antistuff 0 Posted December 26, 2008 Share Posted December 26, 2008 does he have a gun? is there anybody else there?too good to pass but im gonna have to shoot some angles here. Link to post Share on other sites
antistuff 0 Posted December 26, 2008 Share Posted December 26, 2008 Im not sure why you assume I have a bad life just b.c. im willing to take this bet. I think this bet is the same as driving for a day without wearing your seatbelt. 99% of the time nothing is going to happen. But that 1% of the time something does, you could get seriously injuried or die as a result of not wearing your seatbelt. And this is something people do all the time, and get nothing for doing it. I guess Im just not a life nitlol you're probably right about the odds.then again ive gotten beat with quads by a straight flush more than once. im pretty sure at least one of them was runner-runner.the moral here might be to start taking trains. Link to post Share on other sites
Ex_Matt 0 Posted December 26, 2008 Share Posted December 26, 2008 I'd gamble it on a Pair of Jacks. Link to post Share on other sites
RDog 0 Posted December 26, 2008 Share Posted December 26, 2008 I'm with Ray. Link to post Share on other sites
albasuna 0 Posted December 26, 2008 Share Posted December 26, 2008 it'd suck if you didnt take the bet and then caught a fatal sickness, and then you found out that the sickness could be cured for 250k. Link to post Share on other sites
HighwayStar 8 Posted December 26, 2008 Share Posted December 26, 2008 it'd suck if you didnt take the bet and then caught a fatal sickness, and then you found out that the sickness could be cured for 250k.That would be r-i-d-i-c-u-l-o-u-s! Link to post Share on other sites
Ship_itt 0 Posted December 26, 2008 Share Posted December 26, 2008 Money isn't everything. I wouldn't risk it for $100 billion dollars.lie Link to post Share on other sites
FizzbinPro 0 Posted December 27, 2008 Share Posted December 27, 2008 That would be r-i-d-i-c-u-l-o-u-s!Well done. Link to post Share on other sites
WhatArunAA 0 Posted December 27, 2008 Share Posted December 27, 2008 Yea I would do it for a 1.3 million. Link to post Share on other sites
Jam-Fly 8 Posted December 27, 2008 Share Posted December 27, 2008 http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showflat.p...ue#Post12806974There's a guy pointing a gun at your head. He has a suitcase with $10m in it. He offers you to pick a number from 1 to 50. You then have to write it down. He then has one attempt at guessing that number. If he guesses right, he pulls the trigger. If not, he hands you a suitcase with $10m and you walk away unscathed. You do not have to pick a number. You can leave immediately instead. Do you gamble with your life? If yes, at what point would your answer become a no (i.e. pick a number from 1-40, or 1-25, or 1-10.If no, at what point would you take the gamble? (1-100, 1-1,000, etc) Link to post Share on other sites
SlapStick 0 Posted December 27, 2008 Share Posted December 27, 2008 So, 49 times you win 10M, and 1 time you lose life.0 = 49(10M) + 1(-X)X = $490,000,000.If you value your life at more than $490M, it's a -EV gamble. Personally, I thought for a while if I value my life at more than 490M$. Furthermore I think the varience in this game is too high for me to be comfortable, even if I value my life at less than that, and I walk away.Same situation, with 5000 #s, and 100K in suitcase, is less varience but still not good enough for me IMO. So I guess I value my life higher than that. If you make the #s 10x (i.e. make required value life to breakeven around $5B) I might reconsider).this was good Link to post Share on other sites
Zach6668 513 Posted December 30, 2008 Share Posted December 30, 2008 This depends entirely on whether you've had someone runner-runnered a royal on you recently or not. Link to post Share on other sites
TB17 0 Posted December 30, 2008 Share Posted December 30, 2008 lol of course ray would do it for a milly he doesnt lose coinflips much less 99% favs Link to post Share on other sites
El Guapo 8 Posted December 30, 2008 Share Posted December 30, 2008 LQTM Link to post Share on other sites
wsox8 10 Posted December 30, 2008 Share Posted December 30, 2008 I would do it for this Link to post Share on other sites
Zach6668 513 Posted December 31, 2008 Share Posted December 31, 2008 This depends entirely on whether you've had someone runner-runnered a royal on you recently or not.Good point. Link to post Share on other sites
seacucumber 2 Posted December 31, 2008 Share Posted December 31, 2008 I think if I had a lot (family, a house, and a steady source of income) then for sure I don't risk it for any amount. But as it is, I'm single, with no house, and not a ton of money, and 200k would go a long ways in my life. And if I happen to get crushed on a 2000-1 shot and lose my life, no big deal.Probably not as long as you think if you keep on ballin' at Sapphire Link to post Share on other sites
Potsie P 0 Posted December 31, 2008 Share Posted December 31, 2008 I'm surprised no one has factored in the -EV of dry cleaning the poo stains from your pants on the 2/45 chance that one of your scare cards hits on the turn, as well. That's the deal breaker for me. Link to post Share on other sites
profxavier9 0 Posted December 31, 2008 Share Posted December 31, 2008 single = snap callmarried = crying fold, resentment towards wife and kids forever. Link to post Share on other sites
Zach6668 513 Posted December 31, 2008 Share Posted December 31, 2008 single = snap callmarried = crying fold, resentment towards wife and kids forever.See, I would assume the opposite here. Link to post Share on other sites
profxavier9 0 Posted December 31, 2008 Share Posted December 31, 2008 See, I would assume the opposite here.I guess it depends on your marriage good point Link to post Share on other sites
TraptSteve 0 Posted December 31, 2008 Share Posted December 31, 2008 http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showflat.p...ue#Post12806974There's a guy pointing a gun at your head. He has a suitcase with $10m in it. He offers you to pick a number from 1 to 50. You then have to write it down. He then has one attempt at guessing that number. If he guesses right, he pulls the trigger. If not, he hands you a suitcase with $10m and you walk away unscathed. You do not have to pick a number. You can leave immediately instead. Do you gamble with your life? If yes, at what point would your answer become a no (i.e. pick a number from 1-40, or 1-25, or 1-10.If no, at what point would you take the gamble? (1-100, 1-1,000, etc)Where would this take place? Your number could be read at a distance from a trained-eye, and the instrument used could be possibly relay your answer to a conspiring person.Lets talk about the gun, is there someway to prove he won't shoot anyway... you'd have to question to motives of the person presenting you this offer. A revolver loaded w/ one bullet would be the only "safe" option.IMO, I'd decline this bet at any level, but offer a HU4roll/life Rock-Paper-Scissors alternative. Money in teh BANK Link to post Share on other sites
Nashtak 0 Posted December 31, 2008 Share Posted December 31, 2008 Money isn't everything. I wouldn't risk it for $100 billion dollars.Ok and how much time do you spend risking your life working (including transportation)? In your whole career, what are the odds your survive through all you face that you wouldn't have to face if you were billionaire? Think about medical fees if you get a life-threatening illness, the quality of the food you eat with your actual salary, the time you spend working if you wouldn't need to work and could spend it on working out and staying in shape?The real question is; would you risk your life more in this deal or in your everyday life?Personally, i wouldn't take this deal mainly because i don't value money that much. If i was a die-hard capitalist minded person like many of us are, then i would take this deal right away. Link to post Share on other sites
TwstdWrstr 10 Posted December 31, 2008 Share Posted December 31, 2008 Happy Birthday! PuckSniper23 (Loveland) never gets old imo.Great minds think alike... Link to post Share on other sites
profxavier9 0 Posted December 31, 2008 Share Posted December 31, 2008 this type of thing has been discussed many times. At a certain point there is a number that is irresponsible and selfish to turn down. Link to post Share on other sites
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