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srblan

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Posts posted by srblan

  1. I'm confused then, why would anyone agree to splitting off a third of their pot by running it twice? If I'm the 2:1 favorite, I would always take my advantage going to the turn and river.For instance if I hold AQ and my opponent holds A 9, I'll take those turns and rivers no matter what they are because I'm such a favorite over them.Maybe that's why I'm still in my little games....
    The reason they do it is to reduce the effect of variance. Rather than getting hurt by bad beats, they run it twice to lessen the swings.
  2. If your table image was a bit shaky, I would think you have about zero fold equity here, which makes this move even worse in my eyes. People with middleish pairs are looking for any reason to think they are winning, and a flop like that more than encourages it.I can't believe he didn't call you there. Mark
    Seriously. I would have called in a shot.
  3. Pretty obv fold, it wouldn't shock me if he had a set or better. It might be weak-tight of me, but I'd strongly consider slowing down on the turn. He might have a queen with a weaker kicker, but it seems more likely that he'll have a set (or a straight if he's anything like some of the people I've played with).

  4. Yes, in situation #1, I really don't like to call either, and agree it's AI/fold (or just re-raise if stacks are deeper). The reason I mentioned it is because there have been several times where I pushed and happened to run into the set against someone who played draws exactly the same way. Just thought it might be worth mentioning on this topic because it seems like one of the more difficult situations.
    It certainly is. With that in mind, it might not be a total disaster to bet 3/4 of the pot. Yes, you are pricing draws in, but if you are up against an opponent that knows you are not weak-tight, and raises you in position anyway, it's fair to say that you are probably beat. This is one of the tougher situations for me to get away from, but i think you have to. Also, how many players in that game will fold a flush draw anyway?
  5. The pot size and the odds you're getting are enough to make you committed here I think.Also:If he has the non-nut flush, you've got 11 outs actually - 7 spades to make a higher flush, and 2 queens or 2 kings to fill up.If he's got trip queens (less likely), again you have 11 outs - 9 spades to make the flush and 2 kings to fill up.In both cases you're a bit better than a 4-1 dog.I call and hope he doesn't have the nut flush or the one hand that's quite possible given all the action that has us totally smoked: AQ with the Ace of Spades.
    OP doesn't have 9 spades if he's up against trip queens since the queen probably has a kicker to hit which would fill him up.
  6. Situation 1, I'd have a hard time, but I'm leaning towards an all-in or fold. The problem here is that you are OOP, and calling, you are forcing a blank to come. If you have seen your opponent bluff-raise a lot, or if he's been playing back at you, I'd lean towards pushing. Otherwise, since you've shown strength preflop and he still played at you aggressively, I'd seriously consider folding. Definitely very read-dependent, though, I just don't really like calling here oop.Situation 2, I'd fold in a heartbeat. K-10 is a huge trap hand, and your opponent showed enough strength to warrant tossing it.

  7. A pair plus a flush draw is one of my favorite hands to play fast in NLHE. I push here more often than not, especially against an opponent who has shown a willingness to lay down. You're right about playing monsters and draws the same way, it makes it much easier to get action.Let me guess, he had a set?

  8. And you know he probably flipped out when the hands got flipped: "Queen-2 suited!? You're such a donk!" etc, etc
    Yup, I have to resist the urge to say, "Well, you're the one who let me see all 5 cards for free"
  9. The strength of your hand really doesn't matter at this point. You're risking about 5% of your chips to win a $3000 pot. I'd say that the implied odds actually are there. You're getting (potentially) 10-1 on a call and 3-1 in actual odds. I'd be very suspicious of a minraising short stack (usually screams aces to me), but even if he flipped over his hand and said that he'd put in the rest of his chips regardless of the flop, you're only about an 84-16 dog which means that 10-1 implied is more than enough (feel free to correct me if I'm using the odds improperly).Given that he didn't have to have aces, if you had two live cards instead of being up against a pair, you'd only be a 65-35 dog, which means that you're getting the right price with just the current pot.In a live tourney, you could probably call a minraise like that without looking at your hand...

  10. I think this was a good call. I just won't put my opponent on hitting a backdoor flush draw unless it's a huge overbet because it's so unlikely. Most of the time, it's just a missed draw betting the scare card. If a club came off, I might have played the river differently, but this looks more like a missed draw than spades that hit.
    You can't overbet the pot in PL games, only the size of the pot.
    Thanks. I felt pretty good about the call, but was just beat that time. Do you agree that his flop call and/or turn call was bad with top pair/weak kicker? Or did he have the right odds to call? Maybe if I'd bet more after the flop or turn then it may have pushed him out.
    Yes, he made a dumb play. If he knew what you had, he'd have been nowhere near the hand.
  11. Really? I think they have to state what the blind structure will be before the tourny starts. "You can't just change the rules in the middle of the game"
    I did a search, and I found the blind structure for the PokerStars Caribbean adventure in 2006. It stops at day 4 when they play to 6 players (when the WPT kicks in). At that point, they only indicate that the starting blinds are based on the average chips in play. They don't state how long the levels are, though.PokerStars Caribbean Adventure info
  12. There is a GIANT difference between former athletes and athletes now. 70 year old fat men who need crutches to walk are not athletes.
    He needs crutches to walk because a big piece of gypsum crushed his leg. Coincidentally, that is the injury that ended his NBA career before it started.
    Well, yes. In order to play in a PGA event, the player must put up the 5k entry fee. Now, even if it's Tiger or Vijay's sponsors that actually pay the 5k, it's still has to be paid by someone for them to play. That is why being a fringe player on the PGA (without sponsorships) can be a rough life. Go a month or two (or years) without a big cash, and you are in bad shape.Very similar to poker tournaments in fact. I have no clue regarding tennis.
    Ahh, didn't realize that. I knew that you had to pay to enter Q-school, but I didn't know that you paid for individual events too.
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