cwik 0 Posted July 11, 2007 Share Posted July 11, 2007 Villian is 45/26/3.50/46no real reads except i REALLY felt like the villain was on the flush draw. can I make this lay down?Full Tilt PokerNo Limit Holdem Ring gameBlinds: $2/$45 playersConverterStack sizes:UTG: $802CO: $406Button: $401.60Hero: $667.50BB: $135.50Pre-flop: (5 players) Hero is SB with T T UTG raises to $12, 2 folds, Hero calls, BB folds.Flop: T Q 3 ($28, 2 players)Hero checks, UTG bets $12, Hero raises to $32, UTG calls.Turn: 2 ($92, 2 players)Hero bets $65, UTG calls.River: 5 ($222, 2 players)Hero checks, UTG bets $150, Hero ??? Link to post Share on other sites
Acid_Knight 2 Posted July 11, 2007 Share Posted July 11, 2007 All I'm gonna say is that if you're really certain he was on a flush draw, then obviously check fold. Link to post Share on other sites
simo_8ball 1 Posted July 11, 2007 Share Posted July 11, 2007 I think I raise more on the flop. You're giving him 3.6:1 odds to call, which is easily enough with KJ/J9/FD. I'd bump it to somewhere around $50.Turn bet is good.If your read isn't good enough to check/fold, I prefer bet/folding.Given that you have checked, I think it's a fairly clear fold anyway. I can't see him value bluffing with KQ/AQ here, although I guess AA/KK are possibilities. Link to post Share on other sites
sabes99 0 Posted July 11, 2007 Share Posted July 11, 2007 i raise a little more on the flop, maybe to about $40if your read is that strong, then fold your hand...i know, i know, easier said then done Link to post Share on other sites
TB17 0 Posted July 11, 2007 Share Posted July 11, 2007 Since you are so deepstacked, might I suggest a bet/fold?You probably end up with the same information for the same price, if you bet 150 on the river and he pops you, you can only strengthen your read.Also if he has a hand like TOP TOPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPPP, he might pay you off, and if he has KJ and puts a move on you, well done for him? Link to post Share on other sites
cwik 0 Posted July 11, 2007 Author Share Posted July 11, 2007 All I'm gonna say is that if you're really certain he was on a flush draw, then obviously check fold.I am thinking flush draw is most likely as played by villain. But I suppose his range is bigger than that. Link to post Share on other sites
Merby 3 Posted July 11, 2007 Share Posted July 11, 2007 I am thinking flush draw is most likely as played by villain. But I suppose his range is bigger than that.With a post-flop AF of 3.5, villain is definitely capable of betting any scare card here. Since the flush is the most obvious draw, it is also the most obvious scare card. The villain might be floating ATC here....That doesn't mean that I pay him off... it just means that against him, this possibility is always in the back of my mind. I recommend watching him in other hands that develop similarly, but make it to showdown. What two cards does he roll over? A busted draw? A made flush? A disguised set/two pair? Complete air? Link to post Share on other sites
CobaltBlue 662 Posted July 11, 2007 Share Posted July 11, 2007 Call. We can't be sure he's not on a busted straight draw. If the river completed both draws, we could probably fold, but just one came through. I like check/calling here against an aggressive opponent (cause he'll probably bet with and without a flush). Link to post Share on other sites
Lavitz 0 Posted July 12, 2007 Share Posted July 12, 2007 I really like a bet/fold here. Villian checks behind a lot of hands we can extract some value from. Link to post Share on other sites
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now