riddeld 0 Posted June 16, 2008 Share Posted June 16, 2008 I understand, but why wouldn't he skip the PLO tourney and wait for the 10k LH?He had a predetermined schedule of events, and if he goes deep he misses other tournaments. He isnt 'gauranteed' in the limit tournament, although its his best game. I'm sure he would gladly pass it up to make the final table in this event. Link to post Share on other sites
KramitDaToad 0 Posted June 16, 2008 Share Posted June 16, 2008 I understand, but why wouldn't he skip the PLO tourney and wait for the 10k LH?There would be a number of reasonsHe probably has a slighty bigger edge in rebuys as he is willing to rebuy 'endlessly' Schedule of other events Side bet with Ivey Playing the PLO maximises his bracelet chances - he only misses the LHE if he is doing well in the PLO. If he just plays the LHE he misses the PLO regardless of how he does in the LHE He is no mug at PLO I'd say points #4 & #5 are the main reasons but the others would have a bearing too Link to post Share on other sites
grocery_mony 8 Posted June 16, 2008 Share Posted June 16, 2008 What a stacked FT. GL and TID. Please busst Hellmuth. Link to post Share on other sites
Incubus77546 0 Posted June 16, 2008 Share Posted June 16, 2008 Good luck Daniel, TID.Also if Daniel wins this tournament he will pass up Cunningham and Hachem and be 2nd in the All Time Tournament Money list, only under Jamie Gold. Link to post Share on other sites
nutzbuster 7 Posted June 16, 2008 Share Posted June 16, 2008 Anyone else thinks its a little odd that Daniel didn't focus on the $10,000 Limit Hold'em event?Considering that's his bread and butter game and got him 2 out of the 4 bracelets.lolFor those of you who want the complete rail experience Daniel just sent me this message on MSN.daniel says (9:14 AM):going to bed niteOnly at FCP can you get the behind the scenes access like this.Indeed. Bob am da man.What a comeback. Incredible.Win this Tiger D. Link to post Share on other sites
Kid DynOmite 0 Posted June 16, 2008 Share Posted June 16, 2008 He's gonna need quite a bit of luck to win this event... Normally I would say his odds of winning are around 15-20%, but because of the talent at this table, it's only like 7-10%. Link to post Share on other sites
TravisG 0 Posted June 16, 2008 Share Posted June 16, 2008 He's gonna need quite a bit of luck to win this event... Normally I would say his odds of winning are around 15-20%, but because of the talent at this table, it's only like 7-10%.yeah, phil galfond has more like 14.5% - 23.778% to win and all of the rest like 8.1% - 13.53%.also, does anyone know what the blinds will be at start? Link to post Share on other sites
CaneBrain 95 Posted June 16, 2008 Share Posted June 16, 2008 wow what a final table.sounds like Galfond can really play some PLO. DN seemed very complimentary of his play in general. Link to post Share on other sites
Pokerkid555 0 Posted June 16, 2008 Share Posted June 16, 2008 Wait, is this going to be taped for ESPN? Last years was and this years table is WAY MORE stacked, so it better ****ing be!!!!!!Also, is it on ESPN360, or what? LIKE DETAILS PLZTID DANIEL~! Link to post Share on other sites
KramitDaToad 0 Posted June 16, 2008 Share Posted June 16, 2008 yeah, phil galfond has more like 14.5% - 23.778% to win and all of the rest like 8.1% - 13.53%.also, does anyone know what the blinds will be at start? 19 8000 / 16000 Duration: 20 min. 20 10000 / 20000 Duration: 60 min. 21 12000 / 24000 Duration: 60 min. 22 15000 / 30000 Duration: 60 min. 23 20000 / 40000 Duration: 60 min. 24 25000 / 50000 Duration: 60 min. 25 30000 / 60000 Duration: 60 min. 26 40000 / 80000 Duration: 60 min. 27 50000 / 100000 Duration: 60 min. 28 60000 / 120000 Duration: 60 min. 20 mins left on current level, 10k/20k after that Link to post Share on other sites
gatortom64 1 Posted June 16, 2008 Share Posted June 16, 2008 QUOTE(xmykro @ Sunday, June 15th, 2008, 7:32 PM) Anyone know what he is up to?At this rate??? Bracelet #2!!!!!! Sticking with my prediction!!! Link to post Share on other sites
Suited_Up 2 Posted June 16, 2008 Share Posted June 16, 2008 Another FT already? What a gross man. GL DN! Link to post Share on other sites
Gonefishin55 0 Posted June 16, 2008 Share Posted June 16, 2008 Can we get a POY update? Can he take the lead with a win? Or maybe he already has. Just wondering if anyone knows. Link to post Share on other sites
dt1313 0 Posted June 16, 2008 Share Posted June 16, 2008 He's gonna need quite a bit of luck to win this event... Normally I would say his odds of winning are around 15-20%, but because of the talent at this table, it's only like 7-10%.lolMathematically isn't he 11% to win just by showing up to the final table ? No matter what in the end he's really 50% to win. Either he does or he doesn't :)Bob, that update right there is the reason I signed up for this forum. The insight/behind the scenes info just cannot be topped Dan Link to post Share on other sites
outsider13 0 Posted June 16, 2008 Share Posted June 16, 2008 Can we get a POY update? Can he take the lead with a win? Or maybe he already has. Just wondering if anyone knows.The up to date standings have him in 39th, so he'll need a good showing to move up to the top. If he wins, he'll definitely be at the top, but I'm not too sure how the points system works. If he's top 3, I'm sure he'd be close. Link to post Share on other sites
acesfull333 0 Posted June 16, 2008 Share Posted June 16, 2008 I took Father's Day off from railing on here...I'm glad DN didn't take the day off though!!What a pleasant surprise to login this morning and read about ANOTHER deep run by DN!!!Man, I wish I was there!!!! Link to post Share on other sites
FHgrad99 0 Posted June 16, 2008 Share Posted June 16, 2008 Making it two-for-two at final tables this year would be nice. Make it happen! Best of luck today/tonight. Link to post Share on other sites
Billionaire 0 Posted June 16, 2008 Share Posted June 16, 2008 anyone else think daniels play by just check calling quads was stupid? he said it was 100% the right play? i mean if the other dude has quad 7's chalk it up to a cooler but still try to get some more value out of your hands, then he flopped the nuts one hand and folded the flop? im so confused...playing too careful is not a good thing sometimes Link to post Share on other sites
Snamuh 0 Posted June 16, 2008 Share Posted June 16, 2008 lolMathematically isn't he 11% to win just by showing up to the final table ? No matter what in the end he's really 50% to win. Either he does or he doesn't :)Bob, that update right there is the reason I signed up for this forum. The insight/behind the scenes info just cannot be topped DanIf everyone had equal chips and equal skill level.That's like saying if Player A had 99% of the chips in play, and players B through I had a combined 1%, that each of those players would be 11% to win, and they definitely aren't.Edit: I know the second part of that paragraph was a level. But I'm not sure if the first part was. Link to post Share on other sites
OVERKILL 0 Posted June 16, 2008 Share Posted June 16, 2008 X 5 = POY (2X) Link to post Share on other sites
dt1313 0 Posted June 16, 2008 Share Posted June 16, 2008 If everyone had equal chips and equal skill level.That's like saying if Player A had 99% of the chips in play, and players B through I had a combined 1%, that each of those players would be 11% to win, and they definitely aren't.Edit: I know the second part of that paragraph was a level. But I'm not sure if the first part was.That whole paragraph was a level. I thought it was funny that the poster I was replying to could narrow DN's chances of winning to 7-10% so I replied with some "craziness" of my own. Thanks for making sure I understood what was going on though.Dan Link to post Share on other sites
dt1313 0 Posted June 16, 2008 Share Posted June 16, 2008 anyone else think daniels play by just check calling quads was stupid? he said it was 100% the right play? i mean if the other dude has quad 7's chalk it up to a cooler but still try to get some more value out of your hands, then he flopped the nuts one hand and folded the flop? im so confused...playing too careful is not a good thing sometimesStupid ? NoDid I think it was odd (as did others) = YesI really hope he posts some more info about that hand. I'm pretty sure it was because of the read he had on the particular player but it'd still be nice to have some insight into his thought process there.Dan Link to post Share on other sites
SlapStick 0 Posted June 16, 2008 Share Posted June 16, 2008 anyone else think daniels play by just check calling quads was stupid? he said it was 100% the right play? i mean if the other dude has quad 7's chalk it up to a cooler but still try to get some more value out of your hands, then he flopped the nuts one hand and folded the flop? im so confused...playing too careful is not a good thing sometimesOmaha-its called Omaha Link to post Share on other sites
myenemy 0 Posted June 16, 2008 Share Posted June 16, 2008 X 5 = POY (2X)Why are the points/earnings for POY on CP and WSOP.com different? Link to post Share on other sites
Billionaire 0 Posted June 16, 2008 Share Posted June 16, 2008 Omaha-its called Omahaso you are saying you would fold the nuts on the flop in omaha? please come play in my game Link to post Share on other sites
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