Babying 613 Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 I don't really believe any of these guys are truly making money, but for example, tonight Ill be bored and home, so will want to bet on a game just for kicks. There was some guy on twitter a while back sending out womens tennis plays, and I naturally figured he was completely full of sh*t! But I ran with it for a little while and did pretty well, so you never know I guess! That is why we should do one ourselves. Link to post Share on other sites
Dubey 1,035 Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 If you guys are going to follow someone, why not Stuckey? (@stuckey2) - well, I'm assuming he is still posting, but there are a few guys like him out there with extremely transparent plays and records that I would guess are longer and more profitable than this guy. It's not a challenge or anything, I'm really just curious. never heard of him. Does he do NHL picks? I'm mostly interested in just betting on NHL games right now. It's helping keep hockey interesting for me beyond Dev's games. Pizzola's NHL model seems to be profitable. He is completely transparant with his picks and results, though the track record is not very long so he could just be running at a positive variance. Link to post Share on other sites
gruven 530 Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 never heard of him. Does he do NHL picks? I'm mostly interested in just betting on NHL games right now. It's helping keep hockey interesting for me beyond Dev's games. Pizzola's NHL model seems to be profitable. He is completely transparant with his picks and results, though the track record is not very long so he could just be running at a positive variance. Question for you Dave: Do you bet Dev's games? I don't bet leaf games because of the potential conflict of inside info, and not wanting to get friends in trouble. Link to post Share on other sites
Dubey 1,035 Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Question for you Dave: Do you bet Dev's games? I don't bet leaf games because of the potential conflict of inside info, and not wanting to get friends in trouble. I did bet his game yesterday, that's the first time I've done it. I can't really see it ever being an issue for me or him unless I was betting a considerably larger amount. Link to post Share on other sites
gruven 530 Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 I did bet his game yesterday, that's the first time I've done it. I can't really see it ever being an issue for me or him unless I was betting a considerably larger amount. I completely agree, I just err on the side of caution. If it was ever an issue, NHL security would let it be known very quietly. For me it's really more of an optics thing, since I have at least a small public profile. Link to post Share on other sites
Dubey 1,035 Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 I completely agree, I just err on the side of caution. If it was ever an issue, NHL security would let it be known very quietly. For me it's really more of an optics thing, since I have at least a small public profile. yeah that makes sense. I have no public profile, and if anyone questioned me on it (I can't even imagine how this would come up), I'd just point to Pizzola, as I am following his picks exactly, right down to the betting unit amount. But again, I can't imagine me betting $14 (lol) on the Wild is ever going to be questioned by anyone. Link to post Share on other sites
mrdannyg 274 Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 I don't really believe any of these guys are truly making money, but for example, tonight Ill be bored and home, so will want to bet on a game just for kicks. There was some guy on twitter a while back sending out womens tennis plays, and I naturally figured he was completely full of sh*t! But I ran with it for a little while and did pretty well, so you never know I guess! baha, that guy sounds like a weirdo. never heard of him. Does he do NHL picks? I'm mostly interested in just betting on NHL games right now. It's helping keep hockey interesting for me beyond Dev's games. Pizzola's NHL model seems to be profitable. He is completely transparant with his picks and results, though the track record is not very long so he could just be running at a positive variance. He does all sports, though NHL is his favourite. During the season, he'll have at least a few a night. He is pretty much the perfect guy to follow - unbelievably transparent and conservative with record-keeping, his record goes back well over 10 years when he did it on the Covers forums. He's funny and will usually give some reasoning behind picks too. He takes both his betting and the fact that he knows a ton of people follow his bets very seriously. I tend to agree with Arp that people don't really make money - I can't think of more than 2-3 people that I have seen/followed in my gambling days that I would be confident in telling others that they won money at it, but he is one of them. I completely agree, I just err on the side of caution. If it was ever an issue, NHL security would let it be known very quietly. For me it's really more of an optics thing, since I have at least a small public profile. Umm Dave is like 7 foot 4, I think he has a public profile too. Link to post Share on other sites
mrdannyg 274 Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 double post, so I'll take the time to point out something that Dubey already knows. Based on a quick eyeball, Devan Dubnyk is 4-0 this year against Edmonton, with a 1.00 GAA and a .967 save percentage. That's good, right? 1 Link to post Share on other sites
wsox8 10 Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 baha, that guy sounds like a weirdo. He does all sports, though NHL is his favourite. During the season, he'll have at least a few a night. He is pretty much the perfect guy to follow - unbelievably transparent and conservative with record-keeping, his record goes back well over 10 years when he did it on the Covers forums. He's funny and will usually give some reasoning behind picks too. He takes both his betting and the fact that he knows a ton of people follow his bets very seriously. I tend to agree with Arp that people don't really make money - I can't think of more than 2-3 people that I have seen/followed in my gambling days that I would be confident in telling others that they won money at it, but he is one of them. Umm Dave is like 7 foot 4, I think he has a public profile too. I used to follow stuckey but he tweeted way too often, most of the tweets were pointless, he liked to whine a lot, and at least in cbb last year he was really bad. Link to post Share on other sites
serge 904 Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Bet Greaseballs picks. He makes money. And it's documented Link to post Share on other sites
serge 904 Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 I completely agree, I just err on the side of caution. If it was ever an issue, NHL security would let it be known very quietly. For me it's really more of an optics thing, since I have at least a small public profile. Shouldn't the Steelheads be first in division winning Ahl championships , do to this inside knowledge. ?? Link to post Share on other sites
Ottawa_Biatch 288 Posted February 2, 2015 Author Share Posted February 2, 2015 Shouldn't the Steelheads be first in division winning Ahl championships , do to this inside knowledge. ?? I think you are aiming too high. Shouldn't the steelheads be at least making the playoffs with all this valuable inside information? Lol 1 Link to post Share on other sites
gruven 530 Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Shouldn't the Steelheads be first in division winning Ahl championships , do to this inside knowledge. ?? Wow, nice shot. Of course, you're entitled, since you are so unaccustomed to winning at anything. Ever. Link to post Share on other sites
serge 904 Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 Wow, nice shot. Of course, you're entitled, since you are so unaccustomed to winning at anything. Ever. Lol ok Link to post Share on other sites
mrdannyg 274 Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 I used to follow stuckey but he tweeted way too often, most of the tweets were pointless, he liked to whine a lot, and at least in cbb last year he was really bad. Yeah I used to unfollow during college basketball because the volume was impossible to keep up with Link to post Share on other sites
Dubey 1,035 Posted February 2, 2015 Share Posted February 2, 2015 plays tonight: $30 on Florida @ +188 (suggested bet unit would be 24 at current odds of +171, I got in earlier when the odds were better) $24 on Edmonton @ +252 (puke) $12 on Winnipeg @ -110 Link to post Share on other sites
Babying 613 Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 Here is one guy to follow: @themoneylineguy Documents his picks. He is pretty brutal in NHL because he goes for the dogs all the time but he has been lethal in NBA. @CH_Ballers This is a group of 4 guys who won the Las Vegas Supercontest. I think they were hitting over 75% . and there is always me: @cgarning Link to post Share on other sites
Dubey 1,035 Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 plays tonight: $30 on Florida @ +188 (suggested bet unit would be 24 at current odds of +171, I got in earlier when the odds were better) $24 on Edmonton @ +252 (puke) $12 on Winnipeg @ -110 Finally won a shootout. Oilers tried to oiler this one, but somehow pull out a win in a 13 round shootout to turn a medium loss into a small profit for the day Link to post Share on other sites
serge 904 Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 Finally won a shootout. Oilers tried to oiler this one, but somehow pull out a win in a 13 round shootout to turn a medium loss into a small profit for the day Congrats..I was rooting for you on that one... One thing with these systems is you have to bet EVERY game..As hard as it was for you betting Oilers, good job sticking to it...I have the same issue when I have to bet against the Leafs( I just dont) or have to bet on the Habs, its nasty... Keep posting... Link to post Share on other sites
Dubey 1,035 Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 $30 on Florida @ +188 LOSE $30 $24 on Edmonton @ +252 WIN $60.48 $12 on Winnipeg @ -110 LOSE $12 TOTAL: WIN $18.48 totals since I started (NHL only): 22 bets 6 wins 16 losses total: LOSS $31.74 not terrible, considering I picked the worst possible time to start betting, weathered two of the worst days of the model since he started tracking it. 1 more of those 2 sutouts losses where I had pretty big bets on the underdog, and I'd be a decent winnter so far. Link to post Share on other sites
mrdannyg 274 Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 not terrible, considering I picked the worst possible time to start betting, heh, i'm being nitpicky, but I'm going to go ahead and guess that the model has had downswings worse than 5 or so units... Link to post Share on other sites
serge 904 Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 heh, i'm being nitpicky, but I'm going to go ahead and guess that the model has had downswings worse than 5 or so units... wouldnt any model of betting though Link to post Share on other sites
mrdannyg 274 Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 wouldnt any model of betting though absolutely! that was my point - any model would have much bigger downswings than 5-10 units (though it would be random whether they lost 10 bets in a row, or had a more gradual drop). Link to post Share on other sites
serge 904 Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 absolutely! that was my point - any model would have much bigger downswings than 5-10 units (though it would be random whether they lost 10 bets in a row, or had a more gradual drop). Bang on.. Thats the one trouble I have betting systems, and models...I dont bet every game and time it wrong.. The numbers with Brian's website is solid: He is up 36.37 units in NHL this year. He was up 37 units in 2014 He had even years in 2013 and 2012 losing 3 and 2 units each year. 2011 plus 25 units 2010 plus 60 units. MLB 2014 up 55 units 2013 up 63 units Seems easy to make money.. But we never follow them to the T My buddy from the East coast was doing amazing in tennis bets..But I couldnt keep up Link to post Share on other sites
Dubey 1,035 Posted February 3, 2015 Share Posted February 3, 2015 heh, i'm being nitpicky, but I'm going to go ahead and guess that the model has had downswings worse than 5 or so units... disclaimer. He's only been tracking since december 18th, so let's say.. 45ish days. looks like I picked the 2nd worst day out of the 45 day sample to start betting. https://twitter.com/robpizzola/status/562653408231165952 Link to post Share on other sites
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