chgocubs99
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Posts posted by chgocubs99
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Right, I'm sure most teams just dominate the top 10 teams in the league.The Cavs should get themselves closer to .500 against the other teams so this number isn't so skewed.Apparently Lebron is the chosen one, because no one in the media is picking up on the obvious fact that Cleveland feasts on the bad teams, but doesn't do nearly as well against the good ones.Cleveland is only 11-8 versus the top 10 teams in the league.Worse, they are 2-6 versus the other 3 top teams.
:)Me too actuallylolI can't believe how bad Cleveland got rolled by the Magic, I was expecting a good game. -
Are there any best practices to get some back end finish other than "Keep your hand under the ball" and "Crank it and follow through"? Cause I seem to have tried that. I know it isn't my ball cause the 220 bowler in our league threw one shot and it finished twice as hard as mine ever did.
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Laid an egg against the Magic. Pretty clear now this guy isn't anywhere near as good as advertised...Howard just had his lunchNice clutch play against the Wizards. -
I often wonder if you go out of your way to be an annoying, unfunny troll or if it just comes natural to you.The Bears will still suck. -
? No one was getting him without giving up 2 first rounders. The third round pick plus a servicable NFL quarterback in return is what sealed the deal.Chicago gave up too much by giving 2 first rounders. Just one first rounder would have sufficed. That being said Cutler will be a huge upgrade over Orton/Grossman. Also the Bears signed Orlando Pace. -
Just saw this thread. One person is getting owned in this thread and one person is doing the owning. Guess which is which?
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Ballooning cashier balance
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Hmmm ok well i tried it this way and it worked. Thanks!Events -> SCOOP -> Main Events it's there for me, maybe click registering/upcoming only -
This is true, especially with those receivers in Denver he will probably be a slightly above average quarterback this year.That being said...and maybe someone from NE or DEN can answer this best...does McDaniels really think he can just take anyone and plug them in and the ship will run itself? Listening to his press conference, he just said "There isn't a specific mild we're looking for. Cassell wasn't Brady and Brady wasn't Cassell." He sounds like a rookie in the NBA who has gone like 165-14 through high school and college and says "I never lost before, I'm not about to start now"....ummmm yes you are. It was a nice run in NE and all but this guy seems way to overly confident if you ask me. Thoughts?If they draft well yea, but the NFL draft is so hit or miss it's insane. They really need to get better on defense, and I think Orton is more serviceable at QB than he is getting credit for right now. -
Hmmmm yeah, not showing up for me?200904041 -
This happening to anyone else?I don't see 4 -
I don't see 4
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You are wrong.Say you ran this particiular hand three times on every hand. Should it be factored in to your thought process now? No...you're going to lose 2 and win 1, on average. Not a good push. You run it once...you're going to lose 66% of the time, and win 33%. Not a good push. You run it twice...you are going to tie a certain % of the time which I don't know the exact math on...you are going to win both a certain %, and lose both a certain %...which I guarantee you comes out to, long-term, losing 66% and winning 33%.How often you run something should never change your thought process on a hand. Ever.That makes sense but I still think that if it's a regular part of the game you are playing in than it does or at least should be factored in to your thought process. -
Thisyou are getting it wrong, running it twice means losing less and winning less. the math of running it twice says the in the long run your profit will be the same just less swings, so for example after a session of running it twice you more likely to +100k or -100k, insted of +200k or -200k after running it once.but in the end your average profit will be the same, so it makes no difference, and in your example you should push the same amount of draw regardless of how many times you run it. -
Why? Why would how many times your running it change your thought process? We've established it doesn't change the EV...so why does the variance matter to the correctness of the play?If I'm sitting at a table with someone who likes to fold and we're running it once I'm pushing a lot of draws.If I'm sitting at a table with someone who likes to fold and we're running it twice I'm pushing every draw. -
I'm not so sure why it is so difficult to see that VT is clearly right. The justification makes no sense. Just like VT said, -EV plays are -EV plays. Hell, I don't even know if the play he made was -EV or not, but trying to justify by saying it's reduced variance when called is just ridiculous thinking.If a push there is +EV because he is going to fold a lot, why would you do it less if you are running it once? Because it's reduced variance? It doesn't make sense. A +EV play is a +EV play, a -EV play is a -EV play. How many times you potentially may run it shouldn't affect anything. Period.
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Also, I'm gonna go on record as saying this about Derrick Rose. He has more athletic ability and can make more athletic plays than any point guard, I'll say it, in the history of the league. There has never been a player like Derrick Rose when you combine all of his attributes. That being said, he is an average passer, an average shooter, and a slightly above average on the ball defender, and a basically non-existent help defender. I don't think he'll ever be on the Chris Paul level and it probably won't be close. A top 5 point guard in the league that makes a few all star games sounds about right to me. Which is great. But to talk about him as the next big superstar in the league...I just don't think it's gonna happen.
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The funny part is, on the Afternoon Saloon yesterday he said that was in fact the designed play. He said it had "worked in the past". Ok...because Gordon hits one lucky fadeaway over Bosh to send a game into overtime, that should be the play every time! After all, it worked once!I think Vinny has actually made minor progress, they don't switch every pick anymore, and his sub patterns have improved greatly from the beginning of the year. However, his improvement takes him from clearly the worst coach in the league to somewhere in the bottom 5.I cannot even believe that game in Indiana tonight. That has to be one of the worst jobs closing out a game I've ever seen. They were up by seven with two minutes left and decide to run a seven seconds or less offense.Also, the Bulls consistently have the worst last second play calling. It consists of tossing the ball into Gordon and him launching a fade-away 3-pointer. -
Or you could just put it in a blog
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I never thought I'd say this, but that was actually pretty funny Rosemaybe it's SuitedAces real birthday lol -
BumpDaniel... in your blog.... you demonstrate a total and complete lack of understanding for poker. j/s."Now here is what a lot of viewers don't get. Most people on the show run it twice in all in pots. Knowing that, when you do have a drawing hand you can be a bit more aggressive with it since even if you are called, you will usually have a decent chance to chop the pot. It makes aggressive plays with draws easier to make, and allows you to semi-bluff more pots away from an opponent. Essentially it makes semi-bluffing slightly less risky."That is a direct quote from your blog. This is just so flawed. I find it funny that it starts out by saying "now here is what a lot of viewers don't get." haha thats because its wrong?Please look this over again and I'm praying you just slipped up and this is really not how you think. I posted this here so you would see it. also, Im a big fan and you seem like a really cool guy.
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Lolololol gallownageHe really hit that AQ7 board hard with those pocket 4s -
This guy is ahead of the learning curve folksNo. But I want to get off trying to OWN the thread anyway. -
Tell that to Roseit's should've, not should of
Nba Officiating
in Sports- Basketball
Posted
As the season winds down and pre-playoff time, I wanted to get everyones thoughts on a few problems I see with the way games are officiated in general. This isn't necessarily a knock on the officials; since a lot of this stuff is across the board, I can only assume they are being trained to call games this way and being reinforced when they do. That being said, here are a few common problems that I notice:1) The block/charge call. This has been my hot button for several years. I watch very little college, but they seem to get it right far, far more often than the NBA does. In the NBA, the benefit of the doubt on this play always seems to go to the flopping defender. I doubt there is a stat out there from the 80's, but I'd guess there are 3-4 times more charges taken nowawdays than from that era. And that would be fine...if these were legitamate charges. Yet, the refs reinforce these flops by continually giving the defender the call, when 75% of charges should be no-calls or blocks. The charge circle hasn't helped either; the officials use that as an end-all, and if a defender is outside the circle, whether moving or not, whether sliding underneath a defender who has already left their feet or not (this one really gets on my nerves), a charge is almost always awarded.2) Pick and rolls. Simmons wrote about this some time ago. Almost all high screens these days are moving. However, with the creative screens teams are setting these days, such as the one where a defender is facing directly at the other teams goal around the top of the key and letting the point guard create (Parker and Duncan run this beautifully), I don't think it is a huge an issue as it was a few years ago. Furthermore, with the astounding athletic ability of players of all sizes in the league these days, I'm not so sure that you don't have to let some moving picks go without the average game score be something like 86-78.3) The ball fake and jump into. This one is a joke and the offensive player gets the call way, way too often. Not much else to say about this one except that defenders seem to be basically staying on their feet and still getting the call on this one. Why is this even a foul on the defensive player, anyway? It's almost always the offensive player initiating the contact.4) The put your shoulder in the defenders chest on the drive, yell "HEY!" ala Kobe Bryant, and flail your arms. You can tell coaches are training their players to do this as it's spread across the entire league. A basically stationary big man helping on the pick and roll gets the offensive players shoulder in the middle of his chest and a call constantly goes against him. Again, most of these should be no calls. The big man is much better of flopping anyway (see #1).