
bsabres81
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Everything posted by bsabres81
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I have only scanned the replies to this, but it seems odd that noone has mentioned the obvious. KJ should have moved in on the flop, if he was sure his opponent was weak, to force A-high or a small pair to fold.
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Of course, we have learned that Paul Phillips was not the actual player in this story. Nonetheless, I did some thought on the issue as a whole before scrolling to read extempore's entry. I would be surprised if he accepted the bet anyway. Even against eight sub-par players, a must-win bet probably would not be profitable (as anyone who watched tonight's WPT repeat can attest). I would think his chances were somewhere between 3-1 to 5-2.
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Barry G probably had his opponent on AK on the flop, though I believe he thought his opponent caught up and made three aces. He would have to think no one could play AK that strongly into Barry's obvious set, especially on the turn. It seems impossible that someone could misplay their hand this badly. What the hell does he think BG has? K7? 73 of diamonds? BG knows he has at least top two pair here. I do agree with those who say a call is correct on the off chance the German has three sevens.
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I took a prop bet on Bodog, Michael Mizrachi -120 against Tuan Le. I know that Mizrachi survived Day 1, though not with the chips he would like. But I can't find any mention of Tuan Le on Cardplayer, or anywhere else I've looked. If anyone knows, please respond.
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They should be up at around 11:50 EST.
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Ok, I sent you an e-mail with the link.PC76EF is referral code
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Ok, I sent you an e-mail with the link.
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I'll do it. Do you have AIM?
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GT123 wrote, Hopefully.
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Anyone who folds this hand in a cash game is an absolute fish. How weak-tight can you be? In a live game where you have a fabulous read on the player, or in a rare tournament situation, this hand is foldable, or at least check-callable. There are a tremendous amount of holdings you could easily be up against that your opponent thinks to be the best hand. The nut flush is a possibility, but so are all the following hands:A 10 (nut flush draw and an open-ended straight draw, a hand that is a favorite against your range of possible hands)A 9 (nut flush draw and top pair, also favored agains
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Actually 21 outs with 5 cards to come would be 210% to win according to his formula. The formula he gives is simply a very basic formula to quickly getting an estimate as to the odds. In most cases it is within 1 or 2% in post-flop situations. Evidently it is not applicable to pre-flop odds.
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Unless this guy is a very bad player, the only two hands he can have are AK and 10 10. Smooth-calling with AA out of position is a tremendous mistake. It' s also unlikely he called that raise with 66, unless you have been super-aggressive. He simply cannot have AQ if he has a clue how to play. Despite what some have said, you aren't getting the right price if you are up against a set. However, since it is slightly more likely that he has AK, a call is correct here.
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Yeah, where ESPN shows the cards it said K9 . Also when someone was all in with 8 8 ESPN said it was 8 8 . No big deal really, but shouldn't be too hard to keep straight.
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JackBo3 wrote: Or because winning $16 playing 1/2 wouldn't exactly thrill them.
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the wsop first hand aces discussion - please vote!
bsabres81 replied to gadjet's topic in General Poker Forum
Finally the right answer:SabaAba wrote: -
very interesting 7 card stud hand...folding quads
bsabres81 replied to SapphireTiger's topic in General Poker Forum
The real question is why did he reraise in the first place? If you're going to bluff-raise in 7stud, the best time is generally not at a loose player with quads showing. Thus, if someone raised me when I had quads showing, I'm folding or calling. The only thing I can beat is a bluff. -
my friend just called every play that happened....
bsabres81 replied to KingAustin's topic in General Poker Forum
I've never been one to use those stupid expressions like rofl or lmao, but I really did those things when I read this post:Don Giovanni wrote: Self-depricating, carefree humor at its finest. -
There are other ways to trap someone than checking or making a small bet. Often, overbetting the pot appears weak and you will get called by inferior players' inferior hands.I would say you should try to avoid playing a big pot with a big stack in a tournament when you only have a small advantage. (as you weren't as much of a favorite as you probably could have been if this guy is as bad as you say) In a cash game, I don't mind getting all my money in in the situation you described, but in a tournament I'd rather not.
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There are a lot of different viewpoints on this. I am assuming we are talking about limit O8. I feel the only time these hands are profitable is when several people have limped in and you are in late position. I never call a raise with any kind of high only hand.
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interesting omaha hi/lo hand, any thoughts?
bsabres81 replied to akishore's topic in General Poker Forum
Waco and klotet seem to obviously have wheels, and its not too much of a stretch to think that one of them has the Ax . Still, I don't hate your betting this strongly because of the dead money reaperr is putting in the pot with his 2 pair or set (or some other random 2nd best hi or lo).Waco - A 3 6 x (nut straight, nut low, maybe flush)klitet - A 3 x x (nut low, 2nd straight, maybe flush)reaperr - 7 7 x x (maybe stumbled into a low flush, no telling really this is a complete guess, regardless I don't think he is getting any of the pot) -
interesting omaha hi/lo hand, any thoughts?
bsabres81 replied to akishore's topic in General Poker Forum
I agree that you rarely want to raise in EP in Omaha 8 due to the nature of others straggling behind you with little chance of winning, though as previously posted at 5c/10c it probably wouldn't deter any callers.Also, I check-call the turn and river, since it is definitely going to be bet behind you.Smasharoo wrote, Are you suggesting he cap it here? Surely you can't mean he should fold. -
check raising the river??? any thoughts
bsabres81 replied to shamhawks's topic in General Poker Forum
The only time I am likely to check-raise the river is when I have a good feeling my opponent has made some kind of draw that I can beat. Ex. I have QQ and the board comes Q 9 2 turn is 2 and river is 7 . But, I think it is correct to not sandbag late street betting in any game without an overwhelming reason. -
ok so my aaq8 wasnt great but do you like this play?
bsabres81 replied to On Auto Tilt's topic in General Poker Forum
I like raising the turn to induce a fold (and getting the river checked to you), but I would certainly check the river back to him, since you're almost always only getting called by hands that are getting either half or all the pot. Nice read by the way. I would love to know what he thought you had that he could beat. -
why you should slowplay aa preflop plo8 deep stacks
bsabres81 replied to On Auto Tilt's topic in General Poker Forum
Well, if he had been raising a lot of hands, and showing hands like the KKQ3 he had here, yeah I can see playing it. -
why you should slowplay aa preflop plo8 deep stacks
bsabres81 replied to On Auto Tilt's topic in General Poker Forum
And of the 1 in 9 times you hit your set, your hand either loses to a straight or flush, you don't get paid off anyway, or you only win half the pot.