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77, Checkraised Into All In


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PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t200 (8 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FCP)MP2 (t2120)CO (t1580)Button (t5560)SB (t7015)BB (t2410)UTG (t5385)UTG+1 (t1680)Hero (t3515)Preflop: Hero is MP1 with 7 :club: , 7 :D . 2 folds, Hero raises to t600, 4 folds, BB calls t400.Flop: (t1300) T :D , 2 :D , K :D(2 players)BB checks, Hero bets t600, BB raises to t1810, Hero ?No reads. Easy laydown? About 3 to 1 to call. Does the chance that he's bluffing justify a call?

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PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t200 (8 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FCP)MP2 (t2120)CO (t1580)Button (t5560)SB (t7015)BB (t2410)UTG (t5385)UTG+1 (t1680)Hero (t3515)Preflop: Hero is MP1 with 7 :club: , 7 :D . 2 folds, Hero raises to t600, 4 folds, BB calls t400.Flop: (t1300) T :D , 2 :D , K :D(2 players)BB checks, Hero bets t600, BB raises to t1810, Hero ?No reads. Easy laydown? About 3 to 1 to call. Does the chance that he's bluffing justify a call?
In general, if an opponent calls a preflop raise (and not re-raise), I tend to put him on something playable/decent. Your raise was 3xBB, so he was getting 2.25-1 to call the preflop raise...I'm guessing he has a decent hand and not some 10-3 junk.Since you have no reads, what type of hands would he have called a preflop raise with, being out of position for the rest of the hand and getting only 2.25-1? AK, AQ, AJs? Pair of 10s and up?Next look at the flop texture. K is a scare card and there are two hearts on board.Last - what would he check-raise with? If I were in that position, the only possible check-raise hands would be flopping a set, or a nut flush draw.The hands I think he's probably holding (in order) are:1) AQh or AJh in which case I think he's a 3-2 favourite.2) 10-10 in which case you are almost drawing dead. 3) AK.4) Maybe QJH, but I don't know if he would play that to a preflop raise. Maybe.I'm going to iron out KK or 22. I think KK, you might have seen a preflop re-raise. If not, post flop, I doubt he's go all-in. 22 seems too weak to call the preflop raise.What hands are you beating (that he might have called the preflop raise with)? 6-6, 5-5-, 4-4, 3-3? Those are very marginal hands that I'd doubt he'd play. Preflop. QJ? Another very marginal hand to the preflop raise. Very highly doubt it's a stone-cold bluff. Either way - easy laydown.
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In general, if an opponent calls a preflop raise (and not re-raise), I tend to put him on something playable/decent. Your raise was 3xBB, so he was getting 2.25-1 to call the preflop raise...I'm guessing he has a decent hand and not some 10-3 junk.Since you have no reads, what type of hands would he have called a preflop raise with, being out of position for the rest of the hand and getting only 2.25-1? AK, AQ, AJs? Pair of 10s and up?Next look at the flop texture. K is a scare card and there are two hearts on board.Last - what would he check-raise with? If I were in that position, the only possible check-raise hands would be flopping a set, or a nut flush draw.The hands I think he's probably holding (in order) are:1) AQh or AJh in which case I think he's a 3-2 favourite.2) 10-10 in which case you are almost drawing dead. 3) AK.4) Maybe QJH, but I don't know if he would play that to a preflop raise. Maybe.I'm going to iron out KK or 22. I think KK, you might have seen a preflop re-raise. If not, post flop, I doubt he's go all-in. 22 seems too weak to call the preflop raise.What hands are you beating (that he might have called the preflop raise with)? 6-6, 5-5-, 4-4, 3-3? Those are very marginal hands that I'd doubt he'd play. Preflop. QJ? Another very marginal hand to the preflop raise. Very highly doubt it's a stone-cold bluff. Either way - easy laydown.
It's a lay down, but not that easy. Your equity is close but you should fold.
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Another way you could look at it is you are playing this hand without reads. So....I am assuming....Villain is also. If he is gonna put his entire tournament on the line with a bluff that well-thought out than he has had to have seen you lay down to a check-raise on the flop in previous hands. I mean you showed strength PF and on the flop, so if it was a bluff he had to have some confidence in you laying your hand down if you hit anything (Such as if you raised with A10) except for top pair....top kicker. I don't think he was sophisticated enough of a player to make this move without knowing if you were capable of folding or not. The ONLY hand I make this semi-bluff with is probably AQh, AJh, or my favorite QJh. That would give me 17 outs if you hold a K (16 if you hold AK). The messed up part is if he did have that hand he has an additional 6 outs (3Q and 3J) to your lonely pair of 7's. That gives him a straight draw, flush draw and two overs. Even if he does make that move with exactly the QJh, he is actually a 71% favorite according to cardplayer. In retrospect, the hand I see him having more in this situation is K10 or a flopped set such as 1010 or 22. KK would have re-raised PF but, all three of the other hands warrant for the check-raise on the flop for all his money. He was probably hoping that you had AK or KQ and would call him so he could double up.Either way folding seems like the best option. You forget that YOU were somewhat on a move with the sevens when you bet the flop with two overs. You were just testing the waters. You found out the waters were treacherous so get out of the damn lake. Live to swim another day.

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