hardly makes a difference for the end result.)7) Take the square root.Example: SQRT(34.33) = $5.859(Footnote: here, we can write the dollar sign again because we took the square root. Once again, that doesn't matter a lot.)8) This result is your standard deviation per hand. Some math shows that the standard deviation scales with the square root of the number of hands. In practice, this means that to get the SD per 100 hands, we need to multiply this number by 10.Example: 10 x $5.859 = $58.59Of course, doing all of this by hand for 10k hands is very tedious, but it's not too hard to make an Excel spreadsheet to do the calculational work for you. And if you're even smarter, you could probably find a way to input your results in that automatically. Or just use HEM, of course. :club:
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