$33 Live Tourney

[AndyZ28 0]

I left IL in the beginning of January for vacation in San Diego. Hit up the Barona Resort/Casino. Played in their nightly tournament.Here's the hand.We're down to the last 2, me and another guy. He was pretty solid. Seemed pretty tight, but mostly passive. Never really saw him open up or take anything huge until we got down to 4 or 5 handed.Stacks-Me - 24,000~Other guy - 33,000~Blinds - $1000/2000I'm OTB with pocket 7s. I raise to $7,000. Villain is hesitant looking. Not the phony looking hesitant "I have a monster" look either. This looked genuine. He reluctantly calls.Flop: Q 3 4 rainbow.Villain checks to me, I bet $10,000. He moves all in almost immediately. Now surely, I'm confused at this point. Could he really be pulling that "I wanted to look weak, but move strong" bluff? His preflop action really did look genuine in that he had NOTHING. This is not a results based read, it's what I felt watching his every move and posturing. He was kind of slouched, very hesitant to enter the pot. Almost like he looked to be ashamed to be calling my raise. I had been a solid player the whole tournament. I've only shown down big hands, 95% of which won the pots involved in. So, he's likely to know that I'm not bluffing.What would you do here? Having used most of my stack already, is this just an automatic shove? Or do you fold and hope to come back in the next few hands with $7,000? Obviously I did not leave myself very much fold equity, maybe I should have bet $8,000 here instead?Payout difference was $450 for 1st and $285 for 2nd if that influences your decision, it influenced mine.

[gfdsa146 0]

I think knowing the blinds matters here. Was it $1k/$2k or 1500/3000?

[AndyZ28 0]

I think knowing the blinds matters here. Was it $1k/$2k or 1500/3000?

1/2k.

[muttern2k 0]

call

[donk4life 34]

You put yourself in a tough spot here..You got 24k.. Raise it to 7k.. I would have just shoved honestly.. You got 12 BB's left.. there's not much room to dance.. But.. I guess raising it to 4.5k wouldn't be awful either..On the flop.. You lead out for 10k.. leaving yourself 7k left? Don't do this.. Shove or check behind.. Unless he's a godawful player, he's not going to reshove for only 7k more with something that doesn't have you beat.. You can't fold here.. You got 3.5BBs left after the hand, you are going to have get very lucky to make a comeback..

[Metternich 0]

7k is way too much to raise preflop, either raise to 4.5k or shove. Situations like this I think you should pick one of those options and stick to it exclusively preflop to better disguise your hands, if you think you can outplay your opponent pick the 4.5, if not just shove with 12 BB.After you put 7k in I guess you should just shove or c/f the flop since your stack is barely larger than the pot. I guess it doesnt really matter either way, he has a Queen or he doesnt. You really messed up preflop, after that there's really not much you can do.

[gfdsa146 0]

I'd go with the 2.5xBB raise preflop and hope to get your opponent to fold post flop being that you read him as slightly passive. The pot would have been kept smaller and thus, your options could have been many more. As played, his shove coming over the top of you is equivalent to you shoving after he checks to you and him calling. I'm tempted to say call because you're so pot-commited, but I did the math. The math says that calling here would be a mistake. After he shoves, you're getting very slightly less than 6-to-1 on a call. 6 to 1 converted to % is ~14%. If he has you beat, you're drawing to two outs twice. Approximating your odds of winning the hand for the next couple of cards is as easy as follows: 2 x (number of cards to come) x (# of outs you got) %. I'm embarrased to say this, but I got this from Clonie Gowen . So your chance of winning this hand is 2 x (2 cards to come) x (2 sevens left in the deck) = 8%. If you call, it'd be a 14%-8%=6% mistake. I reluctantly would have to say...fold.Maybe the next hand he'll limp on the button /w 2-6 so you can shove and pick up an extra BB.

[AndyZ28 0]

Good replies. I did screw it up preflop. I ended up calling him, told him he didn't have a queen. His face was priceless after that. He showed 64os. He turned another 4 and I bricked the river.It was a great feeling to be right with my reads PF and post flop, though. I guess I made the big PF raise in hopes of taking a nice sized pot off of him, but it went against me. Being greedy doesn't work I guess.

[little punish 0]

Hey gfdsa...You did the math correctly. If he is beat, he is around 8-9%. But you have to consider the villain's range. It also includes a 4, a 3, or a SC bluff. That being said, he has to be best here around 16% of the time to be profitable. Given the Hero's "range", CALL. Messed it up p/f though. Just trying to set gfdsa straight.Moral of the story: Don't take advice from Clonie Gowen!