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Posts posted by AKProdigy

  1. How do we take our equity vs UTG and the equity vs SB and work out if we have sufficient pot odds to call? The split pot is what is confusing me.
    To make it simple:Player 1 - 50% equityPlayer 2 - 30% equityPlayer 3 - 20% equityPlayer 1 has 5$ invested (and covers)Player 2 goes all in for $20Player 3 goes all in for $40So a call would mean that his return = [(20*3)*(0.5)] (MAIN POT) + [(40-20)*2*(0.5/(0.5+0.2))] (SIDE POT) ~ 57-58 (too lazy to use a calc)Edit: Actually that's not exactly correct, because your assuming that the 2nd best hand has the same equity ranges, but best method of estimation without knowing the exact hand
  2. UTG?Before the flop, something like:KQ, AJ - AK, TT+After the flop, something like:TT - AA, AK. We have 39% equity against that range. If you want to get more liberal and throw AQ and KQ in there then we are still flipping with his range.
    Your right, I had him on a range of TT+,AQ+ and hes about a 52-48 favourite (I thought i was a slight fav at 55-45), and a slight underdog if you throw in KQ in there as well. As i mentioned earlier though, I think his outs are taken away by SB, and if you put in a range for SB (basically a lot of combinations of face cards, plus TT+) SB's equity drops a lot, enough for me to make a call. I don't know, I think either way its marginal. As mtdesmoines mentioned, if we're behind we have no outs which is a huge factor.
  3. I would have snap called while playing, but if I play around in sharkscope with ranges I think are reasonable we need about 3:1 to make a break even call.I wouldn't worry too much about SB except for the times he shows up with K9, there are way more combinations of combidraws and two purrs he is showing up with if he is playing 70 something % about his hands. UTG is the d00d whose range is crushing us.We gots to fold, yo!
    I kind of disagree. What range do you put him on? I think we're ahead of his range. I think he turns up AK much less than a set or overpair or even TPTK. It's the combined probability that one of them has the straight that makes this a tough call.
  4. Also, we don't have the second nuts here. We're not just losing to AK.
    Agreed, but it's only part of one of their ranges. My thinking was something like this on the spot:a ) I'm dominated by a straight, but even if I lose to UTG, as long as I'm ahead of SB on the river, its a breakeven call (neglecting EV, just saying win/loss on river)b ) If their both drawing, they take away each other's outs (i.e., sets, 2P, maybe FD (unlikely))c ) I'm inclined to think AK could possibly be a large part of SB's range, except TT+ is also likely here as well.
  5. $50 NL?It's not AK; he'd have re-raised preflop.I get the feeling that he has 98 diamonds and he's freerolling. KQ diamonds also comes to mind.I ship it in, puke if he actually does have AK, and hope the board gives us a chop.
    It could be AK. His range could be anything preflop... he's limped into several pots and hasn't raised one. He's your typical loose passive player preflop.
  6. OK, I never fold here in real time, but if their aggression factors are for real and I interpret them correctly, then we need to fold.
    To be fair, the UTG has played one hand, so his aggression factor is irrelevant, and the other player is loose passive who's committed to going all in if he calls, so he shoved. I almost didn't want to include the aggression factors because I really don't think you can analyze this hand based on "low aggression factors means they have the goods" since the sample size is minimal and the stack sizes.I'm actually interested on the hand ranges you'd put both of them on.
  7. Table was pretty loose passive preflop... wasn't really paying too much attention other than that.small sample size but:UTG is 6/0/1 through 17SB is 71/0/0.1 through 17PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (5 handed) Poker Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FCP)MP ($59.35)Button ($28.15)SB ($19.60)Hero ($53)UTG ($26.60)Preflop: Hero is BB with 9 :D , 8 :D . UTG raises to $1, 1 fold, Button calls $1, SB calls $0.75, Hero calls $0.50.Flop: ($4) Q :4h , J :club: , T :ts(4 players)SB checks, Hero bets $3, UTG raises to $11.5, Button folds, SB raises to $18.6, Hero?Snap call?

  8. You have to look at his aggression factor. With 0.3, is he really ever going to bluff this river? Ever?Will he (as a calling station with like no PF raises and no aggression) call a river shove with AQ/AT/Ax? Maybe, and for AQ/AT, most certainly. Checking lets you get away since he's basically never going to bluff, but the price will be too nice to call his shove, so you have to put it in anyway.Therefore, I would bet it myself.I think that recently a lot of players have been leaning towards setting up a bluff catcher rather than betting for value. You guys have to realize that people at low stakes are much more willing to CALL off their stacks, than to BET off their stacks. Especially people with pretty much 0 aggression.
    Makes sense. I think that's one part of my game I really have to improve... compensating for aggression factor. Thanks for the reply.
  9. PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.25 BB (6 handed) Poker Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FCP)MP ($33.45)CO ($11.15)Button ($48.05)SB ($37.60)BB ($30.25)Hero ($50.65)Preflop: Hero is UTG with 2 :5c , 2 :club: . Hero raises to $1, 4 folds, BB calls $0.75.Flop: ($2.10) 2 :D , 7 :D , 6 :D(2 players)BB checks, Hero bets $2, BB calls $2.Turn: ($6.10) K :ts(2 players)BB checks, Hero bets $5.75, BB raises to $11.5, Hero calls $5.75.River: ($29.10) Q :4h(2 players)BB bets $15.75 (All-In), Hero ?Villain is 54/11.5/0.45 through 80Okay first of all, I don't think villain knows what a semi-bluff is, and doubt he was betting a flush on the river or raising a draw on the turn. And to be fair, despite his loose-passive play preflop, he wasn't really a huge calling station postflop in the sense of doing it with nothing (i.e. he rarely raised, but when he called he usually had some part of the board). Comments on calling the turn appreciated as well.

  10. Started playing cash again on a semi-regular basis. Right now 4-tabling 25 NL (kind of under my bankroll) until I get comfortable 6-tabling again and then plan to move up.April Goals:- Get comfortable 6-tabling- Get about 5k hands more under my belt at 25 NL- Move upto 50 NL and run > 5ptbb/100- +$600 overall - >12k handsWill be limited this month due to exams and such, hopefully will reach my hands goal

  11. omg puke at his aggression factor. How many hands is that over?I'm not sure we can fold for nearly 4:1 with top two when he could have AT, AQ, bricked hearts without a jack, etc.If these stats are over a decent amount of hands, I think I still might fold though. He basically never bets, and he shoved. I personally expect this to be bricked hearts with a jack or AJ like always though if his sample size is decent.Personally, I just put him all in on the river though. He'll call with worse than a straight, and we don't get put in a tough situation if he shoves when we check either.
    If we're going to get our money in regardless, aren't we better off committing to check-calling his shove since we give him the chance to bluff inferior hands? If we shove, we're getting called by the straight and pretty much almost nothing we beat.
  12. PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.25 BB (6 handed) Poker Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FCP)Hero ($42.40)CO ($26.15)Button ($23.10)SB ($25.60)BB ($28.30)UTG ($21.75)Preflop: Hero is MP with K :5c , A :club: . UTG calls $0.25, Hero raises to $1.25, 1 fold, Button calls $1.25, 2 folds, UTG calls $1.Flop: ($4.10) A :D , 4 :D , K :4h(3 players)UTG checks, Hero bets $3, Button calls $3, UTG folds.Turn: ($10.10) Q :D(2 players)Hero bets $8, Button calls $8.River: ($26.10) T :ts(2 players)Hero checks, Button bets $10.85 (All-In), Hero ?Villain is 40/4/0.3Edit: Over ~70 hands I believe.. don't have PT open right now

  13. Personally I just fold the flop as you've got no idea where you're at, but have nothing invested so just let it go.If you do wanna hang around, I'd raise the flop to live .7 or something, just so you've some idea where you're at.That said, I still just get out the way.
    You fold top pair???
  14. PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.25 BB (4 handed) Poker Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FCP)Hero ($38.60)Button ($32.50)SB ($33.60)BB ($30.65)Preflop: Hero is UTG with K :club: , A :ts . Hero raises to $1, 1 fold, SB calls $0.90, BB calls $0.75.Flop: ($3) 7 :D , A :4h , T :D(3 players)SB checks, BB checks, Hero bets $2.5, SB calls $2.50, BB calls $2.50.Turn: ($10.50) 7 :5c(3 players)SB checks, BB bets $9.5, Hero ?BB is 35/9/2.2 through 120SB is 56/1/1 through 60

  15. PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.25 BB (5 handed) Poker Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FCP)BB ($10.80)UTG ($26.40)MP ($24.75)Hero ($30.10)SB ($23.65)Preflop: Hero is Button with J :D , J :D . 2 folds, Hero raises to $1, SB calls $0.90, 1 fold.Flop: ($2.25) 8 :ts , 8 :4h , 9 :D(2 players)SB checks, Hero bets $1.5, SB calls $1.50.Turn: ($5.25) Q :5c(2 players)SB checks, Hero checks.River: ($5.25) J :club:(2 players)SB bets $4, Hero raises to?Do you shove here hoping to get called by the straight instead of a standard raise? Or do we like raising for value?Villain is 40/30/2.5 through 30

  16. I was leaning more towards the turn, but...If your goal was to check twice to induce a bluff, i guess your decision is clear..
    Sorry, I meant to say as played to the river, meaning assuming I check-called the turn, I'd rather check the river than lead out, regardless of whether I fold or call since I'm committed if I lead out
  17. I would lead the turn or river, if he pushes, you fold. Playing it like this, its hard to tell if BB has a queen or if BB sees that you're somewhat sheepish of the board and wants to push you off the pot.
    As played, if I lead river I'm committed. To me, on the river I'd rather C-C a shove then lead out since it gives him a chance to bluff (I didn't commit to calling on the river, but I checked to see if he'd shove or not).
  18. PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.25 BB (3 handed) Poker Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FCP)Hero ($28.85)BB ($15)Button ($11.90)Preflop: Hero is SB with J :5c , 7 :D . 1 fold, Hero raises to $1, BB calls $0.75.Flop: ($2) 8 :D , J :club: , T :D(2 players)Hero bets $1.50, BB calls $1.50.Turn: ($5.00) 9 :ts(2 players)Hero checks, BB bets $2, Hero calls $2.River: ($9.00) 3 :4h(2 players)Hero checks, BB bets $10.50 (All-In), Hero ?Do you call the river shove? Is the C-C on the turn fine? I figured that I'm raising out hands that bluff me on the river, while keeping the hands that beat me around.

  19. Great! I LOVE to raise! Problem solved. Seriously though, if there are 4 players left, should I be raising my CO range UTG?
    That's generally what I do. I'm much more aggressive 4 handed since most players don't seem to adjust and blinds are pretty much there for the taking. I think the only minor change I'll make is coldcalling less (well almost never) with drawy hands (low PPs, SCs, etc.) since postflop play generally involves fewer players.
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